H2H, prediction of Christopher O Connell vs Sho Shimabukuro in Guangzhou Challenger with odds, preview, pick | 15th September 2024

PREVIEW. Guangzhou Challenger. O Connell and Shimabukuro will face off in the final of the Guangzhou Challenger. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Sunday the 15th of September

Prediction and head to head Christopher O Connell vs. Sho Shimabukuro

Christopher O Connell and Sho Shimabukuro will clash against each other in the final of the Guangzhou Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 12:30 pm on COURT 1. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Christopher O Connell who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Christopher O Connell is the pick to win this match.
Christopher O Connell -> 1.4
Sho Shimabukuro -> 2.8

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Christopher O Connell vs. Sho Shimabukuro

This will be the 2nd time that Christopher O Connell and Sho Shimabukuro clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for O Connell (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, O Connell won 6-3 6-3 in the semifinal in the Yokohama Challenger back in 2022.

Christopher O Connell

Christopher O Connell
Christopher O Connell

21 - 18win/loss

Hard
19-13
I Hard
0-0
Clay
2-4
Grass
0-1
Rank
66
High
53
LWWLLWLLLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 28-26 23-16 2-4 3-5 0-1 0-0
2023 38-34 19-18 11-9 4-3 4-4 0-0
2022 50-25 30-16 12-5 3-1 5-3 0-0
2021 22-16 14-9 3-3 1-1 4-3 0-0
2020 12-12 4-5 4-3 4-4 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 87, Christopher got to the final after defeating Tristan Lamasine 6-3 6-2, Ye Cong Mo 6-2 2-1 ret., Radu Albot 6-4 6-7(6) 6-3 and Mikhail Kukushkin 6-4 6-2.

In the semifinal, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Kukushkin (6-4 6-2). During the match, O Connell scored 61 points vs Kukushkin’s 50. Christopher was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Talking about the service games, O Connell bagged 13 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Christopher O Connell was extremely effective on serve to win 85% (28/33) of his 1st serve and 52% (14/27) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. O Connell broke Kukushkin 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Australian has conceded 1 set in this tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

O Connell has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (343-207). 18-13 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, O Connell has a compiled 154-104 record in the last years on hard.

The Australian’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Guangzhou Challenger.

The Australian has a compiled 20-18 win-loss record in 2024, 18-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Guangzhou Challenger

O Connell
Guangzhou Challenger
O Connell's Record

Sho Shimabukuro

Sho Shimabukuro
Sho Shimabukuro

25 - 22win/loss

Hard
18-12
I Hard
1-4
Clay
1-3
Grass
5-3
Rank
177
High
135
WLWLWLLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 28-25 20-15 1-3 2-4 5-3 0-0
2023 43-26 19-17 7-1 9-4 8-4 0-0
2022 42-25 38-20 0-2 4-3 0-0 0-0
2021 31-20 28-18 0-0 3-2 0-0 0-0
2020 4-5 4-4 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 196, the Japanese got to the final after defeating Maxime Cressy 7-6(10) 6-3, Yan Bai 3-6 7-6(3) 0-1 ret., Terence Atmane 7-6(10) 5-7 7-5 and Luca Nardi 6-2 6-4.

In the semifinal, Shimabukuro had a good straight sets win against Nardi (6-2 6-4). During the match Shimabukuro scored 58 points vs Nardi’s 41. Sho was pretty aggressive to blast 20 winners.

Talking about serving, Shimabukuro fired 3 aces and he was quite solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Sho Shimabukuro lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Shimabukuro put 57% of his first serves in, winning 69% (20/29) of the points behind his 1st serve and 77% (17/22) on the 2nd serve. Sho broke Nardi 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Shimabukuro has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Shanghai Challenger where he defeated Yu Hsiou Hsu in the final 6-4 6-4.

The Japanese has an aggregate 25-21 win-loss record in 2024, 18-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Guangzhou Challenger

Sho has never competed in this tournament before.

Shimabukuro
Guangzhou Challenger
Shimabukuro's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

C.O Connell
S.Shimabukuro
6h:20
6h:20
Time on court​
8h:33
8h:33
1h:22
1h:22
Last match​
1h:39
1h:39
4
4
Match played
4
4
78
78
Games Played​
100
100
10
10
Set played​​
11
11
278
278
Total points​
321
321
69.5
69.5
Avg point​
80.3
80.3
115
115
Winners
137
137
28.8
28.8
Avg Winners​
34.3
34.3
41%
41%
Ratio winners
43%
43%
-- Serve --
44
44
Aces
27
27
!
11
11
Avg Aces
6.8
6.8
4
4
Double Faults
11
11
1
1
Avg Double Faults
2.8
2.8
115/148
115/148
1st won total​
137/187
137/187
!
78%
78%
1st won %
!
73%
73%
60/100
60/100
2nd won total​
90/143
90/143
60%
60%
2nd won %
!
63%
63%
-- Break Points --
14/33
14/33
BP won
8/16
8/16
3.5/8.3
3.5/8.3
Avg BP won
2/4
2/4
42%
42%
Won
50%
50%
14
14
Conceded
17
17
3.5
3.5
Avg Conceded
4.3
4.3
4
4
Broken
5
5
1
1
Avg Broken
1.3
1.3
10
10
Saved
12
12

Matches, sets, games and points

Points O Connell Shimabukuro
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 10 11
Tot Games 78 100
Pts 278-213 321-316
Total Points 491 637
Winners 115 137
%Winners 41% 43%

Both O Connell and Shimabukuro played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Christopher O Connell surrendered 1 set, while Sho Shimabukuro dropped 3 sets. O Connell has played 1 set(s) less than Shimabukuro (10 vs 11). Therefore, O Connell played 22 games less than Shimabukuro. O Connell scored 115 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese blasted 137 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve O Connell Shimabukuro
Aces 44 27
Avg per match 11 6.8
1st in 148/248 187/330
%1st in 60% 57%
1st pts 115/148 137/187
%1st pts 78% 73%
2nd pts 60/100 90/143
%2nd pts 60% 63%

O Connell recorded 44 aces (11 per match). Shimabukuro bagged 27 aces (6.8 per match). O Connell won 78% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Shimabukuro won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks O Connell Shimabukuro
Won 14 8
Converted 14/33 8/16
% Converted 42% 50%
Conceded 14 17
Saved 10 12
% Saved 71% 71%
Times Broken 4 5

Christopher broke his opponents 14 times with a 42% conversion rate. Christopher dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. The Japanese broke his opponents 8 times with a 50% conversion rate. Sho conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.

O Connell
R1
Lamasine
R2
Cong Mo
1/4
Albot
1/2
Kukushkin
Total
Score 6-3 6-2 6-2 2-1 ret. 6-4 6-76 6-3 6-4 6-2
Tot Set 2 2 3 2 9
Tot Games 17 11 32 18 78
pts 61-42 45-28 111-93 61-50 278-213
Total points 103 73 204 111 491
Winners 27 16 44 28 115
%Winners 44% 36% 40% 46% 41%
SERVE
Aces 4 9 18 13 44
Double Faults 0 1 2 1 4
1st in 37/51 19/34 59/103 33/60 148/248
% 1st in 73% 56% 57% 55% 60%
1st pts 27/37 16/19 44/59 28/33 115/148
% 1st pts 73% 84% 75% 85% 78%
2nd pts 9/14 11/15 26/44 14/27 60/100
% 2nd pts 64% 73% 59% 52% 60%
Breaks
Won 4 2 5 3 14
Converted 4/11 2/6 5/11 3/5 14/33
Converted % 36% 33% 45% 60% 42%
Conceded 2 2 8 2 14
Saved 1/2 2/2 5/8 2/2 10
Saved % 50% 100% 63% 100% 78%
Times Broken 1 0 3 0 4
Shimabukuro
R1
Cressy
R2
Bai
1/4
Atmane
1/2
Nardi
Total
Score 7-610 6-3 3-6 7-63 0-1 ret. 7-610 5-7 7-5 6-2 6-4
Tot Set 2 3 3 2 10
Tot Games 22 23 37 18 100
pts 68-65 77-88 118-122 58-41 321-316
Total points 133 165 240 99 637
Winners 35 26 56 20 137
%Winners 51% 34% 47% 34% 43%
SERVE
Aces 7 7 10 3 27
Double Faults 1 3 7 0 11
1st in 46/74 41/77 71/128 29/51 187/330
% 1st in 62% 53% 55% 57% 57%
1st pts 35/46 26/41 56/71 20/29 137/187
% 1st pts 76% 63% 79% 69% 73%
2nd pts 21/28 21/36 31/57 17/22 90/143
% 2nd pts 75% 58% 54% 77% 63%
Breaks
Won 1 1 2 4 8
Converted 1/2 1/5 2/3 4/6 8/16
Converted % 50% 20% 67% 67% 50%
Conceded 0 8 5 4 17
Saved 0/0 6/8 3/5 3/4 12
Saved % 75% 60% 75% 53%
Times Broken 0 2 2 1 5

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
O Connell
LWWLLWLLLL
Shimabukuro
WLWLWLLWWW
2024 2023 2022
28 - 26
28 - 25
23-16
Hard
20-15
3-5
I Hard
2-4
2-4
Clay
1-3
0-1
Grass
5-3
See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw

  • Christopher O ConnellO ConnellSho ShimabukuroShimabukuro (1-0) – H2H and prediction