Lorenzo Musetti and Juncheng Shang will play each other in the final of the Chengdu Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 7:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lorenzo Musetti who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Lorenzo Musetti is the pick to win this match.
Lorenzo Musetti -> 1.56
Juncheng Shang -> 2.43

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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Musetti vs. Juncheng Shang

There is no head to head record between Lorenzo Musetti and Juncheng Shang since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Lorenzo Musetti

Ranked no. 19, Lorenzo reached the final after defeating Unknown Player bye

, Christopher O Connell 6-7(5) 6-4 7-6(4), Adrian Mannarino 6-2 5-7 6-2 and Alibek Kachmazov 6-4 6-2.

In the semifinal, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Kachmazov (6-4 6-2). During the match, Musetti scored 74 points vs Kachmazov’s 61. The Italian was extremely aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Regarding the service games, Musetti blasted 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Lorenzo Musetti conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 3 break points. Furthermore, Musetti put 71% of his first serves in, winning 65% (34/52) of the points behind his 1st serve and 67% (14/21) on the 2nd serve. Lorenzo broke Kachmazov 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian has dropped 2 set in this competition to conquer 53% of the points he played.

Musetti has a winning record in the last 7 years having won 58% of his matches (217-155). 12-9 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Musetti has an overall49-43 match record in the last 7 years on hard.

Musetti’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Cagliari Challenger,the Turin Challenger, London and Umag.

Musetti has an overall 43-24 win-loss record in 2024, 12-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Chengdu

Juncheng Shang

Ranked no. 55 (career-high), Juncheng reached the final after beating Kei Nishikori 6-4 6-4, Roman Safiullin 5-7 6-3 6-3, Alexander Bublik 6-4 7-6(8) and Yannick Hanfmann 6-4 6-4.

In the semifinal, Shang had a good straight sets win against Hanfmann (6-4 6-4). During the match Shang scored 67 points vs Hanfmann’s 54. Shang was very aggressive to blast 23 winners.

About the serving games, Shang blasted 2 aces and he was quite steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Juncheng Shang was exceptionally effective on serve to win 77% (23/30) of his 1st serve and 79% (19/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Chinese broke Hanfmann twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Chinese has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Shang’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in Hong Kong,the Bordeaux Challenger, Atlanta and Chengdu.

Juncheng has a composed 38-19 win-loss record in 2024, 23-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Chengdu

Juncheng has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Musetti	Shang
Match played	3	4
Tot Set	8	9
Tot Games	82	93
Pts	273-245	315-282
Total Points	518	597
Winners	141	151
%Winners	52%	48%

Musetti played 3 matches while Shang competed in 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Lorenzo Musetti lost 2 sets, while Juncheng Shang conceded 1 set. Musetti has played 1 set(s) less than Shang (8 vs 9). Therefore, Musetti played 11 games less than Shang. The Italian scored 141 winners (52% of the total points). On the other side, The Chinese bagged 151 winners (48%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Musetti	Shang
Aces	18	21
Avg per match	6	5.3
1st in	193/269	201/302
%1st in	72%	67%
1st pts	141/193	151/201
%1st pts	73%	75%
2nd pts	41/76	57/101
%2nd pts	54%	56%

Musetti struck 18 aces (6 per match). Shang struck 21 aces (5.3 per match). Musetti won 73% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Shang won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Musetti	Shang
Won	11	11
Converted	11/30	11/25
% Converted	37%	44%
Conceded	10	23
Saved	6	19
% Saved	60%	83%
Times Broken	4	4

The Italian broke his opponents 11 times with a 37% conversion rate. Musetti surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Shang broke his opponents 11 times with a 44% conversion rate. Shang conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.

Musetti
	R2 O	1/4 Mannarino	1/2 Kachmazov	Total
Score	6-75 6-4 7-64	6-2 5-7 6-2	6-4 6-2
Tot Set	3	3	2	8
Tot Games	36	28	18	82
pts	105-105	94-79	74-61	273-245
Total points	210	173	135	518
Winners	61	46	34	141
%Winners	58%	49%	46%	52%
SERVE
Aces	7	8	3	18
Double Faults	2	2	1	5
1st in	81/107	60/89	52/73	193/269
% 1st in	76%	67%	71%	72%
1st pts	61/81	46/60	34/52	141/193
% 1st pts	75%	77%	65%	73%
2nd pts	11/26	16/29	14/21	41/76
% 2nd pts	42%	55%	67%	54%
Breaks
Won	4	4	3	11
Converted	4/10	4/12	3/8	11/30
Converted %	40%	33%	38%	37%
Conceded	3	4	3	10
Saved	0/3	3/4	3/3	6
Saved %	0%	75%	100%	58%
Times Broken	3	1	0	4

Shang
	R1 Nishikori	R2 Safiullin	1/4 Bublik	1/2 Hanfmann	Total
Score	6-4 6-4	5-7 6-3 6-3	6-4 7-68	6-4 6-4
Tot Set	2	3	2	2	9
Tot Games	20	30	23	20	93
pts	72-63	91-87	85-78	67-54	315-282
Total points	135	178	163	121	597
Winners	33	48	47	23	151
%Winners	46%	53%	55%	34%	48%
SERVE
Aces	5	7	7	2	21
Double Faults	3	3	0	0	6
1st in	42/71	70/98	59/79	30/54	201/302
% 1st in	59%	71%	75%	56%	67%
1st pts	33/42	48/70	47/59	23/30	151/201
% 1st pts	79%	69%	80%	77%	75%
2nd pts	13/29	13/28	12/20	19/24	57/101
% 2nd pts	45%	46%	60%	79%	56%
Breaks
Won	3	5	1	2	11
Converted	3/8	5/8	1/3	2/6	11/25
Converted %	38%	63%	33%	33%	44%
Conceded	9	9	5	0	23
Saved	8/9	6/9	5/5	0/0	19
Saved %	89%	67%	100%	–	85%
Times Broken	1	3	0	0	4

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – (0-0) – H2H and prediction