Guy Den Ouden and Jelle Sels will play each other in the final of the Dobrich 2 Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 12:00 pm on Center Court. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Guy Den Ouden who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Guy Den Ouden is the pick to win this match.
Guy Den Ouden -> 1.78
Jelle Sels -> 1.97
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Prediction and head to head Guy Den Ouden vs. Jelle Sels
This will be the 2nd time that Guy Den Ouden and Jelle Sels fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Den Ouden (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played, Den Ouden won 6-2 6-2 in the quarter in M25 Brussels back in June 2024.
Guy Den Ouden
33 - 17win/loss
305
270
LLWWLLLLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 35-24 | 3-7 | 28-12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-19 | 35-9 | 24-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 14-12 | 12-7 | 2-2 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-13 | 16-5 | 13-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 341, Guy got to the final after defeating Frederico Ferreira Silva 7-6(5) 6-3, Liam Draxl 6-3 7-5, Alexander Donski 6-3 6-3 and Genaro Alberto Olivieri 6-1 6-4.
In the semifinal, The Dutch had a good straight sets win against Alberto Olivieri (6-1 6-4). During the match, Den Ouden scored 72 points vs Alberto Olivieri’s 58. The Dutch was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about the service games, Den Ouden scored just 1 ace in the course of the match and he committed only 2 double faults. Guy Den Ouden conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 8 break points. Furthermore, Den Ouden put 72% of his first serves in, winning 66% (33/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 63% (12/19) on the 2nd serve. Guy broke Alberto Olivieri 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Guy hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Den Ouden has a solid match record in the last 5 years having won 68% of his matches (136-65). 27-11 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Den Ouden has a compiled67-31 win-loss record in the last 5 years on clay.
The Dutch’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in M25 Mataro and M25 Koksijde.
Den Ouden has a compiled 32-17 win-loss record in 2024, 27-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Dobrich 2 Challenger
Guy has never competed in this tournament before.
Jelle Sels
41 - 20win/loss
292
127
LLLLWLLLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 48-29 | 13-6 | 28-15 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 11-27 | 5-4 | 3-14 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 48-33 | 0-0 | 26-17 | 22-15 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-31 | 2-3 | 14-13 | 20-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2020 | 18-10 | 0-1 | 14-8 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 361, Sels got to the final after beating Francesco Maestrelli 4-6 7-6(3) 6-2, Corentin Denolly 6-4 6-4, Dimitar Kuzmanov 7-6(3) 7-5 and Jakub Nicod 6-2 1-0 ret..
In the semifinal against Nicod, Sels had a free pass after Nicod retired on a 6-2 1-0 . scoreline.
Jelle’s best result of the season was getting to the final in M25 Mandya,M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio,M25 Santa Margherita di Pula and M25 Reggio Emilia.
The Dutch has a composed 41-19 win-loss record in 2024, 28-13 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Den Ouden | Sels |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 10 |
| Tot Games | 78 | 85 |
| Pts | 289-243 | 327-276 |
| Total Points | 532 | 603 |
| Winners | 123 | 122 |
| %Winners | 43% | 37% |
Both Den Ouden and Sels played 4 matches. At the moment, Jelle Sels dropped 1 set while Guy Den Ouden hasn’t dropped a set so far. Den Ouden has played 2 set(s) less than Sels (8 vs 10). Therefore, Den Ouden played 7 games less than Sels. Den Ouden scored 123 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Sels scored 122 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Den Ouden | Sels |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 2.3 | 2 |
| 1st in | 179/276 | 175/292 |
| %1st in | 65% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 123/179 | 122/175 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 48/97 | 71/117 |
| %2nd pts | 49% | 61% |
Den Ouden fired 9 aces (2.3 per match). Sels recorded 8 aces (2 per match). Den Ouden won 69% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Sels won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Den Ouden | Sels |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 16 | 12 |
| Converted | 16/33 | 12/35 |
| % Converted | 48% | 34% |
| Conceded | 24 | 32 |
| Saved | 18 | 26 |
| % Saved | 75% | 81% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 6 |
Den Ouden broke his opponents 16 times with a 48% conversion rate. Den Ouden lost his serve 6 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. The Dutch broke his opponents 12 times with a 34% conversion rate. Jelle conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 81% of the break points that he conceded.
| Den Ouden | ||||||
| R1 Ferreira Silva |
R2 Draxl |
1/4 Donski |
1/2 Alberto Olivieri |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 6-3 | 6-3 7-5 | 6-3 6-3 | 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 21 | 18 | 17 | 78 | |
| pts | 76-68 | 68-57 | 73-60 | 72-58 | 289-243 | |
| Total points | 144 | 125 | 133 | 130 | 532 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | 32 | 33 | 123 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 43% | 44% | 46% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 39/64 | 45/66 | 45/77 | 50/69 | 179/276 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 68% | 58% | 72% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 29/39 | 29/45 | 32/45 | 33/50 | 123/179 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 64% | 71% | 66% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/25 | 10/21 | 14/32 | 12/19 | 48/97 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 48% | 44% | 63% | 49% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 5/9 | 4/6 | 3/7 | 16/33 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 56% | 67% | 43% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 24 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 3/6 | 5/6 | 8/8 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | 83% | 100% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | |
| Sels | ||||||
| R1 Maestrelli |
R2 Denolly |
1/4 Kuzmanov |
1/2 Nicod |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 7-63 6-2 | 6-4 6-4 | 7-63 7-5 | 6-2 1-0 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 20 | 25 | 9 | 85 | |
| pts | 121-110 | 69-58 | 100-87 | 37-21 | 327-276 | |
| Total points | 231 | 127 | 187 | 58 | 603 | |
| Winners | 46 | 27 | 34 | 15 | 122 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 39% | 34% | 41% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 76/126 | 31/59 | 48/73 | 20/34 | 175/292 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 53% | 66% | 59% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 46/76 | 27/31 | 34/48 | 15/20 | 122/175 | |
| % 1st pts | 61% | 87% | 71% | 75% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 25/50 | 17/28 | 20/25 | 9/14 | 71/117 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 61% | 80% | 64% | 61% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | |
| Converted | 6/14 | 2/6 | 2/13 | 2/2 | 12/35 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 33% | 15% | 100% | 34% | |
| Conceded | 18 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 32 | |
| Saved | 13/18 | 8/8 | 3/4 | 2/2 | 26 | |
| Saved % | 72% | 100% | 75% | 100% | 87% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
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