Paula Badosa and Rebecca Sramkova will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the China Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 11:00 am on LOTUS. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Paula Badosa who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Paula Badosa is the pick to win this match.
Paula Badosa -> 1.24
Rebecca Sramkova -> 4.05

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Prediction and head to head Paula Badosa vs. Rebecca Sramkova

This will be the 2nd time that Paula Badosa and Rebecca Sramkova fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Badosa (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Badosa won 7-6(4) 6-3 in the 1st round in the Beaubourg back in 2019.

Paula Badosa

Paula Badosa

31 - 16win/loss

Hard
20-9
I Hard
0-0
Clay
6-5
Grass
5-2
Rank
19
High
2
WLWWWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 31-16 20-9 6-5 0-0 5-2 0-0
2023 18-9 6-4 11-4 0-0 1-1 0-0
2022 32-22 20-13 8-5 1-2 3-2 0-0
2021 43-17 19-9 17-3 4-3 3-2 0-0
2020 14-9 7-6 6-2 1-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 19, the Spaniard reached the 3rd round after defeating Unknown Player bye and Viktoriya Tomova 6-3 6-2.

In the 2nd round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Tomova (6-3 6-2). During the match, Badosa scored 67 points vs Tomova’s 47. The Spaniard was exceptionally aggressive to blast 23 winners.

Talking about the service games, Badosa blasted 2 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Paula Badosa lost the serve once and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Badosa put 52% of her first serves in, winning 70% (23/33) of the points behind her 1st serve and 57% (17/30) on the 2nd serve. Badosa broke Tomova 4 times after converting 44% of her break points (4/9).

Badosa has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (308-176). 20-9 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Badosa has an aggregate 117-70 match record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Washington where she overcame Marie Bouzkova in the final 6-1 4-6 6-4.

Badosa has a composed 31-16 win-loss record in 2024, 20-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Beijing
Badosa's Record

Rebecca Sramkova

Rebecca Sramkova

39 - 19win/loss

Hard
19-8
I Hard
6-1
Clay
14-9
Grass
0-1
Rank
61
High
61
WWWWWWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 39-19 19-8 14-9 6-1 0-1 0-0
2023 44-25 10-7 22-9 11-8 1-1 0-0
2022 25-23 3-5 13-11 8-6 1-1 0-0
2021 29-22 7-7 13-9 8-5 1-1 0-0
2020 10-10 5-4 3-4 2-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 61 (career-high), Sramkova reached the 3rd round after beating Tamara Zidansek 6-2 3-6 4-3 ret., Polina Kudermetova 5-7 7-5 7-6(5), Anhelina Kalinina 6-4 6-0 and Ekaterina Alexandrova 5-7 6-4 6-3.

In the 2nd round against Alexandrova, The Slovakian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-4 6-3). During the match Sramkova scored 110 points vs Alexandrova’s 90. The Slovakian was quite aggressive to blast 43 winners.

Talking about serving, Sramkova fired 5 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Rebecca Sramkova lost the serve 3 times and she saved 12 break points. Furthermore, Sramkova put 59% of her first serves in, winning 77% (43/56) of the points behind her 1st serve and 49% (19/39) on the 2nd serve. Rebecca broke Alexandrova 5 times after converting 45% of her break points (5/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Sramkova started her run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, she has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.

Her best result of the year was winning the title the W50 Porto where she defeated Jessica Bouzas Maneiro in the final 6-7(4) 7-5 6-1 and in Hua Hin where she beat Laura Siegemund in the final 6-4 6-4.

Sramkova has an aggregate 39-19 win-loss record in 2024, 19-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Beijing
Sramkova's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

P.Badosa
R.Sramkova
1h:24
1h:24
Time on court​
!
8h:01
8h:01
1h:24
1h:24
Last match​
!
2h:20
2h:20
1
1
Match played
!
4
4
17
17
Games Played​
108
108
2
2
Set played​​
12
12
67
67
Total points​
369
369
67
67
Avg point​
92.3
92.3
23
23
Winners
156
156
23
23
Avg Winners​
39
39
34%
34%
Ratio winners
42%
42%
-- Serve --
2
2
Aces
18
18
2
2
Avg Aces
4.5
4.5
4
4
Double Faults
6
6
4
4
Avg Double Faults
1.5
1.5
23/33
23/33
1st won total​
156/214
156/214
70%
70%
1st won %
!
73%
73%
17/30
17/30
2nd won total​
62/125
62/125
57%
57%
2nd won %
50%
50%
-- Break Points --
4/9
4/9
BP won
18/43
18/43
4/9
4/9
Avg BP won
4.5/10.8
4.5/10.8
44%
44%
Won
42%
42%
6
6
Conceded
40
40
6
6
Avg Conceded
10
10
1
1
Broken
11
11
1
1
Avg Broken
2.8
2.8
5
5
Saved
29
29

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Badosa Sramkova
Match played 1 4
Tot Set 2 12
Tot Games 17 108
Pts 67-47 369-317
Total Points 114 686
Winners 23 156
%Winners 34% 42%

Badosa played 1 match while Sramkova competed in 4 matches. Sramkova started her run from the qualifications while Badosa had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Rebecca Sramkova dropped 3 sets while Paula Badosa hasn’t dropped a set so far. Badosa has played 10 set(s) less than Sramkova (2 vs 12). Therefore, Badosa played 91 games less than Sramkova. The Spaniard scored 23 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Sramkova bagged 156 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve Badosa Sramkova
Aces 2 18
Avg per match 2 4.5
1st in 33/63 214/339
%1st in 52% 63%
1st pts 23/33 156/214
%1st pts 70% 73%
2nd pts 17/30 62/125
%2nd pts 57% 50%

Badosa fired 2 aces . Sramkova managed to score 18 aces (4.5 per match). Badosa won 70% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Sramkova won 73% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Badosa Sramkova
Won 4 18
Converted 4/9 18/43
% Converted 44% 42%
Conceded 6 40
Saved 5 29
% Saved 83% 73%
Times Broken 1 11

The Spaniard broke her opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. Badosa lost her serve once and she saved 83% of the break points that she conceded. Sramkova broke her opponents 18 times with a 42% conversion rate. Rebecca conceded her serve 11 times and she saved 73% of the break points that she conceded.

Badosa
R2
Tomova
Total
Score 6-3 6-2
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 17 17
pts 67-47 67-47
Total points 114 114
Winners 23 23
%Winners 34% 34%
SERVE
Aces 2 2
Double Faults 4 4
1st in 33/63 33/63
% 1st in 52% 52%
1st pts 23/33 23/33
% 1st pts 70% 70%
2nd pts 17/30 17/30
% 2nd pts 57% 57%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/9 4/9
Converted % 44% 44%
Conceded 6 6
Saved 5/6 5
Saved % 83% 83%
Times Broken 1 1
Sramkova
Q1
Zidansek
Q3
Kudermetova
R1
Kalinina
R2
Alexandrova
Total
Score 6-2 3-6 4-3 ret. 5-7 7-5 7-65 6-4 6-0 5-7 6-4 6-3
Tot Set 3 3 2 3 11
Tot Games 24 37 16 31 108
pts 91-85 108-107 60-35 110-90 369-317
Total points 176 215 95 200 686
Winners 32 58 23 43 156
%Winners 35% 54% 38% 39% 42%
SERVE
Aces 5 8 0 5 18
Double Faults 4 0 0 2 6
1st in 49/80 81/114 28/50 56/95 214/339
% 1st in 61% 71% 56% 59% 63%
1st pts 32/49 58/81 23/28 43/56 156/214
% 1st pts 65% 72% 82% 77% 73%
2nd pts 13/31 19/33 11/22 19/39 62/125
% 2nd pts 42% 58% 50% 49% 50%
Breaks
Won 5 3 5 5 18
Converted 5/19 3/6 5/7 5/11 18/43
Converted % 26% 50% 71% 45% 42%
Conceded 15 7 3 15 40
Saved 11/15 4/7 2/3 12/15 29
Saved % 73% 57% 67% 80% 277%
Times Broken 4 3 1 3 11

Tennis Scores in Beijing

Upcoming matches in the draw