Daria Kasatkina and Beatriz Haddad Maia will square off in the final of the Korea Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 4:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Beatriz Haddad Maia who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Beatriz Haddad Maia is the pick to win this match.
Beatriz Haddad Maia -> 1.9
Daria Kasatkina -> 1.9
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Daria Kasatkina vs. Beatriz Haddad Maia
This will be the 4th time that Daria Kasatkina and Beatriz Haddad Maia square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Haddad Maia (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Kasatkina won 6-3 4-6 7-6(2) in the semifinal in Abu Dhabi back in February 2024.
Highlights Daria Kasatkina vs Beatriz Haddad Maia – Abu Dhabi 10-February-2024
Daria Kasatkina
33 - 18win/loss
9
8
LLWWWWWLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 40-23 | 24-16 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-25 | 19-15 | 12-6 | 2-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-22 | 24-14 | 12-5 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-19 | 19-10 | 5-5 | 7-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-14 | 7-8 | 5-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 13, the Russian reached the final after defeating Unknown Player bye, Hailey Baptiste 6-4 6-2, Emma Raducanu 6-1 ret. and Diana Shnaider 6-3 6-4.
In the semifinal, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Shnaider (6-3 6-4). During the match, Kasatkina scored 62 points vs Shnaider’s 51. Darya was very aggressive to blast 20 winners.
Regarding the service games, Kasatkina was unable to score even 1 ace throughout the match and she committed only 8 double faults. Daria Kasatkina lost the serve 4 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 70% of her first serves in, winning 51% (20/39) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (8/17) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Shnaider 7 times after converting 64% of her break points (7/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
Kasatkina has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 63% of her matches (350-202). 17-12 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Kasatkina has a compiled 152-115 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the season was winning the title in Eastbourne where she overcame Leylah Annie Fernandez in the final 6-3 6-4.
The Russian has a composed 33-18 win-loss record in 2024, 17-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Seoul
The Russian has never competed in this tournament before.
Beatriz Haddad Maia
31 - 23win/loss
17
10
WWLLWLWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 38-27 | 25-17 | 10-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-22 | 16-14 | 13-5 | 4-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-23 | 23-14 | 14-5 | 2-2 | 12-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 76-25 | 37-13 | 35-10 | 2-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 27-2 | 27-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 17, Haddad Maia reached the final after beating Ajla Tomljanovic 6-3 6-4, Polina Kudermetova 6-2 6-1 and Veronika Kudermetova 6-4 6-4.
In the semifinal, The Brazilian had a good straight sets win against Kudermetova (6-4 6-4). During the match Haddad Maia scored 65 points vs Kudermetova’s 55. Haddad Maia was quite aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about serving, Haddad Maia made 2 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Beatriz Haddad Maia lost the serve 3 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Haddad Maia put 57% of her first serves in, winning 62% (21/34) of the points behind her 1st serve and 54% (14/26) on the 2nd serve. The Brazilian broke Kudermetova 5 times after converting 71% of her break points (5/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Beatriz hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points she played.
The Brazilian’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Cleveland.
Beatriz has an overall 31-23 win-loss record in 2024, 20-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kasatkina | Haddad Maia |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 44 | 54 |
| Pts | 150-112 | 195-146 |
| Total Points | 262 | 341 |
| Winners | 55 | 61 |
| %Winners | 37% | 31% |
Both Kasatkina and Haddad Maia played 3 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Kasatkina and Haddad Maia have played the same amount of sets 6. However, Kasatkina played 10 games less than Haddad Maia. Darya scored 55 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Haddad Maia bagged 61 winners (31%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kasatkina | Haddad Maia |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 1.7 | 2.7 |
| 1st in | 92/140 | 81/158 |
| %1st in | 66% | 51% |
| 1st pts | 55/92 | 61/81 |
| %1st pts | 60% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 22/48 | 41/77 |
| %2nd pts | 46% | 53% |
Kasatkina struck 5 aces (1.7 per match). Haddad Maia scored 8 aces (2.7 per match). Kasatkina won 60% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Haddad Maia won 75% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kasatkina | Haddad Maia |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 16 | 14 |
| Converted | 16/27 | 14/26 |
| % Converted | 59% | 54% |
| Conceded | 18 | 13 |
| Saved | 10 | 8 |
| % Saved | 56% | 62% |
| Times Broken | 8 | 5 |
The Russian broke her opponents 16 times with a 59% conversion rate. The Russian dropped her serve 8 times and she saved 56% of the break points that she conceded. The Brazilian broke her opponents 14 times with a 54% conversion rate. Haddad Maia conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 62% of the break points that she conceded.
| Kasatkina | |||||
| R2 Baptiste |
1/4 Raducanu |
1/2 Shnaider |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 6-1 ret. | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 7 | 19 | 44 | |
| pts | 59-46 | 29-15 | 62-51 | 150-112 | |
| Total points | 105 | 44 | 113 | 262 | |
| Winners | 24 | 11 | 20 | 55 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 38% | 32% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | |
| 1st in | 36/54 | 17/30 | 39/56 | 92/140 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 57% | 70% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 24/36 | 11/17 | 20/39 | 55/92 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 65% | 51% | 60% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/18 | 6/13 | 8/17 | 22/48 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 46% | 47% | 46% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 3 | 7 | 16 | |
| Converted | 6/12 | 3/4 | 7/11 | 16/27 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 75% | 64% | 59% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | 8 | 18 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 4/5 | 4/8 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 80% | 50% | 57% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | |
| Haddad Maia | |||||
| R2 Tomljanovic |
1/4 Kudermetova |
1/2 Kudermetova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-2 6-1 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 15 | 20 | 54 | |
| pts | 70-58 | 60-33 | 65-55 | 195-146 | |
| Total points | 128 | 93 | 120 | 341 | |
| Winners | 27 | 13 | 21 | 61 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 22% | 32% | 31% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 1 | 2 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 1 | 2 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 31/61 | 16/37 | 34/60 | 81/158 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 43% | 57% | 51% | |
| 1st pts | 27/31 | 13/16 | 21/34 | 61/81 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 81% | 62% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/30 | 14/21 | 14/26 | 41/77 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 67% | 54% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 6 | 5 | 14 | |
| Converted | 3/10 | 6/9 | 5/7 | 14/26 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 67% | 71% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 2 | 6 | 13 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 1/2 | 3/6 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 50% | 50% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWWLWL
WWLLWLWWLW Tennis Scores in Seoul
- Mario Vilella MartinezVilella Martinez – Matthias HaimHaim (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (1-2) – H2H and prediction
