Shintaro Mochizuki and Li Tu will square off in the qualifications of the Chengdu Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 3:30 pm on COURT 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Li Tu who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Li Tu is the pick to win this match.
Li Tu -> 1.65
Shintaro Mochizuki -> 2.15
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Prediction and head to head Shintaro Mochizuki vs. Li Tu
There is no head to head record between Shintaro Mochizuki and Li Tu since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Shintaro Mochizuki
20 - 24win/loss
147
129
WLWWLWLLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-24 | 11-14 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-33 | 22-16 | 13-8 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-34 | 18-17 | 13-12 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 11-10 | 18-11 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| 2020 | 20-14 | 14-12 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 147, the Japanese reached the qualifications after beating Charles Chen 3-6 6-3 6-2.
In the qualifications against Chen, The Japanese recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 6-2). During the match, Mochizuki scored 79 points vs Chen’s 67. Shintaro was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Regarding the service games, Mochizuki scored 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Shintaro Mochizuki was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 79% (33/42) of his 1st serve and 54% (15/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Shintaro broke Chen 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Mochizuki has a winning match record in the last 7 years having won 54% of his matches (167-144). 11-14 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Mochizuki has a compiled88-77 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.
Mochizuki has a composed 20-24 win-loss record in 2024, 11-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Chengdu
Shintaro has never competed in this tournament before.
Li Tu
29 - 20win/loss
194
186
WLWWWLWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 29-20 | 24-14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-32 | 29-19 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-25 | 34-16 | 15-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-7 | 28-4 | 0-0 | 13-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 194, Li got to the qualifications after defeating Egor Gerasimov 6-4 6-1.
In the qualifications, Li had a good straight sets win against Gerasimov (6-4 6-1). During the match Tu scored 58 points vs Gerasimov’s 32. The Australian was quite aggressive to blast 16 winners.
About the serving games, Tu fired 4 aces and he was quite consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Li Tu was quite effective on serve to win 94% (16/17) of his 1st serve and 94% (16/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Australian broke Gerasimov 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Tu’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M25 Traralgon and the Lexington Challenger.
Li has an aggregate 29-20 win-loss record in 2024, 24-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Chengdu
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mochizuki | Tu |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 26 | 17 |
| Pts | 79-67 | 58-32 |
| Total Points | 146 | 90 |
| Winners | 33 | 16 |
| %Winners | 42% | 28% |
Both Mochizuki and Tu played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Shintaro Mochizuki lost 1 set while Li Tu hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Mochizuki has played 1 set more than Tu (3 vs 2). Therefore, Mochizuki played 9 games more than Tu. Shintaro scored 33 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Li bagged 16 winners (28%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mochizuki | Tu |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 4 |
| 1st in | 42/70 | 17/34 |
| %1st in | 60% | 50% |
| 1st pts | 33/42 | 16/17 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 94% |
| 2nd pts | 15/28 | 16/17 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 94% |
Mochizuki scored 7 aces . Tu blasted 4 aces . Mochizuki won 79% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Tu won 94% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 94% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mochizuki | Tu |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 4 |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/8 |
| % Converted | 57% | 50% |
| Conceded | 2 | 0 |
| Saved | 0 | 0 |
| % Saved | 0% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 |
Shintaro broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Mochizuki dropped his serve twice and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. Tu broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Li was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Mochizuki | |||
| Q1 Chen |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 79-67 | 79-67 | |
| Total points | 146 | 146 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 42/70 | 42/70 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 33/42 | 33/42 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/28 | 15/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Tu | |||
| Q1 Gerasimov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 58-32 | 58-32 | |
| Total points | 90 | 90 | |
| Winners | 16 | 16 | |
| %Winners | 28% | 28% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 17/34 | 17/34 | |
| % 1st in | 50% | 50% | |
| 1st pts | 16/17 | 16/17 | |
| % 1st pts | 94% | 94% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/17 | 16/17 | |
| % 2nd pts | 94% | 94% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/8 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
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