Ugo Humbert and Brandon Nakashima will face off in the 2nd round of the Japan Open Tennis Championships for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 8:30 pm on COLOSSEUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Brandon Nakashima who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Brandon Nakashima is the pick to win this match.
Brandon Nakashima -> 1.9
Ugo Humbert -> 1.9

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Prediction and head to head Ugo Humbert vs. Brandon Nakashima

This will be the 4th time that Ugo Humbert and Brandon Nakashima play each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Humbert (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Humbert won 7-6(9) 6-3 6-7(5) 7-6(6) in the 3rd round in at the Wimbledon back in July 2024.

Ugo Humbert

Ugo Humbert

29 - 20win/loss

Hard
14-7
I Hard
5-2
Clay
5-7
Grass
5-4
Rank
18
High
13
WLWLWLLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 29-20 14-7 5-7 5-2 5-4 0-0
2023 49-26 17-11 13-5 16-6 3-4 0-0
2022 33-29 16-11 3-7 11-6 3-5 0-0
2021 19-20 6-7 1-6 4-5 8-2 0-0
2020 25-14 11-7 4-3 10-4 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 18, Humbert reached the 2nd round after defeating Shintaro Mochizuki 6-1 6-2.

In the 1st round, The French player had a good straight sets win against Mochizuki (6-1 6-2). During the match, Humbert scored 61 points vs Mochizuki’s 42. The French player was exceptionally aggressive to blast 21 winners.

Talking about the service games, Humbert bagged 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Ugo Humbert was quite efficient on serve to win 75% (21/28) of his 1st serve and 60% (12/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Ugo broke Mochizuki 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Humbert has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (331-213). 14-7 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Humbert has an aggregate 137-73 match record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the year was winning the title in Marseille where he overcame Grigor Dimitrov in the final 6-4 6-3 and in Dubai where he overcame Alexander Bublik in the final 6-4 6-3.

Ugo has an aggregate 29-20 win-loss record in 2024, 14-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Tokyo

Humbert has never competed in this tournament before.

Tokyo
Humbert's Record

Brandon Nakashima

Brandon Nakashima

60 - 26win/loss

Hard
24-10
I Hard
14-4
Clay
13-7
Grass
9-5
Rank
36
High
36
WLWWWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 60-26 24-10 13-7 14-4 9-5 0-0
2023 21-26 9-15 3-4 8-3 1-4 0-0
2022 41-26 17-13 5-5 9-4 10-4 0-0
2021 45-25 17-10 4-7 20-5 4-3 0-0
2020 28-14 19-6 4-4 5-3 0-0 0-1

Ranked no. 36 (career-high), Brandon reached the 2nd round after defeating Frances Tiafoe 7-5 6-3.

In the 1st round, Nakashima had a good straight sets win against Tiafoe (7-5 6-3). During the match Nakashima scored 64 points vs Tiafoe’s 54. Brandon was extremely aggressive to blast 36 winners.

About the serving games, Nakashima bagged 12 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Brandon Nakashima was exceptionally effective on serve to win 72% (36/50) of his 1st serve and 73% (8/11) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Brandon broke Tiafoe 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

His best result of the year was conquering the title the Tenerife 1 Challenger where he overcame Pedro Martinez Portero in the final 6-3 6-4.

Nakashima has a composed 60-26 win-loss record in 2024, 24-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Tokyo

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2022. See his history.

Tokyo
Nakashima's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

U.Humbert
B.Nakashima
1h:16
1h:16
Time on court​
1h:21
1h:21
1h:16
1h:16
Last match​
1h:21
1h:21
1
1
Match played
1
1
15
15
Games Played​
21
21
2
2
Set played​​
2
2
61
61
Total points​
64
64
61
61
Avg point​
64
64
21
21
Winners
36
36
21
21
Avg Winners​
36
36
34%
34%
Ratio winners
56%
56%
-- Serve --
2
2
Aces
12
12
2
2
Avg Aces
!
12
12
1
1
Double Faults
1
1
1
1
Avg Double Faults
1
1
21/28
21/28
1st won total​
36/50
36/50
!
75%
75%
1st won %
!
72%
72%
12/20
12/20
2nd won total​
8/11
8/11
60%
60%
2nd won %
!
73%
73%
-- Break Points --
4/8
4/8
BP won
3/7
3/7
4/8
4/8
Avg BP won
3/7
3/7
50%
50%
Won
43%
43%
2
2
Conceded
1
1
2
2
Avg Conceded
1
1
0
0
Broken
1
1
!
0
0
Avg Broken
1
1
2
2
Saved
0
0

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Humbert Nakashima
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 15 21
Pts 61-42 64-54
Total Points 103 118
Winners 21 36
%Winners 34% 56%

Both Humbert and Nakashima played 1 match. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Humbert and Nakashima have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Humbert played 6 games less than Nakashima. Humbert scored 21 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Brandon blasted 36 winners (56%).

Serve Performance

Serve Humbert Nakashima
Aces 2 12
Avg per match 2 12
1st in 28/48 50/61
%1st in 58% 82%
1st pts 21/28 36/50
%1st pts 75% 72%
2nd pts 12/20 8/11
%2nd pts 60% 73%

Humbert struck 2 aces . Nakashima scored 12 aces . Humbert won 75% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Nakashima won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 73% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Humbert Nakashima
Won 4 3
Converted 4/8 3/7
% Converted 50% 43%
Conceded 2 1
Saved 2 0
% Saved 100% 0%
Times Broken 0 1

Humbert broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Ugo very solid his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points. Nakashima broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Brandon conceded his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.

Humbert
R1
Mochizuki
Total
Score 6-1 6-2
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 15 15
pts 61-42 61-42
Total points 103 103
Winners 21 21
%Winners 34% 34%
SERVE
Aces 2 2
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 28/48 28/48
% 1st in 58% 58%
1st pts 21/28 21/28
% 1st pts 75% 75%
2nd pts 12/20 12/20
% 2nd pts 60% 60%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/8 4/8
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 2 2
Saved 2/2 2
Saved % 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0
Nakashima
R1
Tiafoe
Total
Score 7-5 6-3
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 21 21
pts 64-54 64-54
Total points 118 118
Winners 36 36
%Winners 56% 56%
SERVE
Aces 12 12
Double Faults 1 1
1st in 50/61 50/61
% 1st in 82% 82%
1st pts 36/50 36/50
% 1st pts 72% 72%
2nd pts 8/11 8/11
% 2nd pts 73% 73%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/7 3/7
Converted % 43% 43%
Conceded 1 1
Saved 0/1 0
Saved % 0% 0%
Times Broken 1 1

Tennis Scores in Tokyo

Upcoming matches in the draw