Lorenzo Musetti and Alibek Kachmazov will fight against each other in the semifinal of the Chengdu Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 5:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Lorenzo Musetti who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Lorenzo Musetti is the pick to win this match.
Lorenzo Musetti -> 1.38
Alibek Kachmazov -> 3.04

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Lorenzo Musetti vs. Alibek Kachmazov

There is no head to head record between Lorenzo Musetti and Alibek Kachmazov since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Lorenzo Musetti

Ranked no. 19, Lorenzo reached the semifinal after beating Unknown Player bye, Christopher O Connell 6-7(5) 6-4 7-6(4) and Adrian Mannarino 6-2 5-7 6-2.

In the quarter, The Italian defeated Mannarino (6-2 5-7 6-2). During the match, Musetti scored 94 points vs Mannarino’s 79. Musetti was exceptionally aggressive to blast 46 winners.

Regarding the service games, Musetti bagged 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Lorenzo Musetti was quite effective on serve to win 77% (46/60) of his 1st serve and 55% (16/29) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Lorenzo broke Mannarino 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Lorenzo has lost 2 set in this competition to conquer 52% of the points he played.

Musetti has a winning record in the last 7 years having won 58% of his matches (216-155). 11-9 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Musetti has a compiled48-43 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.

Musetti’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Cagliari Challenger,the Turin Challenger, London and Umag.

Lorenzo has a composed 42-24 win-loss record in 2024, 11-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Chengdu

Alibek Kachmazov

Ranked no. 252, Kachmazov got to the semifinal after beating Seongchan Hong 6-4 6-1, Jie Cui 6-3 6-2, Aleksandar Kovacevic 6-4 7-6(7), Taro Daniel 7-6(1) 6-1 and Nicolas Jarry 6-3 6-4.

In the quarter, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Jarry (6-3 6-4). During the match Kachmazov scored 65 points vs Jarry’s 48. Kachmazov was quite aggressive to blast 21 winners.

Talking about serving, Kachmazov managed to score 3 aces and he was very steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Alibek Kachmazov was exceptionally effective on serve to win 95% (21/22) of his 1st serve and 62% (21/34) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Russian broke Jarry twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Kachmazov started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this event to win 56% of the points he played.

Alibek’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M25 Saint Dizier.

The Russian has a composed 30-22 win-loss record in 2024, 17-11 on hard (See FULL STATS)

.

Previously in Chengdu

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1^st round in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Musetti	Kachmazov
Match played	2	5
Tot Set	6	10
Tot Games	64	96
Pts	199-184	327-252
Total Points	383	579
Winners	107	120
%Winners	54%	37%

Musetti played 2 matches while Kachmazov competed in 5 matches. Kachmazov started his run from the qualifications while Musetti had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Lorenzo Musetti conceded 2 sets while Alibek Kachmazov hasn’t conceded a set so far. Musetti has played 4 set(s) less than Kachmazov (6 vs 10). Therefore, Musetti played 32 games less than Kachmazov. Lorenzo scored 107 winners (54% of the total points). On the other side, Kachmazov fired 120 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Musetti	Kachmazov
Aces	15	30
Avg per match	7.5	6
1st in	141/196	154/287
%1st in	72%	54%
1st pts	107/141	120/154
%1st pts	76%	78%
2nd pts	27/55	82/133
%2nd pts	49%	62%

Musetti fired 15 aces (7.5 per match). Kachmazov scored 30 aces (6 per match). Musetti won 76% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Kachmazov won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Musetti	Kachmazov
Won	8	15
Converted	8/22	15/34
% Converted	36%	44%
Conceded	7	9
Saved	3	6
% Saved	43%	67%
Times Broken	4	3

The Italian broke his opponents 8 times with a 36% conversion rate. Musetti conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 43% of the break points that he conceded. Kachmazov broke his opponents 15 times with a 44% conversion rate. Alibek conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Musetti
	R2 O	1/4 Mannarino	Total
Score	6-75 6-4 7-64	6-2 5-7 6-2
Tot Set	3	3	6
Tot Games	36	28	64
pts	105-105	94-79	199-184
Total points	210	173	383
Winners	61	46	107
%Winners	58%	49%	54%
SERVE
Aces	7	8	15
Double Faults	2	2	4
1st in	81/107	60/89	141/196
% 1st in	76%	67%	72%
1st pts	61/81	46/60	107/141
% 1st pts	75%	77%	76%
2nd pts	11/26	16/29	27/55
% 2nd pts	42%	55%	49%
Breaks
Won	4	4	8
Converted	4/10	4/12	8/22
Converted %	40%	33%	36%
Conceded	3	4	7
Saved	0/3	3/4	3
Saved %	0%	75%	38%
Times Broken	3	1	4

Kachmazov
	Q1 Chan Hong	Q3 Cui	R1 Kovacevic	R2 Daniel	1/4 Jarry	Total
Score	6-4 6-1	6-3 6-2	6-4 7-67	7-61 6-1	6-3 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	2	10
Tot Games	17	17	23	20	19	96
pts	58-41	58-42	80-75	66-46	65-48	327-252
Total points	99	100	155	112	113	579
Winners	18	23	30	28	21	120
%Winners	31%	40%	38%	42%	32%	37%
SERVE
Aces	2	9	8	8	3	30
Double Faults	1	0	5	0	0	6
1st in	25/50	32/55	41/75	34/51	22/56	154/287
% 1st in	50%	58%	55%	67%	39%	54%
1st pts	18/25	23/32	30/41	28/34	21/22	120/154
% 1st pts	72%	72%	73%	82%	95%	78%
2nd pts	17/25	16/23	19/34	9/17	21/34	82/133
% 2nd pts	68%	70%	56%	53%	62%	62%
Breaks
Won	4	3	2	4	2	15
Converted	4/9	3/6	2/9	4/4	2/6	15/34
Converted %	44%	50%	22%	100%	33%	44%
Conceded	1	3	4	1	0	9
Saved	0/1	3/3	3/4	0/1	0/0	6
Saved %	0%	100%	75%	0%	–	88%
Times Broken	1	0	1	1	0	3

Tennis Scores in Chengdu

• Sadio Doumbia/Fabien ReboulDoumbia/Fabien Reboul – Miguel-Angel Reyes-Varela/John-Patrick SmithReyes-Varela/John-Patrick Smith (4-6 6-3 12-10) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Yannick HanfmannHanfmann – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Lorenzo MusettiMusetti – (0-0) – H2H and prediction