Sho Shimabukuro and Yan Bai will clash against each other in the 2^nd round of the Guangzhou Challenger for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 2:00 pm on COURT 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sho Shimabukuro who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Sho Shimabukuro is the pick to win this match.
Sho Shimabukuro -> 1.27
Yan Bai -> 3.52

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Prediction and head to head Sho Shimabukuro vs. Yan Bai

This will be the 3^rd time that Sho Shimabukuro and Yan Bai face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Shimabukuro (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Shimabukuro won 7-5 6-3 in the 1^st round in the Shanghai Challenger back in September 2024.

Sho Shimabukuro

Ranked no. 196, Sho reached the 2^nd round after defeating Maxime Cressy 7-6(10) 6-3.

In the 1^st round, Shimabukuro had a good straight sets win against Cressy (7-6¹⁰ 6-3). During the match, Shimabukuro scored 68 points vs Cressy’s 65. The Japanese was extremely aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Regarding the service games, Shimabukuro managed to score 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Sho Shimabukuro was pretty effective on serve to win 76% (35/46) of his 1st serve and 75% (21/28) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Sho broke Cressy once after converting 50% of his break points (1/2).

Shimabukuro has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 63% of his matches (233-139). 15-11 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Shimabukuro has a compiled172-97 match record in the last 9 years on hard.

His best result of the year was winning the title the Shanghai Challenger where he overcame Yu Hsiou Hsu in the final 6-4 6-4.

Sho has an aggregate 22-21 win-loss record in 2024, 15-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Guangzhou Challenger

Sho has never competed in this tournament before.

Yan Bai

Ranked no. 272, the Chinese got to the 2^nd round after defeating Blake Mott 6-2 6-4.

In the 1^st round, Bai had a good straight sets win against Mott (6-2 6-4). During the match Bai scored 58 points vs Mott’s 45. Yan was exceptionally aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Talking about serving, Bai fired 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Yan Bai was extremely effective on serve to win 80% (24/30) of his 1st serve and 67% (14/21) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Yan broke Mott 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).

The Chinese’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M15 Hinode,M25 Anning,M25 Luzhou,M25 Tianjin and M25 Yinchuan.

Bai has an overall 41-13 win-loss record in 2024, 37-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Shimabukuro	Bai
Match played	1	1
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	22	18
Pts	68-65	58-45
Total Points	133	103
Winners	35	24
%Winners	51%	41%

Both Shimabukuro and Bai played 1 match. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Shimabukuro and Bai have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Shimabukuro played 4 games more than Bai. Sho scored 35 winners (51% of the total points). On the other side, The Chinese fired 24 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Shimabukuro	Bai
Aces	7	5
Avg per match	7	5
1st in	46/74	30/51
%1st in	62%	59%
1st pts	35/46	24/30
%1st pts	76%	80%
2nd pts	21/28	14/21
%2nd pts	75%	67%

Shimabukuro recorded 7 aces . Bai struck 5 aces . Shimabukuro won 76% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 75% of the points. On the other side, Bai won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 67% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Shimabukuro	Bai
Won	1	3
Converted	1/2	3/5
% Converted	50%	60%
Conceded	0	2
Saved	0	2
% Saved	0%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

Sho broke his opponent once with a 50% conversion rate. Sho pretty solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points. The Chinese broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. Yan was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points.

Shimabukuro
	R1 Cressy	Total
Score	7-610 6-3
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	22	22
pts	68-65	68-65
Total points	133	133
Winners	35	35
%Winners	51%	51%
SERVE
Aces	7	7
Double Faults	1	1
1st in	46/74	46/74
% 1st in	62%	62%
1st pts	35/46	35/46
% 1st pts	76%	76%
2nd pts	21/28	21/28
% 2nd pts	75%	75%
Breaks
Won	1	1
Converted	1/2	1/2
Converted %	50%	50%
Conceded	0	0
Saved	0/0	0
Saved %	–	0%
Times Broken	0	0

Bai
	R1 Mott	Total
Score	6-2 6-4
Tot Set	2	2
Tot Games	18	18
pts	58-45	58-45
Total points	103	103
Winners	24	24
%Winners	41%	41%
SERVE
Aces	5	5
Double Faults	2	2
1st in	30/51	30/51
% 1st in	59%	59%
1st pts	24/30	24/30
% 1st pts	80%	80%
2nd pts	14/21	14/21
% 2nd pts	67%	67%
Breaks
Won	3	3
Converted	3/5	3/5
Converted %	60%	60%
Conceded	2	2
Saved	2/2	2
Saved %	100%	100%
Times Broken	0	0

Tennis Scores in Guangzhou Challenger

• Kris Van WykVan Wyk – Alibek KachmazovKachmazov (7-6⁵ 6-4) – See score progression
• Ye Cong MoCong Mo – Markos KalovelonisKalovelonis (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
• Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Tristan LamasineLamasine (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Wishaya TrongcharoenchaikulTrongcharoenchaikul – Alexey ZakharovZakharov (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• James McCabeMcCabe – Rishab AgarwalAgarwal (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Dalibor SvrcinaSvrcina – Yasutaka UchiyamaUchiyama (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin – Evgeny DonskoyDonskoy (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro – Maxime CressyCressy (7-6¹⁰ 6-3) – See score progression
• Mitsuki Wei Kang LeongWei Kang Leong – Kaichi UchidaUchida (4-6 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Radu AlbotAlbot – Yaojie ZengZeng (6-4 6-7² 7-5) – See score progression
• Federico Agustin GomezAgustin Gomez – Egor GerasimovGerasimov (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
• Paul JubbJubb – Linang XiaoXiao (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Luca NardiNardi – Jie CuiCui (6-4 3-6 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Marc PolmansPolmans – Vadym UrsuUrsu (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
• Yan BaiBai – Blake MottMott (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Terence AtmaneAtmane – Rio NoguchiNoguchi (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Christopher O’ConnellO’Connell – Tristan LamasineLamasine (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Ye Cong MoCong Mo – Markos KalovelonisKalovelonis (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
• Wishaya TrongcharoenchaikulTrongcharoenchaikul – Alexey ZakharovZakharov (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• Radu AlbotAlbot – Yaojie ZengZeng (6-4 6-7(2) 7-5) – See score progression
• Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin – Evgeny DonskoyDonskoy (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
• James McCabeMcCabe – Rishab AgarwalAgarwal (6-2 6-4) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin – Dalibor SvrcinaSvrcina (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Wishaya TrongcharoenchaikulTrongcharoenchaikul – Radu AlbotAlbot (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Christopher O ConnellO Connell – Ye Cong MoCong Mo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Kris Van WykVan Wyk – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro – Yan BaiBai (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Paul JubbJubb – Marc PolmansPolmans (0-0) – H2H and prediction