Daria Kasatkina and Beatriz Haddad Maia will square off in the final of the Korea Open for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 4:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Beatriz Haddad Maia who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Beatriz Haddad Maia is the pick to win this match.
Beatriz Haddad Maia -> 1.9
Daria Kasatkina -> 1.9

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Prediction and head to head Daria Kasatkina vs. Beatriz Haddad Maia

This will be the 4^th time that Daria Kasatkina and Beatriz Haddad Maia square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Haddad Maia (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.

The last time that they played each other, Kasatkina won 6-3 4-6 7-6(2) in the semifinal in Abu Dhabi back in February 2024.

Highlights Daria Kasatkina vs Beatriz Haddad Maia – Abu Dhabi 10-February-2024

Daria Kasatkina

Ranked no. 13, the Russian reached the final after defeating Unknown Player bye, Hailey Baptiste 6-4 6-2, Emma Raducanu 6-1 ret.

and Diana Shnaider 6-3 6-4.

In the semifinal, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Shnaider (6-3 6-4). During the match, Kasatkina scored 62 points vs Shnaider’s 51. Darya was very aggressive to blast 20 winners.

Regarding the service games, Kasatkina was unable to score even 1 ace throughout the match and she committed only 8 double faults. Daria Kasatkina lost the serve 4 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 70% of her first serves in, winning 51% (20/39) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (8/17) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Shnaider 7 times after converting 64% of her break points (7/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to win 56% of the points she played.

Kasatkina has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 63% of her matches (350-202). 17-12 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Kasatkina has a compiled 152-115 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the season was winning the title in Eastbourne where she overcame Leylah Annie Fernandez in the final 6-3 6-4.

The Russian has a composed 33-18 win-loss record in 2024, 17-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Seoul

The Russian has never competed in this tournament before.

Beatriz Haddad Maia

Ranked no. 17, Haddad Maia reached the final after beating Ajla Tomljanovic 6-3 6-4, Polina Kudermetova 6-2 6-1 and Veronika Kudermetova 6-4 6-4.

In the semifinal, The Brazilian had a good straight sets win against Kudermetova (6-4 6-4). During the match Haddad Maia scored 65 points vs Kudermetova’s 55. Haddad Maia was quite aggressive to blast 21 winners.

Talking about serving, Haddad Maia made 2 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Beatriz Haddad Maia lost the serve 3 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Haddad Maia put 57% of her first serves in, winning 62% (21/34) of the points behind her 1st serve and 54% (14/26) on the 2nd serve. The Brazilian broke Kudermetova 5 times after converting 71% of her break points (5/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Beatriz hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points she played.

The Brazilian’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Cleveland.

Beatriz has an overall 31-23 win-loss record in 2024, 20-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Kasatkina	Haddad Maia
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	6	6
Tot Games	44	54
Pts	150-112	195-146
Total Points	262	341
Winners	55	61
%Winners	37%	31%

Both Kasatkina and Haddad Maia played 3 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Kasatkina and Haddad Maia have played the same amount of sets 6. However, Kasatkina played 10 games less than Haddad Maia. Darya scored 55 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Haddad Maia bagged 61 winners (31%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Kasatkina	Haddad Maia
Aces	5	8
Avg per match	1.7	2.7
1st in	92/140	81/158
%1st in	66%	51%
1st pts	55/92	61/81
%1st pts	60%	75%
2nd pts	22/48	41/77
%2nd pts	46%	53%

Kasatkina struck 5 aces (1.7 per match). Haddad Maia scored 8 aces (2.7 per match). Kasatkina won 60% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Haddad Maia won 75% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 53% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Kasatkina	Haddad Maia
Won	16	14
Converted	16/27	14/26
% Converted	59%	54%
Conceded	18	13
Saved	10	8
% Saved	56%	62%
Times Broken	8	5

The Russian broke her opponents 16 times with a 59% conversion rate. The Russian dropped her serve 8 times and she saved 56% of the break points that she conceded. The Brazilian broke her opponents 14 times with a 54% conversion rate. Haddad Maia conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 62% of the break points that she conceded.

Kasatkina
	R2 Baptiste	1/4 Raducanu	1/2 Shnaider	Total
Score	6-4 6-2	6-1 ret.	6-3 6-4
Tot Set	2	1	2	5
Tot Games	18	7	19	44
pts	59-46	29-15	62-51	150-112
Total points	105	44	113	262
Winners	24	11	20	55
%Winners	41%	38%	32%	37%
SERVE
Aces	1	4	0	5
Double Faults	5	4	8	17
1st in	36/54	17/30	39/56	92/140
% 1st in	67%	57%	70%	66%
1st pts	24/36	11/17	20/39	55/92
% 1st pts	67%	65%	51%	60%
2nd pts	8/18	6/13	8/17	22/48
% 2nd pts	44%	46%	47%	46%
Breaks
Won	6	3	7	16
Converted	6/12	3/4	7/11	16/27
Converted %	50%	75%	64%	59%
Conceded	5	5	8	18
Saved	2/5	4/5	4/8	10
Saved %	40%	80%	50%	57%
Times Broken	3	1	4	8

Haddad Maia
	R2 Tomljanovic	1/4 Kudermetova	1/2 Kudermetova	Total
Score	6-3 6-4	6-2 6-1	6-4 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	19	15	20	54
pts	70-58	60-33	65-55	195-146
Total points	128	93	120	341
Winners	27	13	21	61
%Winners	39%	22%	32%	31%
SERVE
Aces	5	1	2	8
Double Faults	6	1	2	9
1st in	31/61	16/37	34/60	81/158
% 1st in	51%	43%	57%	51%
1st pts	27/31	13/16	21/34	61/81
% 1st pts	87%	81%	62%	75%
2nd pts	13/30	14/21	14/26	41/77
% 2nd pts	43%	67%	54%	53%
Breaks
Won	3	6	5	14
Converted	3/10	6/9	5/7	14/26
Converted %	30%	67%	71%	54%
Conceded	5	2	6	13
Saved	4/5	1/2	3/6	8
Saved %	80%	50%	50%	60%
Times Broken	1	1	3	5

Tennis Scores in Seoul

• Mario Vilella MartinezVilella Martinez – Matthias HaimHaim (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (1-2) – H2H and prediction