Kyle Edmund and Naoki Nakagawa will play each other in the semifinal of the Columbus Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 1:30 pm on COURT 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Kyle Edmund who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Kyle Edmund is the pick to win this match.
Kyle Edmund -> 1.31
Naoki Nakagawa -> 3.2
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Prediction and head to head Kyle Edmund vs. Naoki Nakagawa
There is no head to head record between Kyle Edmund and Naoki Nakagawa since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Kyle Edmund
32 - 21win/loss
358
14
LLWWLWLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39-25 | 8-7 | 4-5 | 25-11 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 14-16 | 1-7 | 7-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 5-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 10-10 | 5-6 | 0-1 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 417, the Brit got to the semifinal after defeating Adam Neff 3-6 6-2 6-4, Tyler Zink 7-6(6) 6-0, Jeff Wolf 6-1 7-6(4), Dominic Stricker 6-3 6-3 and Abedallah Shelbayh 7-5 6-1.
In the quarter, The Brit had a good straight sets win against Shelbayh (7-5 6-1). During the match, Edmund scored 66 points vs Shelbayh’s 42. The Brit was exceptionally aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about the service games, Edmund managed to score 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Kyle Edmund was pretty effective on serve to win 92% (24/26) of his 1st serve and 61% (17/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Brit broke Shelbayh 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Edmund started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in this competition to win 57% of the points he played.
Edmund has good win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (242-167). 18-6 on indoor hard courts in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Edmund has a composed 53-23 record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
The Brit’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M25 Loughborough and M25 Sunderland.
Kyle has an aggregate 32-20 win-loss record in 2024, 18-6 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Columbus Challenger
The Brit has never competed in this tournament before.
Naoki Nakagawa
18 - 10win/loss
373
334
LWLWLLWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25-16 | 13-12 | 1-1 | 11-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-23 | 42-19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-27 | 16-16 | 10-9 | 5-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-15 | 32-13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-4 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 429, the Japanese got to the semifinal after defeating Jack Pinnington Jones 7-6(1) 6-4, Alexander Bernard 6-2 6-3 and Christopher Eubanks 2-6 7-6(4) 7-6(4).
In the quarter against Eubanks, The Japanese recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 7-64 7-64).During the match Nakagawa scored less points (3) than Eubanks. In fact, the world no. 417 won 106 points vs Eubanks’s. That means that Nakagawa was more focused during the important points. The Japanese was exceptionally aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Talking about serving, Nakagawa blasted 9 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Naoki Nakagawa was very effective on serve to win 77% (43/56) of his 1st serve and 60% (29/48) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Nakagawa has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
Nakagawa’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Sapporo.
Naoki has a compiled 17-10 win-loss record in 2024, 6-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Edmund | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 5 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 11 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 103 | 74 |
| Pts | 370-280 | 244-229 |
| Total Points | 650 | 473 |
| Winners | 134 | 91 |
| %Winners | 36% | 37% |
Edmund played 5 matches while Nakagawa competed in 3 matches. Edmund started his run from the qualifications while Nakagawa had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Kyle Edmund lost 1 set, while Naoki Nakagawa conceded 1 set. Edmund has played 4 sets more than Nakagawa (11 vs 7). Therefore, Edmund played 29 games more than Nakagawa. Kyle scored 134 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese bagged 91 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Edmund | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 31 | 23 |
| Avg per match | 6.2 | 7.7 |
| 1st in | 156/307 | 121/233 |
| %1st in | 51% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 134/156 | 91/121 |
| %1st pts | 86% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 87/151 | 59/112 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 53% |
Edmund blasted 31 aces (6.2 per match). Nakagawa fired 23 aces (7.7 per match). Edmund won 86% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Nakagawa won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Edmund | Nakagawa |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 17 | 9 |
| Converted | 17/43 | 9/19 |
| % Converted | 40% | 47% |
| Conceded | 15 | 16 |
| Saved | 11 | 10 |
| % Saved | 73% | 63% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 6 |
The Brit broke his opponents 17 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Brit lost his serve 4 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded. Naoki broke his opponents 9 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.
| Edmund | |||||||
| Q1 Neff |
Q3 Zink |
R1 Wolf |
R2 Stricker |
1/4 Shelbayh |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-2 6-4 | 7-66 6-0 | 6-1 7-64 | 6-3 6-3 | 7-5 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 19 | 20 | 18 | 19 | 103 | |
| pts | 87-75 | 78-60 | 77-57 | 62-46 | 66-42 | 370-280 | |
| Total points | 162 | 138 | 134 | 108 | 108 | 650 | |
| Winners | 32 | 23 | 25 | 30 | 24 | 134 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 29% | 32% | 48% | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 9 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 37/73 | 28/58 | 31/61 | 34/61 | 26/54 | 156/307 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 48% | 51% | 56% | 48% | 51% | |
| 1st pts | 32/37 | 23/28 | 25/31 | 30/34 | 24/26 | 134/156 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 82% | 81% | 88% | 92% | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/36 | 20/30 | 20/30 | 10/27 | 17/28 | 87/151 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 67% | 67% | 37% | 61% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 17 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 3/10 | 3/12 | 4/6 | 4/7 | 17/43 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 30% | 25% | 67% | 57% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 0/0 | 3/4 | 3/4 | 4/5 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 50% | – | 75% | 75% | 80% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Nakagawa | |||||||
| R1 Pinnington |
R2 Bernard |
1/4 Eubanks |
Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-61 6-4 | 6-2 6-3 | 2-6 7-64 7-64 | ||||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |||
| Tot Games | 23 | 17 | 34 | 74 | |||
| pts | 73-70 | 65-50 | 106-109 | 244-229 | |||
| Total points | 143 | 115 | 215 | 473 | |||
| Winners | 24 | 24 | 43 | 91 | |||
| %Winners | 33% | 37% | 41% | 37% | |||
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 9 | 5 | 9 | 23 | |||
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |||
| 1st in | 36/74 | 29/55 | 56/104 | 121/233 | |||
| % 1st in | 49% | 53% | 54% | 52% | |||
| 1st pts | 24/36 | 24/29 | 43/56 | 91/121 | |||
| % 1st pts | 67% | 83% | 77% | 75% | |||
| 2nd pts | 19/38 | 11/26 | 29/48 | 59/112 | |||
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 42% | 60% | 53% | |||
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 0 | 9 | |||
| Converted | 4/5 | 5/9 | 0/5 | 9/19 | |||
| Converted % | 80% | 56% | 0% | 47% | |||
| Conceded | 8 | 4 | 4 | 16 | |||
| Saved | 5/8 | 3/4 | 2/4 | 10 | |||
| Saved % | 63% | 75% | 50% | 38% | |||
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | |||
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWLWWW
LWLWLLWLWW Tennis Scores in Columbus Challenger
- Christian Harrison/Ethan QuinnHarrison/Ethan Quinn – Patrick Harper/Calum PuttergillHarper/Calum Puttergill (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Naoki NakagawaNakagawa – Kyle EdmundEdmund (0-0) – H2H and prediction
