Christopher O Connell and Mikhail Kukushkin will face off in the semifinal of the Guangzhou Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 4:00 pm on Court 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Christopher O Connell who should win in 3 sets.
Christopher O Connell -> 1.53
Mikhail Kukushkin -> 2.4
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Prediction and head to head Christopher O Connell vs. Mikhail Kukushkin
This will be the 2nd time that Christopher O Connell and Mikhail Kukushkin clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Kukushkin (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Kukushkin won 6-3 6-3 in the qualifications in Sydney back in 2015.
Christopher O Connell
19 - 18win/loss
87
53
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19-18 | 17-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-34 | 19-18 | 11-9 | 4-3 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-25 | 30-16 | 12-5 | 3-1 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 22-16 | 14-9 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-12 | 4-5 | 4-3 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 87, the Australian got to the semifinal after defeating Tristan Lamasine 6-3 6-2, Ye Cong Mo 6-2 2-1 ret. and Radu Albot 6-4 6-7(6) 6-3.
In the quarter, O Connell defeated Albot (6-4 6-76 6-3). During the match, O Connell scored 111 points vs Albot’s 93. Christopher was quite aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Talking about the service games, O Connell managed to score 18 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Christopher O Connell was pretty effective on serve to win 75% (44/59) of his 1st serve and 59% (26/44) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Christopher broke Albot 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Australian has dropped 1 set in this competition to win 56% of the points he played.
O Connell has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (342-207). 17-13 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, O Connell has an overall 153-104 record in the last years on hard.
The Australian has an overall 19-18 win-loss record in 2024, 17-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Guangzhou Challenger
Mikhail Kukushkin
45 - 24win/loss
118
39
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 45-24 | 22-7 | 10-9 | 7-4 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-24 | 17-11 | 3-5 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-28 | 18-11 | 0-2 | 13-11 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 12-24 | 8-9 | 0-6 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-12 | 3-5 | 3-2 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 118, Mikhail reached the semifinal after defeating Evgeny Donskoy 6-4 6-4, Dalibor Svrcina 2-6 6-1 6-2 and Federico Agustin Gomez 6-2 6-2.
In the quarter, Mikhail had a good straight sets win against Agustin Gomez (6-2 6-2). During the match Kukushkin scored 64 points vs Agustin Gomez’s 41. Kukushkin was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.
About the serving games, Kukushkin blasted 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Mikhail Kukushkin was pretty effective on serve to win 84% (27/32) of his 1st serve and 56% (10/18) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Kukushkin broke Agustin Gomez 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Mikhail has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Manama Challenger where he beat Richard Gasquet in the final 7-6(5) 6-4 and the Tenerife 3 Challenger where he overcame Matteo Gigante in the final 6-2 2-0 ret..
The Kazakhstani has a composed 45-24 win-loss record in 2024, 22-7 on hard (See FULL STATS)
.Previously in the Guangzhou Challenger
The Kazakhstani has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | O Connell | Kukushkin |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 60 | 59 |
| Pts | 217-163 | 206-158 |
| Total Points | 380 | 364 |
| Winners | 87 | 83 |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% |
Both O Connell and Kukushkin played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Christopher O Connell dropped 1 set, while Mikhail Kukushkin lost 1 set. O Connell has played 1 set more than Kukushkin (8 vs 7). Therefore, O Connell played 1 game more than Kukushkin. Christopher scored 87 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Mikhail made 83 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | O Connell | Kukushkin |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 31 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 10.3 | 3.7 |
| 1st in | 115/188 | 108/183 |
| %1st in | 61% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 87/115 | 83/108 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 46/73 | 45/75 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 60% |
O Connell struck 31 aces (10.3 per match). Kukushkin recorded 11 aces (3.7 per match). O Connell won 76% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Kukushkin won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | O Connell | Kukushkin |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 11 |
| Converted | 11/28 | 11/25 |
| % Converted | 39% | 44% |
| Conceded | 12 | 13 |
| Saved | 8 | 10 |
| % Saved | 67% | 77% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 3 |
O Connell broke his opponents 11 times with a 39% conversion rate. The Australian lost his serve 4 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Kazakhstani broke his opponents 11 times with a 44% conversion rate. Mikhail conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded.
| O Connell | |||||
| R1 Lamasine | R2 Cong Mo | 1/4 Albot | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 6-2 2-1 ret. | 6-4 6-76 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 11 | 32 | 60 | |
| pts | 61-42 | 45-28 | 111-93 | 217-163 | |
| Total points | 103 | 73 | 204 | 380 | |
| Winners | 27 | 16 | 44 | 87 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 36% | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 9 | 18 | 31 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 37/51 | 19/34 | 59/103 | 115/188 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 56% | 57% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 27/37 | 16/19 | 44/59 | 87/115 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 84% | 75% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/14 | 11/15 | 26/44 | 46/73 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 73% | 59% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 2/6 | 5/11 | 11/28 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 33% | 45% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 2/2 | 5/8 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 100% | 63% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | |
| Kukushkin | |||||
| R1 Donskoy | R2 Svrcina | 1/4 Agustin | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 2-6 6-1 6-2 | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 23 | 16 | 59 | |
| pts | 67-60 | 75-57 | 64-41 | 206-158 | |
| Total points | 127 | 132 | 105 | 364 | |
| Winners | 30 | 26 | 27 | 83 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 35% | 42% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 6 | 3 | 2 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 36/66 | 40/67 | 32/50 | 108/183 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 60% | 64% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 30/36 | 26/40 | 27/32 | 83/108 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 65% | 84% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/30 | 18/27 | 10/18 | 45/75 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 67% | 56% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 5/9 | 4/10 | 11/25 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 56% | 40% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 8 | 1 | 13 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 5/8 | 1/1 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 63% | 100% | 88% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | |
Tennis Scores in Guangzhou Challenger
- Francis Casey Alcantara/Pruchya IsarowCasey Alcantara/Pruchya Isarow – Rithvik Choudary Bollipalli/Arjun KadheChoudary Bollipalli/Arjun Kadhe (1-6 7-65 11-9) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Evan King/Reese StalderKing/Reese Stalder – Blake Bayldon/Thomas FancuttBayldon/Thomas Fancutt (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro – (1-0) – H2H and prediction