Katie Volynets and Naomi Osaka will play each other in the 3^rd round of the China Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 5:00 pm on LOTUS. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Naomi Osaka who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Naomi Osaka is the pick to win this match.
Naomi Osaka -> 1.21
Katie Volynets -> 4.4

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Prediction and head to head Katie Volynets vs. Naomi Osaka

There is no head to head record between Katie Volynets and Naomi Osaka since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Katie Volynets

Ranked no. 60, Katie got to the 3^rd round after beating Dalma Galfi 7-5 6-1

and Marta Kostyuk 7-5 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, Katie had a good straight sets win against Kostyuk (7-5 6-3). During the match, Volynets scored 76 points vs Kostyuk’s 64. Katie was quite aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Regarding the service games, Volynets couldn’t to score even 1 ace in the course of the match and she was quite solid in conceding no double faults. Katie Volynets lost the serve 5 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Volynets put 72% of her first serves in, winning 54% (30/56) of the points behind her 1st serve and 41% (9/22) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Kostyuk 8 times after converting 67% of her break points (8/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American hasn’t lost yet a set in this tournament to win 54% of the points she played.

Volynets has a winning record in the last 8 years having won 59% of her matches (200-138). 23-13 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Volynets has an overall114-79 record in the last 8 years on hard.

Her best result of the year was winning the title the Makarska where she beat Mayar Sherif in the final 3-6 6-2 6-1.

Katie has an overall 46-21 win-loss record in 2024, 23-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

The American has never competed in this tournament before.

Naomi Osaka

Ranked no. 73, Naomi reached the 3^rd round after defeating Lucia Bronzetti 6-3 6-2 and Yulia Putintseva 3-6 6-4 6-2.

In the 2^nd round against Putintseva, The Japanese recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-4 6-2). During the match Osaka scored 81 points vs Putintseva’s 80. Naomi was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about serving, Osaka blasted 6 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Naomi Osaka lost the serve 4 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Osaka put 52% of her first serves in, winning 70% (32/46) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (20/42) on the 2nd serve. The Japanese broke Putintseva 5 times after converting 71% of her break points (5/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Osaka has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.

Naomi has a compiled 21-17 win-loss record in 2024, 12-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Volynets	Osaka
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	4	5
Tot Games	40	44
Pts	160-137	155-136
Total Points	297	291
Winners	71	66
%Winners	44%	43%

Both Volynets and Osaka played 2 matches. At the moment, Naomi Osaka surrendered 1 set while Katie Volynets hasn’t conceded a set so far. Volynets has played 1 set(s) less than Osaka (4 vs 5). Therefore, Volynets played 4 games less than Osaka. Volynets scored 71 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Naomi recorded 66 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Volynets	Osaka
Aces	1	14
Avg per match	0.5	7
1st in	122/164	89/158
%1st in	74%	56%
1st pts	71/122	66/89
%1st pts	58%	74%
2nd pts	19/42	30/69
%2nd pts	45%	43%

Volynets managed to score 1 ace (0.5 per match). Osaka also blasted 14 aces (7 per match). Volynets won 58% points on her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Osaka won 74% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 43% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Volynets	Osaka
Won	12	9
Converted	12/22	9/15
% Converted	55%	60%
Conceded	23	17
Saved	17	12
% Saved	74%	71%
Times Broken	6	5

Volynets broke her opponents 12 times with a 55% conversion rate. Volynets conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 74% of the break points that she conceded. Naomi broke her opponents 9 times with a 60% conversion rate. Osaka conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded.

Volynets
	R1 Galfi	R2 Kostyuk	Total
Score	7-5 6-1	7-5 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	19	21	40
pts	84-73	76-64	160-137
Total points	157	140	297
Winners	41	30	71
%Winners	49%	39%	44%
SERVE
Aces	1	0	1
Double Faults	3	0	3
1st in	66/86	56/78	122/164
% 1st in	77%	72%	74%
1st pts	41/66	30/56	71/122
% 1st pts	62%	54%	58%
2nd pts	10/20	9/22	19/42
% 2nd pts	50%	41%	45%
Breaks
Won	4	8	12
Converted	4/10	8/12	12/22
Converted %	40%	67%	55%
Conceded	12	11	23
Saved	11/12	6/11	17
Saved %	92%	55%	74%
Times Broken	1	5	6

Osaka
	R1 Bronzetti	R2 Putintseva	Total
Score	6-3 6-2	3-6 6-4 6-2
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	17	27	44
pts	74-56	81-80	155-136
Total points	130	161	291
Winners	34	32	66
%Winners	46%	40%	43%
SERVE
Aces	8	6	14
Double Faults	3	2	5
1st in	43/70	46/88	89/158
% 1st in	61%	52%	56%
1st pts	34/43	32/46	66/89
% 1st pts	79%	70%	74%
2nd pts	10/27	20/42	30/69
% 2nd pts	37%	48%	43%
Breaks
Won	4	5	9
Converted	4/8	5/7	9/15
Converted %	50%	71%	60%
Conceded	7	10	17
Saved	6/7	6/10	12
Saved %	86%	60%	73%
Times Broken	1	4	5

Tennis Scores in Beijing

• Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Sijia WeiWei (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Yue YuanYuan (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Cristina BucsaBucsa – Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova (6-1 4-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Elise MertensMertens – Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto (6-4 6-7⁶ 6-3) – See score progression
• Madison KeysKeys – Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
• Jaqueline CristianCristian – Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova (1-6 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Magda LinetteLinette – Moyuka UchijimaUchijima (6-4 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Mananchaya SawangkaewSawangkaew (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
• Ashlyn KruegerKrueger – Lulu SunSun (6-1 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Nadia PodoroskaPodoroska – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (7-5 6-7⁴ 6-2) – See score progression
• Qinwen ZhengZheng – Kamilla RakhimovaRakhimova (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
• Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Clara TausonTauson (1-6 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Jana FettFett (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova – Maria Camila Osorio SerranoCamila Osorio Serrano (1-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Peyton StearnsStearns – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
• Greetje MinnenMinnen – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (7-5 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Cori GauffGauff – Clara BurelBurel (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Paula BadosaBadosa – Viktoriya TomovaTomova (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Katie VolynetsVolynets – Marta KostyukKostyuk (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan – Caroline DolehideDolehide (6-3 5-7 6-2) – See score progression
• Naomi OsakaOsaka – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (3-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Jessica PegulaPegula – Diane ParryParry (6-1 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Shuai ZhangZhang – Emma NavarroNavarro (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Yuliia StarodubtsevaStarodubtseva – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Xinyu WangWang (3-6 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Magdalena FrechFrech – Alycia ParksParks (6-4 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
• Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Hailey BaptisteBaptiste (3-6 7-6² 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Diana ShnaiderShnaider – Sofia KeninKenin (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• Rebecca SramkovaSramkova – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (5-7 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Katie BoulterBoulter – Taylor TownsendTownsend (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• David PoljakPoljak – Mikalai HaliakHaliak (6-2 5-2 ret.) – See score progression
• Jan MertlMertl – Pavel KotovKotov (7-6³ 6-3) – See score progression
• Oscar Jose GutierrezJose Gutierrez – Robin StanekStanek (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Tomas MachacMachac – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Patrik RiklRikl – Pavel NejedlyNejedly (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
• Vit KoprivaKopriva – Michal FranekFranek (3-6 6-1 6-3) – See score progression
• Alexander VasilenkoVasilenko – Tadeas ParoulekParoulek (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Mananchaya SawangkaewSawangkaew (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
• Ashlyn KruegerKrueger – Lulu SunSun (6-1 7-6(4)) – See score progression
• Madison KeysKeys – Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
• Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Sijia WeiWei (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Yue YuanYuan (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Jaqueline CristianCristian – Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova (1-6 6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Irina-Camelia BeguBegu (6-7(5) 6-1 6-1) – See score progression
• Donna VekicVekic – Viktorija GolubicGolubic (4-6 7-6(3) 6-4) – See score progression
• Nadia PodoroskaPodoroska – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (7-5 6-7(4) 6-2) – See score progression
• Qinwen ZhengZheng – Kamilla RakhimovaRakhimova (6-1 6-1) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Madison KeysKeys – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Cristina BucsaBucsa – Elise MertensMertens (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Jaqueline CristianCristian (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Magda LinetteLinette (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (0-4) – H2H and prediction
• Nadia PodoroskaPodoroska – Qinwen ZhengZheng (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan – Yulia StarodubtsewaStarodubtsewa (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Peyton StearnsStearns – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Katie VolynetsVolynets – Naomi OsakaOsaka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Katie BoulterBoulter – Cori GauffGauff (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Shuai ZhangZhang – Greetje MinnenMinnen (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Magdalena FrechFrech – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Rebecca SramkovaSramkova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Jessica PegulaPegula (2-0) – H2H and prediction