Pengyu Lu and Evgeny Donskoy will clash against each other in the qualifications of the Guangzhou Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 10:00 am on COURT 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Evgeny Donskoy who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Evgeny Donskoy is the pick to win this match.
Evgeny Donskoy -> 1.078
Pengyu Lu -> 6.95
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Prediction and head to head Pengyu Lu vs. Evgeny Donskoy
There is no head to head record between Pengyu Lu and Evgeny Donskoy since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Pengyu Lu
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24-27 | 19-21 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 13-9 | 10-7 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently unranked, Pengyu reached the qualifications after defeating Seita Watanabe 7-5 6-3.
In the qualifications, Pengyu had a good straight sets win against Watanabe (7-5 6-3). During the match, Lu scored 75 points vs Watanabe’s 61. Pengyu was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Regarding the service games, Lu made 9 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Pengyu Lu was extremely efficient on serve to win 81% (30/37) of his 1st serve and 54% (20/37) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Chinese was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Watanabe 3 times.
Lu has a winning match record in the last 3 years having won 56% of his matches (36-28). 17-13 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Lu has an aggregate28-21 win-loss record in the last 3 years on hard.
Lu’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in M25 Luzhou.
Lu has a composed 22-18 win-loss record in 2024, 17-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Guangzhou Challenger
Pengyu has never competed in this tournament before.
Evgeny Donskoy
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23-20 | 23-20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 48-31 | 39-17 | 3-4 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-22 | 6-12 | 4-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2021 | 19-28 | 8-8 | 2-7 | 7-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 10-16 | 7-9 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
Ranked no. 396, Donskoy got to the qualifications after beating Linghao Zhang 6-2 6-1.
In the qualifications, Evgeny had a good straight sets win against Zhang (6-2 6-1). During the match Donskoy scored 53 points vs Zhang’s 32. Evgeny was exceptionally aggressive to blast 21 winners.
About the serving games, Donskoy scored 5 aces and he was very solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Evgeny Donskoy was very efficient on serve to win 75% (21/28) of his 1st serve and 68% (13/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Russian broke Zhang 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Evgeny’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M15 Tianjin.
The Russian has a composed 22-19 win-loss record in 2024, 22-19 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Guangzhou Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Lu | Donskoy |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 21 | 15 |
| Pts | 75-61 | 53-32 |
| Total Points | 136 | 85 |
| Winners | 30 | 21 |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% |
Both Lu and Donskoy played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Lu and Donskoy have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Lu played 6 games more than Donskoy. Lu scored 30 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian made 21 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Lu | Donskoy |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 9 | 5 |
| 1st in | 37/74 | 28/47 |
| %1st in | 50% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 30/37 | 21/28 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 20/37 | 13/19 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 68% |
Lu blasted 9 aces . Donskoy fired 5 aces . Lu won 81% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Donskoy won 75% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 68% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Lu | Donskoy |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 4 |
| Converted | 3/3 | 4/7 |
| % Converted | 100% | 57% |
| Conceded | 7 | 3 |
| Saved | 6 | 3 |
| % Saved | 86% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 |
Pengyu broke his opponent 3 times with a 100% conversion rate. The Chinese lost his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. The Russian broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. The Russian was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 3 break points.
| Lu | |||
| Q1 Watanabe |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | |
| pts | 75-61 | 75-61 | |
| Total points | 136 | 136 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 37/74 | 37/74 | |
| % 1st in | 50% | 50% | |
| 1st pts | 30/37 | 30/37 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/37 | 20/37 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/3 | 3/3 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 86% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Donskoy | |||
| Q1 Zhang |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 15 | |
| pts | 53-32 | 53-32 | |
| Total points | 85 | 85 | |
| Winners | 21 | 21 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 28/47 | 28/47 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 21/28 | 21/28 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/19 | 13/19 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 68% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLWLLLWL
LWWLWLLWLL 
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