Daniil Medvedev and Adrian Mannarino will square off in the 2nd round of the China Open for the 8th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 8:30 pm on CAPITAL GROUP DIAMOND. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.114
Adrian Mannarino -> 6.4

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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Adrian Mannarino

This will be the 8th time that Daniil Medvedev and Adrian Mannarino fight against each other. The head to head is 4-3 for Mannarino (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Medvedev won 6-3 6-3 7-6(5) in the 2nd round in at the Wimbledon back in 2023.

Daniil Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev

40 - 16win/loss

Hard
23-7
I Hard
0-2
Clay
11-5
Grass
6-2
Rank
5
High
1
WLLLWWWWLL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 40-16 23-7 11-5 0-2 6-2 0-0
2023 66-18 38-8 10-3 11-4 7-3 0-0
2022 45-19 26-8 3-2 8-6 8-3 0-0
2021 63-13 33-5 5-3 18-3 7-2 0-0
2020 28-10 14-4 0-2 14-4 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 5, Medvedev reached the 2nd round after defeating Gael Monfils 6-3 6-4.

In the 1st round, Daniil had a good straight sets win against Monfils (6-3 6-4). During the match, Medvedev scored 78 points vs Monfils’s 55. Daniil was exceptionally aggressive to blast 23 winners.

Regarding the service games, Medvedev blasted 2 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Daniil Medvedev was quite effective on serve to win 72% (23/32) of his 1st serve and 56% (18/32) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Daniil broke Monfils 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).

Medvedev has a marvellous match record in the last 10 years having won 71% of his matches (504-203). 23-7 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Medvedev has a compiled 241-76 match record in the last years on hard.

Daniil’s best result of the season was reaching the final at the Australian Open and Indian Wells.

Medvedev has a compiled 40-16 win-loss record in 2024, 23-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Beijing
Medvedev's Record

Adrian Mannarino

Adrian Mannarino

14 - 27win/loss

Hard
9-15
I Hard
4-2
Clay
0-5
Grass
1-5
Rank
44
High
17
WLWWLWWLWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 14-27 9-15 0-5 4-2 1-5 0-0
2023 44-29 15-13 2-8 15-4 12-4 0-0
2022 31-32 18-14 1-6 8-7 4-5 0-0
2021 14-26 5-7 0-7 5-8 4-4 0-0
2020 19-17 8-7 0-3 11-7 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 44, the French player got to the 2nd round after defeating Lorenzo Sonego 1-6 6-2 6-3.

In the 1st round against Sonego, The French player recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-2 6-3). During the match Mannarino scored 74 points vs Sonego’s 69. Adrian was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.

About the serving games, Mannarino scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he was quite consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Adrian Mannarino lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Mannarino put 62% of his first serves in, winning 76% (32/42) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (13/26) on the 2nd serve. The French player broke Sonego 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

Adrian’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal Australia and Dallas.

Mannarino has a compiled 14-27 win-loss record in 2024, 9-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2016. See his history.

Beijing
Mannarino's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

D.Medvedev
A.Mannarino
1h:32
1h:32
Time on court​
1h:57
1h:57
1h:32
1h:32
Last match​
1h:57
1h:57
1
1
Match played
1
1
19
19
Games Played​
24
24
2
2
Set played​​
3
3
78
78
Total points​
74
74
78
78
Avg point​
74
74
23
23
Winners
32
32
23
23
Avg Winners​
32
32
29%
29%
Ratio winners
43%
43%
-- Serve --
2
2
Aces
1
1
2
2
Avg Aces
1
1
6
6
Double Faults
0
0
!
6
6
Avg Double Faults
0
0
23/32
23/32
1st won total​
32/42
32/42
!
72%
72%
1st won %
!
76%
76%
18/32
18/32
2nd won total​
13/26
13/26
56%
56%
2nd won %
50%
50%
-- Break Points --
5/10
5/10
BP won
3/6
3/6
5/10
5/10
Avg BP won
3/6
3/6
50%
50%
Won
50%
50%
6
6
Conceded
5
5
6
6
Avg Conceded
5
5
2
2
Broken
2
2
2
2
Avg Broken
2
2
4
4
Saved
3
3
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Medvedev Mannarino
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 3
Tot Games 19 24
Pts 78-55 74-69
Total Points 133 143
Winners 23 32
%Winners 29% 43%

Both Medvedev and Mannarino played 1 match. At the moment, Adrian Mannarino surrendered 1 set while Daniil Medvedev hasn’t dropped a set so far. Medvedev has played 1 set(s) less than Mannarino (2 vs 3). Therefore, Medvedev played 5 games less than Mannarino. Daniil scored 23 winners (29% of the total points). On the other side, The French player fired 32 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve Medvedev Mannarino
Aces 2 1
Avg per match 2 1
1st in 32/64 42/68
%1st in 50% 62%
1st pts 23/32 32/42
%1st pts 72% 76%
2nd pts 18/32 13/26
%2nd pts 56% 50%

Medvedev fired 2 aces . Mannarino struck 1 ace . Medvedev won 72% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Mannarino won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Medvedev Mannarino
Won 5 3
Converted 5/10 3/6
% Converted 50% 50%
Conceded 6 5
Saved 4 3
% Saved 67% 60%
Times Broken 2 2

The Russian broke his opponent 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Russian surrendered his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Adrian broke his opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. Mannarino conceded his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded.

Medvedev
R1
Monfils		 Total
Score 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 19 19
pts 78-55 78-55
Total points 133 133
Winners 23 23
%Winners 29% 29%
SERVE
Aces 2 2
Double Faults 6 6
1st in 32/64 32/64
% 1st in 50% 50%
1st pts 23/32 23/32
% 1st pts 72% 72%
2nd pts 18/32 18/32
% 2nd pts 56% 56%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/10 5/10
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 6 6
Saved 4/6 4
Saved % 67% 67%
Times Broken 2 2
Mannarino
R1
Sonego		 Total
Score 1-6 6-2 6-3
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 24 24
pts 74-69 74-69
Total points 143 143
Winners 32 32
%Winners 43% 43%
SERVE
Aces 1 1
Double Faults 0 0
1st in 42/68 42/68
% 1st in 62% 62%
1st pts 32/42 32/42
% 1st pts 76% 76%
2nd pts 13/26 13/26
% 2nd pts 50% 50%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/6 3/6
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 5 5
Saved 3/5 3
Saved % 60% 60%
Times Broken 2 2

Tennis Scores in Beijing

Upcoming matches in the draw

Medvedev
More Stats
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Mannarino

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