Ugo Humbert and Brandon Nakashima will face off in the 2nd round of the Japan Open Tennis Championships for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 8:30 pm on COLOSSEUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Brandon Nakashima who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Brandon Nakashima is the pick to win this match.
Brandon Nakashima -> 1.9
Ugo Humbert -> 1.9
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Prediction and head to head Ugo Humbert vs. Brandon Nakashima
This will be the 4th time that Ugo Humbert and Brandon Nakashima play each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Humbert (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Humbert won 7-6(9) 6-3 6-7(5) 7-6(6) in the 3rd round in at the Wimbledon back in July 2024.
Ugo Humbert
29 - 20win/loss
14
13
LWWWWWLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39-24 | 18-9 | 5-7 | 11-4 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 49-26 | 17-11 | 13-5 | 16-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-29 | 16-11 | 3-7 | 11-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-20 | 6-7 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 25-14 | 11-7 | 4-3 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 18, Humbert reached the 2nd round after defeating Shintaro Mochizuki 6-1 6-2.
In the 1st round, The French player had a good straight sets win against Mochizuki (6-1 6-2). During the match, Humbert scored 61 points vs Mochizuki’s 42. The French player was exceptionally aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about the service games, Humbert bagged 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Ugo Humbert was quite efficient on serve to win 75% (21/28) of his 1st serve and 60% (12/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Ugo broke Mochizuki 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Humbert has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (331-213). 14-7 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Humbert has an aggregate 137-73 match record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Marseille where he overcame Grigor Dimitrov in the final 6-4 6-3 and in Dubai where he overcame Alexander Bublik in the final 6-4 6-3.
Ugo has an aggregate 29-20 win-loss record in 2024, 14-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Tokyo
Humbert has never competed in this tournament before.
Brandon Nakashima
60 - 26win/loss
37
35
LLLWLLLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 61-32 | 24-12 | 13-7 | 15-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-26 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 8-3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-26 | 17-13 | 5-5 | 9-4 | 10-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-25 | 17-10 | 4-7 | 20-5 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-14 | 19-6 | 4-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 36 (career-high), Brandon reached the 2nd round after defeating Frances Tiafoe 7-5 6-3.
In the 1st round, Nakashima had a good straight sets win against Tiafoe (7-5 6-3). During the match Nakashima scored 64 points vs Tiafoe’s 54. Brandon was extremely aggressive to blast 36 winners.
About the serving games, Nakashima bagged 12 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Brandon Nakashima was exceptionally effective on serve to win 72% (36/50) of his 1st serve and 73% (8/11) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Brandon broke Tiafoe 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
His best result of the year was conquering the title the Tenerife 1 Challenger where he overcame Pedro Martinez Portero in the final 6-3 6-4.
Nakashima has a composed 60-26 win-loss record in 2024, 24-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Tokyo
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Humbert | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 15 | 21 |
| Pts | 61-42 | 64-54 |
| Total Points | 103 | 118 |
| Winners | 21 | 36 |
| %Winners | 34% | 56% |
Both Humbert and Nakashima played 1 match. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Humbert and Nakashima have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Humbert played 6 games less than Nakashima. Humbert scored 21 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Brandon blasted 36 winners (56%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Humbert | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 12 |
| 1st in | 28/48 | 50/61 |
| %1st in | 58% | 82% |
| 1st pts | 21/28 | 36/50 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 12/20 | 8/11 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 73% |
Humbert struck 2 aces . Nakashima scored 12 aces . Humbert won 75% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Nakashima won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 73% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Humbert | Nakashima |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 3 |
| Converted | 4/8 | 3/7 |
| % Converted | 50% | 43% |
| Conceded | 2 | 1 |
| Saved | 2 | 0 |
| % Saved | 100% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
Humbert broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Ugo very solid his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points. Nakashima broke his opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Brandon conceded his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.
| Humbert | |||
| R1 Mochizuki |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 61-42 | 61-42 | |
| Total points | 103 | 103 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 28/48 | 28/48 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 21/28 | 21/28 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/20 | 12/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/8 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Nakashima | |||
| R1 Tiafoe |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | |
| pts | 64-54 | 64-54 | |
| Total points | 118 | 118 | |
| Winners | 36 | 36 | |
| %Winners | 56% | 56% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 12 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 50/61 | 50/61 | |
| % 1st in | 82% | 82% | |
| 1st pts | 36/50 | 36/50 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/11 | 8/11 | |
| % 2nd pts | 73% | 73% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/7 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWLWLW
LLLWLLLWLW Tennis Scores in Tokyo
- Holger RuneRune – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (6-2 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonShelton – Reilly OpelkaOpelka (3-6 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Tomas MachacMachac – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (6-3 6-75 7-5) – See score progression
- Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (7-65 3-6 7-65) – See score progression
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Casper RuudRuud (7-65 6-1) – See score progression
- Alex MichelsenMichelsen – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (4-6 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-4 7-65) – See score progression
- Arthur FilsFils – Taylor FritzFritz (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Kei NishikoriNishikori – Marin CilicCilic (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Mattia BellucciBellucci (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Shintaro MochizukiMochizuki (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Nathaniel Lammons/Jack WithrowLammons/Jack Withrow – Kei Nishikori/Rei SakamotoNishikori/Rei Sakamoto (6-76 6-4 10-6) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Marcos GironGiron (6-4 6-75 6-4) – See score progression
- Mariano NavoneNavone – Luciano DarderiDarderi (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Arthur FilsFils – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Casper RuudRuud (7-6(5) 6-1) – See score progression
- Kei NishikoriNishikori – Marin CilicCilic (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Alejandro TabiloTabilo (6-2 5-7 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Kei NishikoriNishikori (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Christopher O ConnellO Connell – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Tomas MachacMachac (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Ugo HumbertHumbert (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (1-4) – H2H and prediction
- Mariano NavoneNavone – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
