Beatriz Haddad Maia and Madison Keys will face off in the 3^rd round of the China Open for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 11:00 am on CAPITAL GROUP DIAMOND. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Madison Keys is the pick to win this match.
Madison Keys -> 1.74
Beatriz Haddad Maia -> 2.09

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Prediction and head to head Beatriz Haddad Maia vs. Madison Keys

This will be the 3^rd time that Beatriz Haddad Maia and Madison Keys face off. The head to head is 1-1 for Haddad Maia and Keys (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they played, Keys won 6-4 4-6 6-3 in the 3^rd round in Rome back in May 2024.

Highlights Madison Keys vs Beatriz Haddad Maia – Rome 11-May-2024

Beatriz Haddad Maia

Ranked no. 12, Beatriz reached the 3^rd round after defeating Sijia Wei 7-5 6-4.

In the 2^nd round, The Brazilian had a good straight sets win against Wei (7-5 6-4). During the match, Haddad Maia scored 81 points vs Wei’s 64. Beatriz was very aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Regarding the service games, Haddad Maia recorded 4 aces and she committed only 8 double faults. Beatriz Haddad Maia lost the serve twice and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Haddad Maia put 63% of her first serves in, winning 69% (35/51) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (15/30) on the 2nd serve. Beatriz broke Wei 4 times after converting 40% of her break points (4/10).

Haddad Maia has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 65% of her matches (368-194). 22-13 on hard in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Haddad Maia has a compiled 185-94 match record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the year was winning the title in Seoul where she overcame Daria Kasatkina in the final 1-6 6-4 6-1.

Haddad Maia has an aggregate 33-23 win-loss record in 2024, 22-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Madison Keys

Ranked no. 24, Madison reached the 3^rd round after beating Unknown Player bye and Sara Sorribes Tormo 6-2 6-1.

In the 2^nd round, Keys had a good straight sets win against Sorribes Tormo (6-2 6-1). During the match Keys scored 68 points vs Sorribes Tormo’s 42. Madison was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.

About the serving games, Keys fired 3 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Madison Keys conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 4 break points. Furthermore, Keys put 78% of her first serves in, winning 82% (31/38) of the points behind her 1st serve and 18% (2/11) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Sorribes Tormo 5 times after converting 38% of her break points (5/13).

Her best result of the season was winning the title in Strasbourg where she beat Danielle Rose Collins in the final 6-1 6-2.

The American has an aggregate 23-10 win-loss record in 2024, 6-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2016. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Haddad Maia	Keys
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	22	15
Pts	81-64	68-42
Total Points	145	110
Winners	35	31
%Winners	43%	46%

Both Haddad Maia and Keys played 1 match. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Haddad Maia and Keys have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Haddad Maia played 7 games more than Keys. The Brazilian scored 35 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The American made 31 winners (46%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Haddad Maia	Keys
Aces	4	3
Avg per match	4	3
1st in	51/81	38/49
%1st in	63%	78%
1st pts	35/51	31/38
%1st pts	69%	82%
2nd pts	15/30	2/11
%2nd pts	50%	18%

Haddad Maia blasted 4 aces . Keys scored 3 aces . Haddad Maia won 69% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Keys won 82% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 18% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Haddad Maia	Keys
Won	4	5
Converted	4/10	5/13
% Converted	40%	38%
Conceded	10	4
Saved	8	4
% Saved	80%	100%
Times Broken	2	0

Haddad Maia broke her opponent 4 times with a 40% conversion rate. Beatriz surrendered her serve twice and she saved 80% of the break points that she conceded. Keys broke her opponent 5 times with a 38% conversion rate. Keys was rock solid on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 4 break points.

Haddad Maia
	R2 Wei	Total
Score	7-5 6-4
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	22	22
pts	81-64	81-64
Total points	145	145
Winners	35	35
%Winners	43%	43%
SERVE
Aces	4	4
Double Faults	8	8
1st in	51/81	51/81
% 1st in	63%	63%
1st pts	35/51	35/51
% 1st pts	69%	69%
2nd pts	15/30	15/30
% 2nd pts	50%	50%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/10	4/10
Converted %	40%	40%
Conceded	10	10
Saved	8/10	8
Saved %	80%	80%
Times Broken	2	2

Keys
	R2 Sorribes Tormo	Total
Score	6-2 6-1
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	15	15
pts	68-42	68-42
Total points	110	110
Winners	31	31
%Winners	46%	46%
SERVE
Aces	3	3
Double Faults	5	5
1st in	38/49	38/49
% 1st in	78%	78%
1st pts	31/38	31/38
% 1st pts	82%	82%
2nd pts	2/11	2/11
% 2nd pts	18%	18%
Breaks
Won	5	5
Converted	5/13	5/13
Converted %	38%	38%
Conceded	4	4
Saved	4/4	4
Saved %	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

Tennis Scores in Beijing

• Cori GauffGauff – Katie BoulterBoulter (7-5 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Jessica PegulaPegula – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (6-7⁹ 6-1 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Paula BadosaBadosa – Rebecca SramkovaSramkova (7-5 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Yuliia StarodubtsevaStarodubtseva – Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan (6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Magdalena FrechFrech – Diana ShnaiderShnaider (0-6 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Shuai ZhangZhang – Greetje MinnenMinnen (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Madison KeysKeys – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Cristina BucsaBucsa – Elise MertensMertens (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Jaqueline CristianCristian (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Magda LinetteLinette (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (0-4) – H2H and prediction
• Nadia PodoroskaPodoroska – Qinwen ZhengZheng (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Peyton StearnsStearns – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Katie VolynetsVolynets – Naomi OsakaOsaka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Shuai ZhangZhang – Magdalena FrechFrech (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-3) – H2H and prediction