Tommy Paul and Tomas Machac will play each other in the 2^nd round of the Japan Open Tennis Championships for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 11:00 am on COLOSSEUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tommy Paul who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Tommy Paul is the pick to win this match.
Tommy Paul -> 1.41
Tomas Machac -> 2.91

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Prediction and head to head Tommy Paul vs. Tomas Machac

There is no head to head record between Tommy Paul and Tomas Machac since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Tommy Paul

Ranked no. 13, the American got to the 2^nd round after defeating Matteo Arnaldi 6-3 6-2.

In the 1^st round, Tommy had a good straight sets win against Arnaldi (6-3 6-2). During the match, Paul scored 59 points vs Arnaldi’s 36. Paul was exceptionally aggressive to blast 17 winners.

Talking about the service games, Paul scored 3 aces and he was quite steady in conceding no double faults. Tommy Paul was very effective on serve to win 71% (17/24) of his 1st serve and 88% (15/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Arnaldi 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Paul has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (389-220). 15-9 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Paul has an aggregate 190-110 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Dallas where he beat Marcos Giron in the final 7-6(3) 5-7 6-3 and in London where he overcame Lorenzo Musetti in the final 6-1 7-6(8).

The American has an overall 39-15 win-loss record in 2024, 15-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Tokyo

Tomas Machac

Ranked no. 34, Tomas got to the 2^nd round after defeating Alexei Popyrin 6-3 6-7(5) 7-5.

In the 1^st round, Machac defeated Popyrin (6-3 6-7⁵ 7-5). During the match Machac scored 114 points vs Popyrin’s 99. The Czech was pretty aggressive to blast 60 winners.

About the serving games, Machac fired 10 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Tomas Machac was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 85% (60/71) of his 1st serve and 60% (18/30) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Czech broke Popyrin twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).

Machac’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Geneva.

Tomas has a compiled 28-19 win-loss record in 2024, 16-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Tokyo

The Czech has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Paul	Machac
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	3
Tot Games	17	34
Pts	59-36	114-99
Total Points	95	213
Winners	17	60
%Winners	29%	53%

Both Paul and Machac played 1 match. At the moment, Tomas Machac lost 1 set while Tommy Paul hasn’t lost a set so far. Paul has played 1 set(s) less than Machac (2 vs 3). Therefore, Paul played 17 games less than Machac. Tommy scored 17 winners (29% of the total points). On the other side, The Czech recorded 60 winners (53%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Paul	Machac
Aces	3	10
Avg per match	3	10
1st in	24/41	71/101
%1st in	59%	70%
1st pts	17/24	60/71
%1st pts	71%	85%
2nd pts	15/17	18/30
%2nd pts	88%	60%

Paul made 3 aces . Machac recorded 10 aces . Paul won 71% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 88% of the points. On the other side, Machac won 85% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Paul	Machac
Won	4	2
Converted	4/6	2/6
% Converted	67%	33%
Conceded	0	4
Saved	0	4
% Saved	0%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

The American broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. Tommy extremely effective on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 0 break points. Tomas broke his opponent twice with a 33% conversion rate. The Czech was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 4 break points.

Paul
	R1 Arnaldi	Total
Score	6-3 6-2
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	17	17
pts	59-36	59-36
Total points	95	95
Winners	17	17
%Winners	29%	29%
SERVE
Aces	3	3
Double Faults	0	0
1st in	24/41	24/41
% 1st in	59%	59%
1st pts	17/24	17/24
% 1st pts	71%	71%
2nd pts	15/17	15/17
% 2nd pts	88%	88%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/6	4/6
Converted %	67%	67%
Conceded	0	0
Saved	0/0	0
Saved %	–	0%
Times Broken	0	0

Machac
	R1 Popyrin	Total
Score	6-3 6-75 7-5
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	34	34
pts	114-99	114-99
Total points	213	213
Winners	60	60
%Winners	53%	53%
SERVE
Aces	10	10
Double Faults	1	1
1st in	71/101	71/101
% 1st in	70%	70%
1st pts	60/71	60/71
% 1st pts	85%	85%
2nd pts	18/30	18/30
% 2nd pts	60%	60%
Breaks
Won	2	2
Converted	2/6	2/6
Converted %	33%	33%
Conceded	4	4
Saved	4/4	4
Saved %	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

Tennis Scores in Tokyo

• Arthur FilsFils – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (6-7⁵ ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Ben SheltonShelton – Mariano NavoneNavone (6-4 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Jack DraperDraper – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Jordan ThompsonThompson – Kei NishikoriNishikori (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Christopher O ConnellO Connell – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tommy PaulPaul – Tomas MachacMachac (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Jack DraperDraper (0-0) – H2H and prediction