Daniil Medvedev and Flavio Cobolli will clash against each other in the quarter of the China Open for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 4:00 pm on MOON. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.185
Flavio Cobolli -> 4.8

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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Flavio Cobolli

This will be the 2^nd time that Daniil Medvedev and Flavio Cobolli face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Medvedev won 6-3 6-4 6-3 in the 3^rd round in at the U.S. Open back in August 2024.

Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli – U.S. Open 31-August-2024

Daniil Medvedev

Ranked no. 5, Daniil got to the quarter after beating Gael Monfils 6-3 6-4 and Adrian Mannarino 7-6(6) 6-2.

In the 2^nd round, Medvedev had a good straight sets win against Mannarino (7-6⁶ 6-2). During the match, Medvedev scored 76 points vs Mannarino’s 60. Daniil was exceptionally aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Regarding the service games, Medvedev bagged 8 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Medvedev put 66% of his first serves in, winning 80% (36/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (10/23) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Mannarino 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

Medvedev has a great win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (505-203). 24-7 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Medvedev has a composed 242-76 record in the last years on hard.

The Russian’s best result of the current season was reaching the final at the Australian Open and Indian Wells.

Daniil has a compiled 41-16 win-loss record in 2024, 24-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Flavio Cobolli

Ranked no. 32, Flavio reached the quarter after beating Alexander Bublik 4-6 6-1 7-6(4) and Pavel Kotov 6-4 6-2.

In the 2^nd round, Flavio had a good straight sets win against Kotov (6-4 6-2). During the match Cobolli scored 59 points vs Kotov’s 45. The Italian was pretty aggressive to blast 27 winners.

About the serving games, Cobolli bagged 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Flavio Cobolli was quite efficient on serve to win 87% (27/31) of his 1st serve and 58% (11/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Italian broke Kotov 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Cobolli has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

The Italian’s best result of the current season was getting to the final Washington.

The Italian has a composed 41-26 win-loss record in 2024, 25-11 on hard (See FULL STATS)

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Previously in Beijing

The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Medvedev	Cobolli
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	4	5
Tot Games	40	48
Pts	154-115	159-137
Total Points	269	296
Winners	59	77
%Winners	38%	48%

Both Medvedev and Cobolli played 2 matches. At the moment, Flavio Cobolli surrendered 1 set while Daniil Medvedev hasn’t dropped a set so far. Medvedev has played 1 set(s) less than Cobolli (4 vs 5). Therefore, Medvedev played 8 games less than Cobolli. Daniil scored 59 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Cobolli recorded 77 winners (48%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Medvedev	Cobolli
Aces	10	9
Avg per match	5	4.5
1st in	77/132	93/159
%1st in	58%	58%
1st pts	59/77	77/93
%1st pts	77%	83%
2nd pts	28/55	32/66
%2nd pts	51%	48%

Medvedev managed to score 10 aces (5 per match). Cobolli managed to score 9 aces (4.5 per match). Medvedev won 77% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Cobolli won 83% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Medvedev	Cobolli
Won	9	6
Converted	9/16	6/12
% Converted	56%	50%
Conceded	13	6
Saved	9	4
% Saved	69%	67%
Times Broken	4	2

Medvedev broke his opponents 9 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Russian lost his serve 4 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded. Flavio broke his opponents 6 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Medvedev
	R1 Monfils	R2 Mannarino	Total
Score	6-3 6-4	7-66 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	19	21	40
pts	78-55	76-60	154-115
Total points	133	136	269
Winners	23	36	59
%Winners	29%	47%	38%
SERVE
Aces	2	8	10
Double Faults	6	6	12
1st in	32/64	45/68	77/132
% 1st in	50%	66%	58%
1st pts	23/32	36/45	59/77
% 1st pts	72%	80%	77%
2nd pts	18/32	10/23	28/55
% 2nd pts	56%	43%	51%
Breaks
Won	5	4	9
Converted	5/10	4/6	9/16
Converted %	50%	67%	56%
Conceded	6	7	13
Saved	4/6	5/7	9
Saved %	67%	71%	69%
Times Broken	2	2	4

Cobolli
	R1 Bublik	R2 Kotov	Total
Score	4-6 6-1 7-64	6-4 6-2
Tot Set	3	2	5
Tot Games	30	18	48
pts	100-92	59-45	159-137
Total points	192	104	296
Winners	50	27	77
%Winners	50%	46%	48%
SERVE
Aces	6	3	9
Double Faults	4	2	6
1st in	62/109	31/50	93/159
% 1st in	57%	62%	58%
1st pts	50/62	27/31	77/93
% 1st pts	81%	87%	83%
2nd pts	21/47	11/19	32/66
% 2nd pts	45%	58%	48%
Breaks
Won	3	3	6
Converted	3/5	3/7	6/12
Converted %	60%	43%	50%
Conceded	5	1	6
Saved	3/5	1/1	4
Saved %	60%	100%	80%
Times Broken	2	0	2

Tennis Scores in Beijing

• Harri Heliovaara/Henry PattenHeliovaara/Henry Patten – Santiago Gonzalez/Edouard Roger-VasselinGonzalez/Edouard Roger-Vasselin (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Andrey RublevRublev – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (4-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (2-2) – H2H and prediction
• Flavio CobolliCobolli – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-1) – H2H and prediction