Lorenzo Musetti and Alibek Kachmazov will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Chengdu Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 5:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lorenzo Musetti who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Lorenzo Musetti is the pick to win this match.
Lorenzo Musetti -> 1.38
Alibek Kachmazov -> 3.04
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Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Musetti vs. Alibek Kachmazov
There is no head to head record between Lorenzo Musetti and Alibek Kachmazov since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Lorenzo Musetti
42 - 24win/loss
17
15
LLLWWLLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46-30 | 13-12 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 12-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-29 | 10-10 | 16-11 | 0-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-30 | 11-10 | 21-7 | 12-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-31 | 9-8 | 17-12 | 10-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 30-15 | 6-4 | 20-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 19, Lorenzo reached the semifinal after beating Unknown Player bye, Christopher O Connell 6-7(5) 6-4 7-6(4) and Adrian Mannarino 6-2 5-7 6-2.
In the quarter, The Italian defeated Mannarino (6-2 5-7 6-2). During the match, Musetti scored 94 points vs Mannarino’s 79. Musetti was exceptionally aggressive to blast 46 winners.
Regarding the service games, Musetti bagged 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Lorenzo Musetti was quite effective on serve to win 77% (46/60) of his 1st serve and 55% (16/29) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Lorenzo broke Mannarino 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Lorenzo has lost 2 set in this competition to conquer 52% of the points he played.
Musetti has a winning record in the last 7 years having won 58% of his matches (216-155). 11-9 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Musetti has a compiled48-43 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.
Musetti’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Cagliari Challenger,the Turin Challenger, London and Umag.
Lorenzo has a composed 42-24 win-loss record in 2024, 11-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Chengdu
Alibek Kachmazov
30 - 22win/loss
194
179
LLWWWLWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37-28 | 17-13 | 6-6 | 14-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 49-31 | 24-14 | 9-6 | 14-10 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2022 | 49-21 | 18-11 | 9-5 | 22-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-20 | 6-8 | 3-6 | 27-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-11 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 252, Kachmazov got to the semifinal after beating Seongchan Hong 6-4 6-1, Jie Cui 6-3 6-2, Aleksandar Kovacevic 6-4 7-6(7), Taro Daniel 7-6(1) 6-1 and Nicolas Jarry 6-3 6-4.
In the quarter, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Jarry (6-3 6-4). During the match Kachmazov scored 65 points vs Jarry’s 48. Kachmazov was quite aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about serving, Kachmazov managed to score 3 aces and he was very steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Alibek Kachmazov was exceptionally effective on serve to win 95% (21/22) of his 1st serve and 62% (21/34) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Russian broke Jarry twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kachmazov started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to win 56% of the points he played.
Alibek’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M25 Saint Dizier.
The Russian has a composed 30-22 win-loss record in 2024, 17-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Chengdu
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Musetti | Kachmazov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 64 | 96 |
| Pts | 199-184 | 327-252 |
| Total Points | 383 | 579 |
| Winners | 107 | 120 |
| %Winners | 54% | 37% |
Musetti played 2 matches while Kachmazov competed in 5 matches. Kachmazov started his run from the qualifications while Musetti had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Lorenzo Musetti conceded 2 sets while Alibek Kachmazov hasn’t conceded a set so far. Musetti has played 4 set(s) less than Kachmazov (6 vs 10). Therefore, Musetti played 32 games less than Kachmazov. Lorenzo scored 107 winners (54% of the total points). On the other side, Kachmazov fired 120 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Musetti | Kachmazov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 15 | 30 |
| Avg per match | 7.5 | 6 |
| 1st in | 141/196 | 154/287 |
| %1st in | 72% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 107/141 | 120/154 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 78% |
| 2nd pts | 27/55 | 82/133 |
| %2nd pts | 49% | 62% |
Musetti fired 15 aces (7.5 per match). Kachmazov scored 30 aces (6 per match). Musetti won 76% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Kachmazov won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Musetti | Kachmazov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 15 |
| Converted | 8/22 | 15/34 |
| % Converted | 36% | 44% |
| Conceded | 7 | 9 |
| Saved | 3 | 6 |
| % Saved | 43% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 3 |
The Italian broke his opponents 8 times with a 36% conversion rate. Musetti conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 43% of the break points that he conceded. Kachmazov broke his opponents 15 times with a 44% conversion rate. Alibek conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Musetti | ||||
| R2 O |
1/4 Mannarino |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-75 6-4 7-64 | 6-2 5-7 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 36 | 28 | 64 | |
| pts | 105-105 | 94-79 | 199-184 | |
| Total points | 210 | 173 | 383 | |
| Winners | 61 | 46 | 107 | |
| %Winners | 58% | 49% | 54% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 8 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 81/107 | 60/89 | 141/196 | |
| % 1st in | 76% | 67% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 61/81 | 46/60 | 107/141 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 77% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/26 | 16/29 | 27/55 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 55% | 49% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 4/12 | 8/22 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 33% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| Saved | 0/3 | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 75% | 38% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Kachmazov | |||||||
| Q1 Chan Hong |
Q3 Cui |
R1 Kovacevic |
R2 Daniel |
1/4 Jarry |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-1 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-4 7-67 | 7-61 6-1 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | 23 | 20 | 19 | 96 | |
| pts | 58-41 | 58-42 | 80-75 | 66-46 | 65-48 | 327-252 | |
| Total points | 99 | 100 | 155 | 112 | 113 | 579 | |
| Winners | 18 | 23 | 30 | 28 | 21 | 120 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 40% | 38% | 42% | 32% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 2 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 30 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 25/50 | 32/55 | 41/75 | 34/51 | 22/56 | 154/287 | |
| % 1st in | 50% | 58% | 55% | 67% | 39% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 18/25 | 23/32 | 30/41 | 28/34 | 21/22 | 120/154 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 72% | 73% | 82% | 95% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/25 | 16/23 | 19/34 | 9/17 | 21/34 | 82/133 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 70% | 56% | 53% | 62% | 62% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 15 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 3/6 | 2/9 | 4/4 | 2/6 | 15/34 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 50% | 22% | 100% | 33% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 3/3 | 3/4 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 100% | 75% | 0% | – | 88% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWWLLWLW
LLWWWLWWWL Tennis Scores in Chengdu
- Sadio Doumbia/Fabien ReboulDoumbia/Fabien Reboul – Miguel-Angel Reyes-Varela/John-Patrick SmithReyes-Varela/John-Patrick Smith (4-6 6-3 12-10) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Yannick HanfmannHanfmann – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
