Shintaro Mochizuki and Li Tu will square off in the qualifications of the Chengdu Open for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 3:30 pm on COURT 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Li Tu who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Li Tu is the pick to win this match.
Li Tu -> 1.65
Shintaro Mochizuki -> 2.15

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Prediction and head to head Shintaro Mochizuki vs. Li Tu

There is no head to head record between Shintaro Mochizuki and Li Tu since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Shintaro Mochizuki

Ranked no. 147, the Japanese reached the qualifications after beating Charles Chen 3-6 6-3 6-2.

In the qualifications against Chen, The Japanese recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 6-2). During the match, Mochizuki scored 79 points vs Chen’s 67. Shintaro was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Regarding the service games, Mochizuki scored 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Shintaro Mochizuki was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 79% (33/42) of his 1st serve and 54% (15/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Shintaro broke Chen 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

Mochizuki has a winning match record in the last 7 years having won 54% of his matches (167-144). 11-14 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Mochizuki has a compiled88-77 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.

Mochizuki has a composed 20-24 win-loss record in 2024, 11-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Chengdu

Shintaro has never competed in this tournament before.

Li Tu

Ranked no. 194, Li got to the qualifications after defeating Egor Gerasimov 6-4 6-1.

In the qualifications, Li had a good straight sets win against Gerasimov (6-4 6-1). During the match Tu scored 58 points vs Gerasimov’s 32. The Australian was quite aggressive to blast 16 winners.

About the serving games, Tu fired 4 aces and he was quite consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Li Tu was quite effective on serve to win 94% (16/17) of his 1st serve and 94% (16/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Australian broke Gerasimov 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Tu’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M25 Traralgon and the Lexington Challenger.

Li has an aggregate 29-20 win-loss record in 2024, 24-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Chengdu

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1^st round in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Mochizuki	Tu
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	3	2
Tot Games	26	17
Pts	79-67	58-32
Total Points	146	90
Winners	33	16
%Winners	42%	28%

Both Mochizuki and Tu played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Shintaro Mochizuki lost 1 set while Li Tu hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Mochizuki has played 1 set more than Tu (3 vs 2). Therefore, Mochizuki played 9 games more than Tu. Shintaro scored 33 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Li bagged 16 winners (28%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Mochizuki	Tu
Aces	7	4
Avg per match	7	4
1st in	42/70	17/34
%1st in	60%	50%
1st pts	33/42	16/17
%1st pts	79%	94%
2nd pts	15/28	16/17
%2nd pts	54%	94%

Mochizuki scored 7 aces . Tu blasted 4 aces . Mochizuki won 79% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Tu won 94% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 94% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Mochizuki	Tu
Won	4	4
Converted	4/7	4/8
% Converted	57%	50%
Conceded	2	0
Saved	0	0
% Saved	0%	0%
Times Broken	2	0

Shintaro broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Mochizuki dropped his serve twice and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. Tu broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Li was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.

Mochizuki
	Q1 Chen	Total
Score	3-6 6-3 6-2
Tot Set	3	3
Tot Games	26	26
pts	79-67	79-67
Total points	146	146
Winners	33	33
%Winners	42%	42%
SERVE
Aces	7	7
Double Faults	2	2
1st in	42/70	42/70
% 1st in	60%	60%
1st pts	33/42	33/42
% 1st pts	79%	79%
2nd pts	15/28	15/28
% 2nd pts	54%	54%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/7	4/7
Converted %	57%	57%
Conceded	2	2
Saved	0/2	0
Saved %	0%	0%
Times Broken	2	2

Tu
	Q1 Gerasimov	Total
Score	6-4 6-1
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	17	17
pts	58-32	58-32
Total points	90	90
Winners	16	16
%Winners	28%	28%
SERVE
Aces	4	4
Double Faults	0	0
1st in	17/34	17/34
% 1st in	50%	50%
1st pts	16/17	16/17
% 1st pts	94%	94%
2nd pts	16/17	16/17
% 2nd pts	94%	94%
Breaks
Won	4	4
Converted	4/8	4/8
Converted %	50%	50%
Conceded	0	0
Saved	0/0	0
Saved %	–	0%
Times Broken	0	0

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