Holger Rune and Arthur Fils will play each other in the semifinal of the Japan Open Tennis Championships for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 8:30 pm on COLOSSEUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Holger Rune who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Holger Rune is the pick to win this match.
Holger Rune -> 1.67
Arthur Fils -> 2.2

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Prediction and head to head Holger Rune vs. Arthur Fils

This will be the 3^rd time that Holger Rune and Arthur Fils play each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Rune and Fils (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Fils won 6-4 4-1 ret. in the quarter in Hamburg back in July 2024.

Highlights Arthur Fils vs Holger Rune – Hamburg 19-July-2024

Holger Rune

Ranked no. 14, Rune reached the semifinal after defeating Alejandro Tabilo 6-2 5-7 6-4, Yoshihito Nishioka 6-2 6-4 and Kei Nishikori 3-6 6-2 7-5.

In the quarter against Nishikori, Rune recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-2 7-5). During the match, Rune scored 94 points vs Nishikori’s 88. Rune was quite aggressive to blast 45 winners.

Talking about the service games, Rune scored 6 aces and he was quite solid in conceding no double faults. Overall, Holger Rune was pretty efficient on serve to win 71% (45/63) of his 1st serve and 57% (16/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Dane broke Nishikori 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Dane has surrendered 2 set in this tournament to conquer 54% of the points he played.

Rune has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 66% of his matches (242-125). 19-9 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rune has an aggregate49-39 match record in the last 7 years on hard.

Rune’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Brisbane.

Holger has a composed 36-19 win-loss record in 2024, 19-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Tokyo

The Dane has never competed in this tournament before.

Arthur Fils

Ranked no. 24, the French player reached the semifinal after defeating Taylor Fritz 6-4 3-6 6-3, Matteo Berrettini 6-7(5) ret. and Ben Shelton 7-5 6-7(5) 7-6(2).

In the quarter, Arthur defeated Shelton (7-5 6-7⁵ 7-6²). During the match Fils scored 137 points vs Shelton’s 116. Arthur was pretty aggressive to blast 60 winners.

About the serving games, Fils made 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Arthur Fils lost the serve 3 times. Furthermore, Fils put 65% of his first serves in, winning 86% (60/70) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (19/38) on the 2nd serve. Arthur broke Shelton 4 times after converting 21% of his break points (4/19).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Arthur has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Bordeaux Challenger where he beat Pedro Martinez Portero in the final 6-2 6-3 and in Hamburg where he beat Alexander Zverev in the final 6-3 3-6 7-6(1).

The French player has an overall 34-23 win-loss record in 2024, 13-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Rune	Fils
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	8	8
Tot Games	77	79
Pts	252-213	270-238
Total Points	465	508
Winners	122	117
%Winners	48%	43%

Both Rune and Fils played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Holger Rune conceded 2 sets, while Arthur Fils dropped 3 sets. Talking about their workload, Rune and Fils have played the same amount of sets 8. However, Rune played 2 games less than Fils. Rune scored 122 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Fils fired 117 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Rune	Fils
Aces	27	20
Avg per match	9	6.7
1st in	157/226	144/228
%1st in	69%	63%
1st pts	122/157	117/144
%1st pts	78%	81%
2nd pts	35/69	45/84
%2nd pts	51%	54%

Rune struck 27 aces (9 per match). Fils fired 20 aces (6.7 per match). Rune won 78% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Fils won 81% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Rune	Fils
Won	12	7
Converted	12/26	7/27
% Converted	46%	26%
Conceded	14	10
Saved	9	5
% Saved	64%	50%
Times Broken	5	5

Holger broke his opponents 12 times with a 46% conversion rate. Holger dropped his serve 5 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded. The French player broke his opponents 7 times with a 26% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Rune
	R1 Tabilo	R2 Nishioka	1/4 Nishikori	Total
Score	6-2 5-7 6-4	6-2 6-4	3-6 6-2 7-5
Tot Set	3	2	3	8
Tot Games	30	18	29	77
pts	98-90	60-35	94-88	252-213
Total points	188	95	182	465
Winners	47	30	45	122
%Winners	48%	50%	48%	48%
SERVE
Aces	10	11	6	27
Double Faults	2	1	0	3
1st in	60/92	34/43	63/91	157/226
% 1st in	65%	79%	69%	69%
1st pts	47/60	30/34	45/63	122/157
% 1st pts	78%	88%	71%	78%
2nd pts	15/32	4/9	16/28	35/69
% 2nd pts	47%	44%	57%	51%
Breaks
Won	4	4	4	12
Converted	4/9	4/8	4/9	12/26
Converted %	44%	50%	44%	46%
Conceded	5	1	8	14
Saved	3/5	0/1	6/8	9
Saved %	60%	0%	75%	45%
Times Broken	2	1	2	5

Fils
	R1 Fritz	R2 Berrettini	1/4 Shelton	Total
Score	6-4 3-6 6-3	6-75 ret.	7-5 6-75 7-62
Tot Set	3	1	3	7
Tot Games	28	13	38	79
pts	88-79	45-43	137-116	270-238
Total points	167	88	253	508
Winners	40	17	60	117
%Winners	45%	38%	44%	43%
SERVE
Aces	10	2	8	20
Double Faults	1	1	2	4
1st in	54/81	20/39	70/108	144/228
% 1st in	67%	51%	65%	63%
1st pts	40/54	17/20	60/70	117/144
% 1st pts	74%	85%	86%	81%
2nd pts	18/27	8/19	19/38	45/84
% 2nd pts	67%	42%	50%	54%
Breaks
Won	2	1	4	7
Converted	2/5	1/3	4/19	7/27
Converted %	40%	33%	21%	26%
Conceded	4	3	3	10
Saved	3/4	2/3	0/3	5
Saved %	75%	67%	0%	47%
Times Broken	1	1	3	5

Tennis Scores in Tokyo

• Ariel Behar/Robert GallowayBehar/Robert Galloway – Jack Draper/Tomas MachacDraper/Tomas Machac (w/o) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Tomas MachacMachac – Ugo HumbertHumbert (0-0) – H2H and prediction