Tommy Paul and Tomas Machac will play each other in the 2nd round of the Japan Open Tennis Championships for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 11:00 am on COLOSSEUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tommy Paul who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Tommy Paul is the pick to win this match.
Tommy Paul -> 1.41
Tomas Machac -> 2.91

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Prediction and head to head Tommy Paul vs. Tomas Machac

There is no head to head record between Tommy Paul and Tomas Machac since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Tommy Paul

Tommy Paul

39 - 15win/loss

Hard
15-9
I Hard
4-0
Clay
10-4
Grass
10-2
Rank
13
High
12
WLWWWLLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 39-15 15-9 10-4 4-0 10-2 0-0
2023 46-29 29-13 5-6 3-5 9-5 0-0
2022 39-27 21-12 2-6 9-5 7-4 0-0
2021 33-23 12-12 9-7 12-4 0-0 0-0
2020 21-14 12-6 5-4 4-4 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 13, the American got to the 2nd round after defeating Matteo Arnaldi 6-3 6-2.

In the 1st round, Tommy had a good straight sets win against Arnaldi (6-3 6-2). During the match, Paul scored 59 points vs Arnaldi’s 36. Paul was exceptionally aggressive to blast 17 winners.

Talking about the service games, Paul scored 3 aces and he was quite steady in conceding no double faults. Tommy Paul was very effective on serve to win 71% (17/24) of his 1st serve and 88% (15/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Arnaldi 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Paul has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (389-220). 15-9 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Paul has an aggregate 190-110 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Dallas where he beat Marcos Giron in the final 7-6(3) 5-7 6-3 and in London where he overcame Lorenzo Musetti in the final 6-1 7-6(8).

The American has an overall 39-15 win-loss record in 2024, 15-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Tokyo

Tokyo
Paul's Record

Tomas Machac

Tomas Machac

28 - 19win/loss

Hard
16-9
I Hard
2-3
Clay
9-5
Grass
1-2
Rank
34
High
33
WLLLWWWLLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 28-19 16-9 9-5 2-3 1-2 0-0
2023 52-27 15-10 16-11 18-5 3-1 0-0
2022 47-19 24-6 5-2 18-10 0-0 0-1
2021 28-19 5-4 5-4 12-6 2-3 4-2
2020 27-12 0-0 12-6 15-5 0-0 0-1

Ranked no. 34, Tomas got to the 2nd round after defeating Alexei Popyrin 6-3 6-7(5) 7-5.

In the 1st round, Machac defeated Popyrin (6-3 6-75 7-5). During the match Machac scored 114 points vs Popyrin’s 99. The Czech was pretty aggressive to blast 60 winners.

About the serving games, Machac fired 10 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Tomas Machac was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 85% (60/71) of his 1st serve and 60% (18/30) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Czech broke Popyrin twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).

Machac’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Geneva.

Tomas has a compiled 28-19 win-loss record in 2024, 16-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Tokyo

The Czech has never competed in this tournament before.

Tokyo
Machac's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

T.Paul
T.Machac
1h:08
1h:08
Time on court​
!
2h:29
2h:29
1h:08
1h:08
Last match​
!
2h:29
2h:29
1
1
Match played
1
1
17
17
Games Played​
34
34
2
2
Set played​​
3
3
59
59
Total points​
114
114
59
59
Avg point​
114
114
17
17
Winners
60
60
17
17
Avg Winners​
60
60
29%
29%
Ratio winners
53%
53%
-- Serve --
3
3
Aces
10
10
3
3
Avg Aces
10
10
0
0
Double Faults
1
1
0
0
Avg Double Faults
1
1
17/24
17/24
1st won total​
60/71
60/71
!
71%
71%
1st won %
!
85%
85%
15/17
15/17
2nd won total​
18/30
18/30
!
88%
88%
2nd won %
60%
60%
-- Break Points --
4/6
4/6
BP won
2/6
2/6
4/6
4/6
Avg BP won
2/6
2/6
!
67%
67%
Won
33%
33%
0
0
Conceded
4
4
0
0
Avg Conceded
4
4
0
0
Broken
0
0
!
0
0
Avg Broken
!
0
0
0
0
Saved
4
4

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Paul Machac
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 3
Tot Games 17 34
Pts 59-36 114-99
Total Points 95 213
Winners 17 60
%Winners 29% 53%

Both Paul and Machac played 1 match. At the moment, Tomas Machac lost 1 set while Tommy Paul hasn’t lost a set so far. Paul has played 1 set(s) less than Machac (2 vs 3). Therefore, Paul played 17 games less than Machac. Tommy scored 17 winners (29% of the total points). On the other side, The Czech recorded 60 winners (53%).

Serve Performance

Serve Paul Machac
Aces 3 10
Avg per match 3 10
1st in 24/41 71/101
%1st in 59% 70%
1st pts 17/24 60/71
%1st pts 71% 85%
2nd pts 15/17 18/30
%2nd pts 88% 60%

Paul made 3 aces . Machac recorded 10 aces . Paul won 71% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 88% of the points. On the other side, Machac won 85% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Paul Machac
Won 4 2
Converted 4/6 2/6
% Converted 67% 33%
Conceded 0 4
Saved 0 4
% Saved 0% 100%
Times Broken 0 0

The American broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. Tommy extremely effective on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 0 break points. Tomas broke his opponent twice with a 33% conversion rate. The Czech was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 4 break points.

Paul
R1
Arnaldi
Total
Score 6-3 6-2
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 17 17
pts 59-36 59-36
Total points 95 95
Winners 17 17
%Winners 29% 29%
SERVE
Aces 3 3
Double Faults 0 0
1st in 24/41 24/41
% 1st in 59% 59%
1st pts 17/24 17/24
% 1st pts 71% 71%
2nd pts 15/17 15/17
% 2nd pts 88% 88%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/6 4/6
Converted % 67% 67%
Conceded 0 0
Saved 0/0 0
Saved % 0%
Times Broken 0 0
Machac
R1
Popyrin
Total
Score 6-3 6-75 7-5
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 34 34
pts 114-99 114-99
Total points 213 213
Winners 60 60
%Winners 53% 53%
SERVE
Aces 10 10
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 71/101 71/101
% 1st in 70% 70%
1st pts 60/71 60/71
% 1st pts 85% 85%
2nd pts 18/30 18/30
% 2nd pts 60% 60%
Breaks
Won 2 2
Converted 2/6 2/6
Converted % 33% 33%
Conceded 4 4
Saved 4/4 4
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0

Tennis Scores in Tokyo

Upcoming matches in the draw