Ugo Humbert and Jack Draper will fight against each other in the quarter of the Japan Open Tennis Championships for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 4:00 pm on COLOSSEUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jack Draper who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jack Draper is the pick to win this match.
Jack Draper -> 1.56
Ugo Humbert -> 2.43
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Prediction and head to head Ugo Humbert vs. Jack Draper
There is no head to head record between Ugo Humbert and Jack Draper since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Ugo Humbert
30 - 20win/loss
14
13
LWWWWWLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39-24 | 18-9 | 5-7 | 11-4 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 49-26 | 17-11 | 13-5 | 16-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-29 | 16-11 | 3-7 | 11-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-20 | 6-7 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 25-14 | 11-7 | 4-3 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 18, Humbert got to the quarter after beating Shintaro Mochizuki 6-1 6-2 and Brandon Nakashima 6-3 6-2.
In the 2nd round, Ugo had a good straight sets win against Nakashima (6-3 6-2). During the match, Humbert scored 58 points vs Nakashima’s 34. Humbert was pretty aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about the service games, Humbert fired 7 aces and he was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults. Ugo Humbert was pretty efficient on serve to win 89% (31/35) of his 1st serve and 62% (8/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Ugo broke Nakashima 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The French player hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to win 61% of the points he played.
Humbert has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (332-213). 15-7 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Humbert has an overall 138-73 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title in Marseille where he overcame Grigor Dimitrov in the final 6-4 6-3 and in Dubai where he beat Alexander Bublik in the final 6-4 6-3.
Ugo has a compiled 30-20 win-loss record in 2024, 15-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Tokyo
The French player has never competed in this tournament before.
Jack Draper
32 - 20win/loss
15
15
LWWWWWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39-22 | 19-10 | 5-7 | 7-3 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-15 | 15-8 | 3-3 | 16-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-19 | 12-6 | 2-2 | 26-7 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-16 | 6-6 | 7-5 | 3-2 | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| 2020 | 17-6 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
Ranked no. 20 (career-high), Draper reached the quarter after beating Mattia Bellucci 6-4 6-2 and Hubert Hurkacz 6-4 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Draper had a good straight sets win against Hurkacz (6-4 6-4). During the match Draper scored 67 points vs Hurkacz’s 59. Draper was quite aggressive to blast 29 winners.
About the serving games, Draper blasted 11 aces and he was quite steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Jack Draper was extremely efficient on serve to win 76% (29/38) of his 1st serve and 62% (16/26) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Draper broke Hurkacz twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jack hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Stuttgart where he defeated Matteo Berrettini in the final 3-6 7-6(5) 6-4.
Draper has an overall 32-20 win-loss record in 2024, 19-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Tokyo
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Humbert | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 32 | 38 |
| Pts | 119-76 | 127-98 |
| Total Points | 195 | 225 |
| Winners | 52 | 56 |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% |
Both Humbert and Draper played 2 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Humbert and Draper have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Humbert played 6 games less than Draper. Humbert scored 52 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Brit recorded 56 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Humbert | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 20 |
| Avg per match | 4.5 | 10 |
| 1st in | 63/96 | 68/109 |
| %1st in | 66% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 52/63 | 56/68 |
| %1st pts | 83% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 20/33 | 26/41 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 63% |
Humbert struck 9 aces (4.5 per match). Draper blasted 20 aces (10 per match). Humbert won 83% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Draper won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Humbert | Draper |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 5 |
| Converted | 7/13 | 5/13 |
| % Converted | 54% | 38% |
| Conceded | 5 | 3 |
| Saved | 5 | 3 |
| % Saved | 100% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
Ugo broke his opponents 7 times with a 54% conversion rate. The French player extremely effective on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 5 break points. Draper broke his opponents 5 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Brit was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 3 break points.
| Humbert | ||||
| R1 Mochizuki |
R2 Nakashima |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 17 | 32 | |
| pts | 61-42 | 58-34 | 119-76 | |
| Total points | 103 | 92 | 195 | |
| Winners | 21 | 31 | 52 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 53% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 7 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 28/48 | 35/48 | 63/96 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 73% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 21/28 | 31/35 | 52/63 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 89% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/20 | 8/13 | 20/33 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 62% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 3/5 | 7/13 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 60% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 3/3 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Draper | ||||
| R1 Bellucci |
R2 Hurkacz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 20 | 38 | |
| pts | 60-39 | 67-59 | 127-98 | |
| Total points | 99 | 126 | 225 | |
| Winners | 27 | 29 | 56 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 43% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 9 | 11 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 30/45 | 38/64 | 68/109 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 59% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 27/30 | 29/38 | 56/68 | |
| % 1st pts | 90% | 76% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/15 | 16/26 | 26/41 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 62% | 63% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 2/7 | 5/13 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 29% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 3/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
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