Andrey Rublev and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the China Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 1:00 pm on CAPITAL GROUP DIAMOND. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.37
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina -> 3.1
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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
This will be the 5th time that Andrey Rublev and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina clash against each other. The head to head is 4-0 for Rublev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Rublev won 7-6(10) 6-4 in the 3rd round in Madrid back in April 2024.
Highlights Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina – Madrid 28-April-2024
Andrey Rublev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 43-26 | 26-11 | 11-6 | 6-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-26 | 23-12 | 19-5 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-20 | 19-7 | 14-6 | 18-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 25-10 | 9-5 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6, Andrey reached the 2nd round after defeating Pablo Carreno-Busta 6-0 4-6 6-4.
In the 1st round, The Russian defeated Carreno-Busta (6-0 4-6 6-4). During the match, Rublev scored 83 points vs Carreno-Busta’s 70. The Russian was quite aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Regarding the service games, Rublev scored 12 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Andrey Rublev was exceptionally effective on serve to win 77% (33/43) of his 1st serve and 53% (17/32) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Rublev broke Carreno-Busta 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Rublev has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (428-238). 25-9 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Rublev has a compiled 178-91 record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Hong Kong where he defeated Emil Ruusuvuori in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Madrid where he beat Felix Auger-Aliassime in the final 4-6 7-5 7-5.
Rublev has a composed 38-18 win-loss record in 2024, 25-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 20-22 | 13-12 | 2-5 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-28 | 18-11 | 9-8 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-26 | 7-9 | 11-8 | 0-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-25 | 4-6 | 16-7 | 9-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 64, Alejandro got to the 2nd round after beating Zhizhen Zhang 6-3 4-6 6-3.
In the 1st round, Davidovich Fokina defeated Zhang (6-3 4-6 6-3). During the match Davidovich Fokina scored 89 points vs Zhang’s 79. Alejandro was quite aggressive to blast 46 winners.
About the serving games, Davidovich Fokina managed to score 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina lost the serve twice and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Davidovich Fokina put 74% of his first serves in, winning 68% (46/68) of the points behind his 1st serve and 63% (15/24) on the 2nd serve. Alejandro was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Zhang 4 times.
Davidovich Fokina has a composed 16-18 win-loss record in 2024, 12-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rublev | Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 26 | 28 |
| Pts | 83-70 | 89-79 |
| Total Points | 153 | 168 |
| Winners | 33 | 46 |
| %Winners | 40% | 52% |
Both Rublev and Davidovich Fokina played 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Andrey Rublev dropped 1 set, while Alejandro Davidovich Fokina conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Rublev and Davidovich Fokina have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Rublev played 2 games less than Davidovich Fokina. Andrey scored 33 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Davidovich Fokina struck 46 winners (52%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rublev | Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 12 | 7 |
| 1st in | 43/75 | 68/92 |
| %1st in | 57% | 74% |
| 1st pts | 33/43 | 46/68 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 17/32 | 15/24 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 63% |
Rublev made 12 aces . Davidovich Fokina struck 7 aces . Rublev won 77% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Davidovich Fokina won 68% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rublev | Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 4 |
| Converted | 5/8 | 4/4 |
| % Converted | 63% | 100% |
| Conceded | 6 | 9 |
| Saved | 4 | 7 |
| % Saved | 67% | 78% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
Andrey broke his opponent 5 times with a 63% conversion rate. Rublev surrendered his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Alejandro broke his opponent 4 times with a 100% conversion rate. Davidovich Fokina conceded his serve twice and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rublev | |||
| R1 Carreno-Busta |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 4-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 83-70 | 83-70 | |
| Total points | 153 | 153 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 12 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 43/75 | 43/75 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 33/43 | 33/43 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/32 | 17/32 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/8 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Davidovich Fokina | |||
| R1 Zhang |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 4-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 28 | |
| pts | 89-79 | 89-79 | |
| Total points | 168 | 168 | |
| Winners | 46 | 46 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 52% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 68/92 | 68/92 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 74% | |
| 1st pts | 46/68 | 46/68 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/24 | 15/24 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/4 | 4/4 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | |
| Saved | 7/9 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 78% | 78% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
L
L Tennis Scores in Beijing
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (6-1 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (7-64 7-69) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (7-66 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (3-6 6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – Pavel KotovKotov (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (3-6 6-2 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (4-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-1) – H2H and prediction
