Katie Volynets and Naomi Osaka will face off in the 3^rd round of the China Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 12:00 pm on MOON. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Naomi Osaka who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Naomi Osaka is the pick to win this match.
Naomi Osaka -> 1.21
Katie Volynets -> 4.4

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Katie Volynets vs. Naomi Osaka

There is no head to head record between Katie Volynets and Naomi Osaka since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Katie Volynets

Ranked no. 60, the American got to the 3^rd round after beating Dalma Galfi 7-5 6-1 and Marta Kostyuk 7-5 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Kostyuk (7-5 6-3). During the match, Volynets scored 76 points vs Kostyuk’s 64. Volynets was very aggressive to blast 30 winners.

Regarding the service games, Volynets wasn’t able to score even 1 ace and she was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults. Katie Volynets lost the serve 5 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Volynets put 72% of her first serves in, winning 54% (30/56) of the points behind her 1st serve and 41% (9/22) on the 2nd serve. Katie broke Kostyuk 8 times after converting 67% of her break points (8/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Volynets hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to win 54% of the points she played.

Volynets has a winning record in the last 8 years having won 59% of her matches (200-138). 23-13 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Volynets has an overall114-79 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.

Her best result of the season was winning the title the Makarska where she overcame Mayar Sherif in the final 3-6 6-2 6-1.

Volynets has a composed 46-21 win-loss record in 2024, 23-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Volynets has never competed in this tournament before.

Naomi Osaka

Ranked no. 73, Naomi reached the 3^rd round after defeating Lucia Bronzetti 6-3 6-2 and Yulia Putintseva 3-6 6-4 6-2.

In the 2^nd round against Putintseva, Naomi recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-4 6-2). During the match Osaka scored 81 points vs Putintseva’s 80. Osaka was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.

About the serving games, Osaka recorded 6 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Naomi Osaka lost the serve 4 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Osaka put 52% of her first serves in, winning 70% (32/46) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (20/42) on the 2nd serve. Naomi broke Putintseva 5 times after converting 71% of her break points (5/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Naomi has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.

Osaka has a compiled 21-17 win-loss record in 2024, 12-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Volynets	Osaka
Match played	2	2
Tot Set	4	5
Tot Games	40	44
Pts	160-137	155-136
Total Points	297	291
Winners	71	66
%Winners	44%	43%

Both Volynets and Osaka played 2 matches. At the moment, Naomi Osaka conceded 1 set while Katie Volynets hasn’t conceded a set so far. Volynets has played 1 set(s) less than Osaka (4 vs 5). Therefore, Volynets played 4 games less than Osaka. Katie scored 71 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese recorded 66 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Volynets	Osaka
Aces	1	14
Avg per match	0.5	7
1st in	122/164	89/158
%1st in	74%	56%
1st pts	71/122	66/89
%1st pts	58%	74%
2nd pts	19/42	30/69
%2nd pts	45%	43%

Volynets struck 1 ace (0.5 per match). Osaka also made 14 aces (7 per match). Volynets won 58% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Osaka won 74% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 43% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Volynets	Osaka
Won	12	9
Converted	12/22	9/15
% Converted	55%	60%
Conceded	23	17
Saved	17	12
% Saved	74%	71%
Times Broken	6	5

Katie broke her opponents 12 times with a 55% conversion rate. Volynets conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 74% of the break points that she conceded. Osaka broke her opponents 9 times with a 60% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded.

Volynets
	R1 Galfi	R2 Kostyuk	Total
Score	7-5 6-1	7-5 6-3
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	19	21	40
pts	84-73	76-64	160-137
Total points	157	140	297
Winners	41	30	71
%Winners	49%	39%	44%
SERVE
Aces	1	0	1
Double Faults	3	0	3
1st in	66/86	56/78	122/164
% 1st in	77%	72%	74%
1st pts	41/66	30/56	71/122
% 1st pts	62%	54%	58%
2nd pts	10/20	9/22	19/42
% 2nd pts	50%	41%	45%
Breaks
Won	4	8	12
Converted	4/10	8/12	12/22
Converted %	40%	67%	55%
Conceded	12	11	23
Saved	11/12	6/11	17
Saved %	92%	55%	74%
Times Broken	1	5	6

Osaka
	R1 Bronzetti	R2 Putintseva	Total
Score	6-3 6-2	3-6 6-4 6-2
Tot Set	2	3	5
Tot Games	17	27	44
pts	74-56	81-80	155-136
Total points	130	161	291
Winners	34	32	66
%Winners	46%	40%	43%
SERVE
Aces	8	6	14
Double Faults	3	2	5
1st in	43/70	46/88	89/158
% 1st in	61%	52%	56%
1st pts	34/43	32/46	66/89
% 1st pts	79%	70%	74%
2nd pts	10/27	20/42	30/69
% 2nd pts	37%	48%	43%
Breaks
Won	4	5	9
Converted	4/8	5/7	9/15
Converted %	50%	71%	60%
Conceded	7	10	17
Saved	6/7	6/10	12
Saved %	86%	60%	73%
Times Broken	1	4	5

Tennis Scores in Beijing

• Paula BadosaBadosa – Rebecca SramkovaSramkova (7-5 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Shuai ZhangZhang – Greetje MinnenMinnen (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Magdalena FrechFrech – Diana ShnaiderShnaider (0-6 6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Jessica PegulaPegula – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (6-7⁹ 6-1 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Cori GauffGauff – Katie BoulterBoulter (7-5 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Yuliia StarodubtsevaStarodubtseva – Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan (6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Madison KeysKeys – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Cristina BucsaBucsa – Elise MertensMertens (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Jaqueline CristianCristian (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Magda LinetteLinette (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Amanda AnisimovaAnisimova (0-4) – H2H and prediction
• Nadia PodoroskaPodoroska – Qinwen ZhengZheng (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Peyton StearnsStearns – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Katie VolynetsVolynets – Naomi OsakaOsaka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Shuai ZhangZhang – Magdalena FrechFrech (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-3) – H2H and prediction