Alexei Popyrin and Tomas Machac will face off in the 1st round of the Japan Open Tennis Championships for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 1:30 pm on COURT 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexei Popyrin who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Alexei Popyrin is the pick to win this match.
Alexei Popyrin -> 1.37
Tomas Machac -> 3.1

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Prediction and head to head Alexei Popyrin vs. Tomas Machac

This will be the 4th time that Alexei Popyrin and Tomas Machac play each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Popyrin (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Popyrin won 1-0 in the Rubber 2 in Davis Cup, Group B, Valencia back in September 2024.

Alexei Popyrin

Alexei Popyrin

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
22
High
21
LLWLLWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 12-16 2-6 9-6 0-1 1-3 0-0
2024 30-22 17-8 4-8 4-3 5-3 0-0
2023 36-29 18-14 15-6 1-4 2-5 0-0
2022 24-31 7-16 7-4 3-5 7-6 0-0
2021 32-26 13-11 8-6 10-5 1-4 0-0

Ranked no. 23 (career-high), he will start his run in Tokyo after he played his last match in Davis Cup, Group B, Valencia where he beat 6-4 6-4 to Martinez Portero in the Rubber 2 on the 15th of September.

The Australian has a composed 27-18 win-loss record in 2024, 16-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

His best result of the season was winning the title in Montreal where he defeated Andrey Rublev in the final 6-2 6-4.

Talking about his overall career, The Australian has an overall 270-209 record. He has a positive 135-97 record on hard.

Previously in Tokyo

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2023. See his history.

Tokyo
Popyrin's Record

Tomas Machac

Tomas Machac

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
23
High
20
LWLWWLLLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 19-12 11-4 2-5 3-1 3-2 0-0
2024 37-24 22-11 9-5 5-6 1-2 0-0
2023 52-27 15-10 16-11 18-5 3-1 0-0
2022 47-19 24-6 5-2 18-10 0-0 0-1
2021 28-19 5-4 5-4 12-6 2-3 4-2

Ranked no. 34, the Czech will start his run in Tokyo after he played his last match in Davis Cup, Group B, Valencia where he lost 1-0

to Popyrin in the Rubber 2 on the 12th of September.

Tomas has an overall 27-19 win-loss record in 2024, 15-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Tomas’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Geneva.

In terms of his career, Machac has an overall 247-126 record. He has a positive 65-31 record on hard.

Previously in Tokyo

The Czech has never competed in this tournament before.

Tokyo
Machac's Record

Tennis Scores in Tokyo

Upcoming matches in the draw