Ugo Humbert and Brandon Nakashima will face off in the 2^nd round of the Japan Open Tennis Championships for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 8:30 pm on COLOSSEUM. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Brandon Nakashima who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Brandon Nakashima is the pick to win this match.
Brandon Nakashima -> 1.9
Ugo Humbert -> 1.9

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Prediction and head to head Ugo Humbert vs. Brandon Nakashima

This will be the 4^th time that Ugo Humbert and Brandon Nakashima fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Humbert (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Humbert won 7-6(9) 6-3 6-7(5) 7-6(6) in the 3^rd round in at the Wimbledon back in July 2024.

Ugo Humbert

Ranked no. 18, the French player reached the 2^nd round after beating Shintaro Mochizuki 6-1 6-2.

In the 1^st round, Humbert had a good straight sets win against Mochizuki (6-1 6-2). During the match, Humbert scored 61 points vs Mochizuki’s 42. Humbert was exceptionally aggressive to blast 21 winners.

Talking about the service games, Humbert bagged 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Ugo Humbert was extremely efficient on serve to win 75% (21/28) of his 1st serve and 60% (12/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Ugo broke Mochizuki 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Humbert has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (331-213). 14-7 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Humbert has an aggregate 137-73 match record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the year was winning the title in Marseille where he defeated Grigor Dimitrov in the final 6-4 6-3 and in Dubai where he overcame Alexander Bublik in the final 6-4 6-3.

Humbert has an aggregate 29-20 win-loss record in 2024, 14-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Tokyo

Humbert has never competed in this tournament before.

Brandon Nakashima

Ranked no. 36 (career-high), Brandon got to the 2^nd round after beating Frances Tiafoe 7-5 6-3.

In the 1^st round, Brandon had a good straight sets win against Tiafoe (7-5 6-3). During the match Nakashima scored 64 points vs Tiafoe’s 54. The American was exceptionally aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Talking about serving, Nakashima blasted 12 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Brandon Nakashima was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 72% (36/50) of his 1st serve and 73% (8/11) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Brandon broke Tiafoe 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

His best result of the year was winning the title the Tenerife 1 Challenger where he beat Pedro Martinez Portero in the final 6-3 6-4.

Brandon has a compiled 60-26 win-loss record in 2024, 24-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Tokyo

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2022. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Humbert	Nakashima
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	15	21
Pts	61-42	64-54
Total Points	103	118
Winners	21	36
%Winners	34%	56%

Both Humbert and Nakashima played 1 match. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Humbert and Nakashima have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Humbert played 6 games less than Nakashima. Ugo scored 21 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Nakashima made 36 winners (56%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Humbert	Nakashima
Aces	2	12
Avg per match	2	12
1st in	28/48	50/61
%1st in	58%	82%
1st pts	21/28	36/50
%1st pts	75%	72%
2nd pts	12/20	8/11
%2nd pts	60%	73%

Humbert made 2 aces . Nakashima bagged 12 aces . Humbert won 75% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Nakashima won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 73% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Humbert	Nakashima
Won	4	3
Converted	4/8	3/7
% Converted	50%	43%
Conceded	2	1
Saved	2	0
% Saved	100%	0%
Times Broken	0	1

The French player broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Humbert very solid his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points. Nakashima broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Nakashima conceded his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.

Humbert
	R1 Mochizuki	Total
Score	6-1 6-2
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	15	15
pts	61-42	61-42
Total points	103	103
Winners	21	21
%Winners	34%	34%
SERVE
Aces	2	2
Double Faults	1	1
1st in	28/48	28/48
% 1st in	58%	58%
1st pts	21/28	21/28
% 1st pts	75%	75%
2nd pts	12/20	12/20
% 2nd pts	60%	60%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/8	4/8
Converted %	50%	50%
Conceded	2	2
Saved	2/2	2
Saved %	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

Nakashima
	R1 Tiafoe	Total
Score	7-5 6-3
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	21	21
pts	64-54	64-54
Total points	118	118
Winners	36	36
%Winners	56%	56%
SERVE
Aces	12	12
Double Faults	1	1
1st in	50/61	50/61
% 1st in	82%	82%
1st pts	36/50	36/50
% 1st pts	72%	72%
2nd pts	8/11	8/11
% 2nd pts	73%	73%
Breaks
Won	3	3
Converted	3/7	3/7
Converted %	43%	43%
Conceded	1	1
Saved	0/1	0
Saved %	0%	0%
Times Broken	1	1

Tennis Scores in Tokyo

• Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (7-6⁵ 3-6 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Jordan ThompsonThompson – Casper RuudRuud (7-6⁵ 6-1) – See score progression
• Alex MichelsenMichelsen – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (4-6 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-4 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Arthur FilsFils – Taylor FritzFritz (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Kei NishikoriNishikori – Marin CilicCilic (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Jack DraperDraper – Mattia BellucciBellucci (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Holger RuneRune – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (6-2 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Tommy PaulPaul – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Ben SheltonShelton – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (3-6 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Tomas MachacMachac – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (6-3 6-7⁵ 7-5) – See score progression
• Ugo HumbertHumbert – Shintaro MochizukiMochizuki (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Nathaniel Lammons/Jack WithrowLammons/Jack Withrow – Kei Nishikori/Rei SakamotoNishikori/Rei Sakamoto (6-7⁶ 6-4 10-6) – See score progression
• Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Marcos GironGiron (6-4 6-7⁵ 6-4) – See score progression
• Mariano NavoneNavone – Luciano DarderiDarderi (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Arthur FilsFils – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Jordan ThompsonThompson – Casper RuudRuud (7-6(5) 6-1) – See score progression
• Kei NishikoriNishikori – Marin CilicCilic (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
• Holger RuneRune – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (6-2 5-7 6-4) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Jordan ThompsonThompson – Kei NishikoriNishikori (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Christopher O ConnellO Connell – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Tommy PaulPaul – Tomas MachacMachac (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Ugo HumbertHumbert (1-2) – H2H and prediction
• Jack DraperDraper – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (1-4) – H2H and prediction
• Mariano NavoneNavone – (0-0) – H2H and prediction