Federico Coria and Jacopo Berrettini will face off in the quarter of the Szczecin Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 5:00 pm on COURT BOHDAN TOMASZEWSKI. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Federico Coria who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Federico Coria is the pick to win this match.
Federico Coria -> 1.33
Jacopo Berrettini -> 3.14

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Prediction and head to head Federico Coria vs. Jacopo Berrettini

There is no head to head record between Federico Coria and Jacopo Berrettini since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Federico Coria

Ranked no. 79, the Argentine got to the quarter after defeating Olaf Pieczkowski 6-0 6-3 and Federico Arnaboldi 6-1 7-6(5).

In the 2^nd round, Federico had a good straight sets win against Arnaboldi (6-1 7-6⁵). During the match, Coria scored 81 points vs Arnaboldi’s 64. Federico was quite aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Talking about the service games, Coria couldn’t to score even 1 ace throughout the match and he committed only 4 double faults. Federico Coria lost the serve 4 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Coria put 69% of his first serves in, winning 67% (29/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 26% (5/19) on the 2nd serve. Coria broke Arnaboldi 7 times after converting 44% of his break points (7/16).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Coria hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to conquer 59% of the points he played.

Coria has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (431-283). 28-22 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Coria has an overall 415-234 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

Coria’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the Piracicaba Challenger.

The Argentine has an aggregate 28-26 win-loss record in 2024, 28-22 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Szczecin Challenger

Jacopo Berrettini

Ranked no. 369, Berrettini reached the quarter after defeating Kacper Knitter 6-1 6-3, Maxime Chazal 3-6 6-2 6-3, Stefano Napolitano 3-6 6-2 6-4 and Jan Choinski 7-5 6-3.

In the 2^nd round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Choinski (7-5 6-3). During the match Berrettini scored 73 points vs Choinski’s 65. The Italian was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Talking about serving, Berrettini scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 5 double faults. Jacopo Berrettini lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Berrettini put 63% of his first serves in, winning 71% (29/41) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (12/24) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Choinski 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Jacopo’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Francavilla Challenger and M25 Bolzano.

The Italian has an aggregate 30-19 win-loss record in 2024, 29-14 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Szczecin Challenger

The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Coria	Berrettini
Match played	2	4
Tot Set	4	10
Tot Games	35	90
Pts	136-96	301-266
Total Points	232	567
Winners	54	121
%Winners	40%	40%

Coria played 2 matches while Berrettini competed in 4 matches. Berrettini started his run from the qualifications while Coria had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Jacopo Berrettini lost 2 sets while Federico Coria hasn’t lost a set so far. Coria has played 6 set(s) less than Berrettini (4 vs 10). Therefore, Coria played 55 games less than Berrettini. The Argentine scored 54 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Berrettini made 121 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Coria	Berrettini
Aces	0	11
Avg per match	0	2.8
1st in	77/106	171/270
%1st in	73%	63%
1st pts	54/77	121/171
%1st pts	70%	71%
2nd pts	10/29	48/99
%2nd pts	34%	48%

Coria didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Berrettini recorded 11 aces (2.8 per match). Coria won 70% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 34% of the points. On the other side, Berrettini won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Coria	Berrettini
Won	12	20
Converted	12/24	20/36
% Converted	50%	56%
Conceded	9	22
Saved	4	12
% Saved	44%	55%
Times Broken	5	10

Federico broke his opponents 12 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Argentine conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 44% of the break points that he conceded. Jacopo broke his opponents 20 times with a 56% conversion rate. Jacopo conceded his serve 10 times and he saved 55% of the break points that he conceded.

Coria
	R1 Pieczkowski	R2 Arnaboldi	Total
Score	6-0 6-3	6-1 7-65
Tot Set	2	2	4
Tot Games	15	20	35
pts	55-32	81-64	136-96
Total points	87	145	232
Winners	25	29	54
%Winners	45%	36%	40%
SERVE
Aces	0	0	0
Double Faults	0	4	4
1st in	34/44	43/62	77/106
% 1st in	77%	69%	73%
1st pts	25/34	29/43	54/77
% 1st pts	74%	67%	70%
2nd pts	5/10	5/19	10/29
% 2nd pts	50%	26%	34%
Breaks
Won	5	7	12
Converted	5/8	7/16	12/24
Converted %	63%	44%	50%
Conceded	2	7	9
Saved	1/2	3/7	4
Saved %	50%	43%	47%
Times Broken	1	4	5

Berrettini
	Q1 Knitter	Q3 Chazal	R1 Napolitano	R2 Choinski	Total
Score	6-1 6-3	3-6 6-2 6-3	3-6 6-2 6-4	7-5 6-3
Tot Set	2	3	3	2	10
Tot Games	16	26	27	21	90
pts	61-39	77-71	90-91	73-65	301-266
Total points	100	148	181	138	567
Winners	25	33	34	29	121
%Winners	41%	43%	38%	40%	40%
SERVE
Aces	0	5	5	1	11
Double Faults	1	0	5	5	11
1st in	31/41	49/69	50/95	41/65	171/270
% 1st in	76%	71%	53%	63%	63%
1st pts	25/31	33/49	34/50	29/41	121/171
% 1st pts	81%	67%	68%	71%	71%
2nd pts	4/10	11/20	21/45	12/24	48/99
% 2nd pts	40%	55%	47%	50%	48%
Breaks
Won	5	5	5	5	20
Converted	5/9	5/7	5/10	5/10	20/36
Converted %	56%	71%	50%	50%	56%
Conceded	1	3	11	7	22
Saved	0/1	0/3	7/11	5/7	12
Saved %	0%	0%	64%	71%	68%
Times Broken	1	3	4	2	10

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Vit KoprivaKopriva – Alexey VatutinVatutin (3-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jacopo BerrettiniBerrettini – Federico CoriaCoria (0-0) – H2H and prediction