Alex Michelsen and Christopher O Connell will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Japan Open Tennis Championships for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 1:30 pm on COLOSSEUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex Michelsen who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alex Michelsen is the pick to win this match.
Alex Michelsen -> 1.35
Christopher O Connell -> 3.2
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Prediction and head to head Alex Michelsen vs. Christopher O Connell
There is no head to head record between Alex Michelsen and Christopher O Connell since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Alex Michelsen
36 - 28win/loss
41
41
LWWWLWLLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 42-33 | 26-14 | 4-9 | 5-4 | 7-6 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 61-27 | 30-13 | 4-3 | 19-7 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-10 | 14-8 | 0-1 | 9-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 49, the American got to the 2nd round after beating Yasutaka Uchiyama 6-3 6-4, Borna Coric 6-3 6-3 and Stefanos Tsitsipas 4-6 6-1 6-2.
In the 1st round against Tsitsipas, The American recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-1 6-2). During the match, Michelsen scored 80 points vs Tsitsipas’s 57. Alex was very aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about the service games, Michelsen recorded 9 aces and he was quite steady in conceding no double faults. Alex Michelsen lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Michelsen put 65% of his first serves in, winning 70% (32/46) of the points behind his 1st serve and 68% (17/25) on the 2nd serve. Alex was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Tsitsipas 5 times.
Michelsen has a solid record in the last 3 years having won 65% of his matches (120-65). 24-12 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Michelsen has a compiled68-33 match record in the last 3 years on hard.
The American’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Newport and Salem.
Alex has a composed 36-28 win-loss record in 2024, 24-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Tokyo
Alex has never competed in this tournament before.
Christopher O Connell
25 - 19win/loss
66
53
LWWLLWLLLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 28-26 | 23-16 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-34 | 19-18 | 11-9 | 4-3 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-25 | 30-16 | 12-5 | 3-1 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 22-16 | 14-9 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-12 | 4-5 | 4-3 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 79, Christopher got to the 2nd round after defeating Otto Virtanen 6-4 6-4, Taro Daniel 6-3 7-5 and Tomas Martin Etcheverry 6-4 7-6(5).
In the 1st round, O had a good straight sets win against Etcheverry (6-4 7-65). During the match O scored 94 points vs Etcheverry’s 92. Christopher was quite aggressive to blast 45 winners.
About the serving games, O fired 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Christopher O Connell lost the serve once and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, O put 55% of his first serves in, winning 80% (45/56) of the points behind his 1st serve and 33% (15/45) on the 2nd serve. O broke Etcheverry twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).
His best result of the season was conquering the title the Guangzhou Challenger where he beat Sho Shimabukuro in the final 1-6 7-5 7-6(5).
The Australian has an overall 25-19 win-loss record in 2024, 23-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Tokyo
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Michelsen | O |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 62 | 64 |
| Pts | 203-147 | 230-203 |
| Total Points | 350 | 433 |
| Winners | 90 | 109 |
| %Winners | 44% | 47% |
Both Michelsen and O played 3 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Alex Michelsen dropped 1 set while Christopher O Connell hasn’t lost a set so far. Michelsen has played 1 set more than O (7 vs 6). However, it’s interesting to notice that Michelsen played 2 games less than O. Michelsen scored 90 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, O made 109 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Michelsen | O |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 17 | 25 |
| Avg per match | 5.7 | 8.3 |
| 1st in | 116/175 | 137/229 |
| %1st in | 66% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 90/116 | 109/137 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 37/59 | 44/92 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 48% |
Michelsen blasted 17 aces (5.7 per match). O scored 25 aces (8.3 per match). Michelsen won 78% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, O won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Michelsen | O |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 6 |
| Converted | 10/17 | 6/15 |
| % Converted | 59% | 40% |
| Conceded | 5 | 15 |
| Saved | 3 | 14 |
| % Saved | 60% | 93% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
Michelsen broke his opponents 10 times with a 59% conversion rate. Alex dropped his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Christopher broke his opponents 6 times with a 40% conversion rate. Christopher conceded his serve once and he saved 93% of the break points that he conceded.
| Michelsen | |||||
| Q1 Uchiyama |
Q3 Coric |
R1 Tsitsipas |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 6-3 | 4-6 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 18 | 25 | 62 | |
| pts | 59-46 | 64-44 | 80-57 | 203-147 | |
| Total points | 105 | 108 | 137 | 350 | |
| Winners | 30 | 28 | 32 | 90 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 44% | 40% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 34/52 | 36/52 | 46/71 | 116/175 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 69% | 65% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 30/34 | 28/36 | 32/46 | 90/116 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 78% | 70% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/18 | 10/16 | 17/25 | 37/59 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 63% | 68% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 3/7 | 5/5 | 10/17 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 43% | 100% | 59% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/2 | 1/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 33% | 44% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| O | |||||
| Q1 Virtanen |
Q3 Daniel |
R1 Etcheverry |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-3 7-5 | 6-4 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 21 | 23 | 64 | |
| pts | 56-49 | 80-62 | 94-92 | 230-203 | |
| Total points | 105 | 142 | 186 | 433 | |
| Winners | 26 | 38 | 45 | 109 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 48% | 48% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 12 | 8 | 25 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 33/55 | 48/73 | 56/101 | 137/229 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 66% | 55% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 26/33 | 38/48 | 45/56 | 109/137 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 79% | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/22 | 14/25 | 15/45 | 44/92 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 56% | 33% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Converted | 2/2 | 2/5 | 2/8 | 6/15 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 40% | 25% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 4 | 10 | 15 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 4/4 | 9/10 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 90% | 97% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWLWLLWL
LWWLLWLLLL Tennis Scores in Tokyo
- Ben SheltonShelton – Mariano NavoneNavone (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jack DraperDraper – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Arthur FilsFils – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (6-75 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Kei NishikoriNishikori (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Christopher O ConnellO Connell – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Tomas MachacMachac (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Jack DraperDraper (0-0) – H2H and prediction
