Flavio Cobolli and Pavel Kotov will face off in the 2nd round of the China Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 11:00 am on LOTUS. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Flavio Cobolli who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Flavio Cobolli is the pick to win this match.
Flavio Cobolli -> 1.52
Pavel Kotov -> 2.53

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Prediction and head to head Flavio Cobolli vs. Pavel Kotov

This will be the 5th time that Flavio Cobolli and Pavel Kotov play each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Cobolli (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Kotov won 6-1 7-6(5) in the 2nd round in Marrakech back in April 2024.

Highlights Pavel Kotov vs Flavio Cobolli – Marrakech 03-April-2024

Flavio Cobolli

Flavio Cobolli

40 - 26win/loss

Hard
24-11
I Hard
3-2
Clay
10-9
Grass
3-4
Rank
32
High
30
LWLWLWWWLL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 43-29 26-13 10-9 4-3 3-4 0-0
2023 56-36 10-6 43-23 3-6 0-1 0-0
2022 35-34 6-4 24-21 5-8 0-1 0-0
2021 46-30 5-4 39-21 2-5 0-0 0-0
2020 4-8 2-2 2-4 0-2 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 32, Cobolli got to the 2nd round after defeating Alexander Bublik 4-6 6-1 7-6(4).

In the 1st round against Bublik, Flavio recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-1 7-64). During the match, Cobolli scored 100 points vs Bublik’s 92. Flavio was exceptionally aggressive to blast 50 winners.

Talking about the service games, Cobolli scored 6 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Flavio Cobolli lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Cobolli put 57% of his first serves in, winning 81% (50/62) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (21/47) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Bublik 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).

Cobolli has a winning match record in the last 7 years having won 57% of his matches (187-139). 24-11 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Cobolli has a compiled49-28 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.

Cobolli’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Washington.

Cobolli has an overall 40-26 win-loss record in 2024, 24-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Flavio has never competed in this tournament before.

Beijing
Cobolli's Record

Pavel Kotov

Pavel Kotov

20 - 19win/loss

Hard
9-9
I Hard
0-0
Clay
11-9
Grass
0-1
Rank
85
High
50
LLLLLLWWWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 20-25 9-11 11-9 0-4 0-1 0-0
2023 45-32 13-14 20-12 9-2 3-4 0-0
2022 37-20 5-3 20-9 12-8 0-0 0-0
2021 29-25 5-5 7-11 17-9 0-0 0-0
2020 12-10 0-0 0-1 12-8 0-0 0-1
See all years

Ranked no. 63, Kotov got to the 2nd round after beating Sumit Nagal 6-2 7-6(5), Roberto Carballes Baena 7-6(3) 4-6 6-3 and Yi Zhou 1-6 6-3 7-5.

In the 1st round against Zhou, The Russian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-3 7-5). During the match Kotov scored 91 points vs Zhou’s 90. Pavel was pretty aggressive to blast 41 winners.

About the serving games, Kotov blasted 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Pavel Kotov lost the serve 4 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Kotov put 70% of his first serves in, winning 66% (41/62) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (11/26) on the 2nd serve. Pavel broke Zhou 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).

Kotov’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Marrakech.

Kotov has a composed 20-19 win-loss record in 2024, 9-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2023. See his history.

Beijing
Kotov's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

F.Cobolli
P.Kotov
2h:03
2h:03
Time on court​
!
7h:13
7h:13
!
2h:03
2h:03
Last match​
!
2h:20
2h:20
1
1
Match played
!
3
3
30
30
Games Played​
81
81
3
3
Set played​​
8
8
100
100
Total points​
283
283
100
100
Avg point​
94.3
94.3
50
50
Winners
125
125
50
50
Avg Winners​
41.7
41.7
50%
50%
Ratio winners
44%
44%
-- Serve --
6
6
Aces
16
16
6
6
Avg Aces
5.3
5.3
4
4
Double Faults
5
5
4
4
Avg Double Faults
1.7
1.7
50/62
50/62
1st won total​
125/178
125/178
!
81%
81%
1st won %
70%
70%
21/47
21/47
2nd won total​
52/109
52/109
45%
45%
2nd won %
48%
48%
-- Break Points --
3/5
3/5
BP won
11/23
11/23
3/5
3/5
Avg BP won
3.7/7.7
3.7/7.7
!
60%
60%
Won
48%
48%
5
5
Conceded
26
26
5
5
Avg Conceded
8.7
8.7
2
2
Broken
9
9
2
2
Avg Broken
3
3
3
3
Saved
17
17
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Cobolli Kotov
Match played 1 3
Tot Set 3 8
Tot Games 30 81
Pts 100-92 283-264
Total Points 192 547
Winners 50 125
%Winners 50% 44%

Cobolli played 1 match while Kotov competed in 3 matches. Kotov started his run from the qualifications while Cobolli had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Flavio Cobolli surrendered 1 set, while Pavel Kotov lost 2 sets. Cobolli has played 5 set(s) less than Kotov (3 vs 8). Therefore, Cobolli played 51 games less than Kotov. The Italian scored 50 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian struck 125 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve Cobolli Kotov
Aces 6 16
Avg per match 6 5.3
1st in 62/109 178/287
%1st in 57% 62%
1st pts 50/62 125/178
%1st pts 81% 70%
2nd pts 21/47 52/109
%2nd pts 45% 48%

Cobolli made 6 aces . Kotov bagged 16 aces (5.3 per match). Cobolli won 81% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Kotov won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Cobolli Kotov
Won 3 11
Converted 3/5 11/23
% Converted 60% 48%
Conceded 5 26
Saved 3 17
% Saved 60% 65%
Times Broken 2 9

The Italian broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. The Italian lost his serve twice and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Kotov broke his opponents 11 times with a 48% conversion rate. Kotov conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 65% of the break points that he conceded.

Cobolli
R1
Bublik		 Total
Score 4-6 6-1 7-64
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 30 30
pts 100-92 100-92
Total points 192 192
Winners 50 50
%Winners 50% 50%
SERVE
Aces 6 6
Double Faults 4 4
1st in 62/109 62/109
% 1st in 57% 57%
1st pts 50/62 50/62
% 1st pts 81% 81%
2nd pts 21/47 21/47
% 2nd pts 45% 45%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/5 3/5
Converted % 60% 60%
Conceded 5 5
Saved 3/5 3
Saved % 60% 60%
Times Broken 2 2
Kotov
Q1
Nagal		 Q3
Carballes Baena		 R1
Zhou		 Total
Score 6-2 7-65 7-63 4-6 6-3 1-6 6-3 7-5
Tot Set 2 3 3 8
Tot Games 21 32 28 81
pts 80-67 112-107 91-90 283-264
Total points 147 219 181 547
Winners 34 50 41 125
%Winners 43% 45% 45% 44%
SERVE
Aces 4 10 2 16
Double Faults 1 3 1 5
1st in 50/86 66/113 62/88 178/287
% 1st in 58% 58% 70% 62%
1st pts 34/50 50/66 41/62 125/178
% 1st pts 68% 76% 66% 70%
2nd pts 19/36 22/47 11/26 52/109
% 2nd pts 53% 47% 42% 48%
Breaks
Won 4 3 4 11
Converted 4/5 3/8 4/10 11/23
Converted % 80% 38% 40% 48%
Conceded 7 10 9 26
Saved 5/7 7/10 5/9 17
Saved % 71% 70% 56% 197%
Times Broken 2 3 4 9

Tennis Scores in Beijing

Upcoming matches in the draw

Cobolli
More Stats
Click here
Kotov

Click for FULL STATS