Yu Hsiou Hsu and Sho Shimabukuro will face off in the final of the Shanghai Challenger for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 11:00 am on CENTRE COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sho Shimabukuro who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Sho Shimabukuro is the pick to win this match.
Sho Shimabukuro -> 1.63
Yu Hsiou Hsu -> 2.19

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Prediction and head to head Yu Hsiou Hsu vs. Sho Shimabukuro

This will be the 3^rd time that Yu Hsiou Hsu and Sho Shimabukuro clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Hsiou Hsu won 7-6(5) 6-4

in the final in M25 Tsukuba back in 2023.

Yu Hsiou Hsu

Ranked no. 183, the Chinese reached the final after defeating Yibing Wu 6-7(5) 3-3 ret., Yosuke Watanuki 2-6 6-4 4-0 ret., Kris Van Wyk 7-6(4) 2-6 6-2 and Norbert Gombos 6-3 6-4.

In the semifinal, The Chinese had a good straight sets win against Gombos (6-3 6-4). During the match, Hsiou Hsu scored 59 points vs Gombos’s 45. Yu was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Regarding the service games, Hsiou Hsu struck 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Yu Hsiou Hsu was quite efficient on serve to win 81% (26/32) of his 1st serve and 82% (14/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Yu broke Gombos twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Hsiou Hsu has lost 1 set in this competition to conquer 53% of the points he played.

Hsiou Hsu has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 64% of his matches (265-148). 38-18 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Hsiou Hsu has a composed233-112 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.

The Chinese’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M15 Kashiwa,M25 Tianjin and M25 Taipei.

Yu has an aggregate 40-22 win-loss record in 2024, 38-18 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Shanghai Challenger

Yu has never competed in this tournament before.

Sho Shimabukuro

Ranked no. 239, the Japanese got to the final after defeating Yan Bai 7-5 ret., Terence Atmane 6-4 6-3, Dalibor Svrcina 6-4 7-5 and Chak Lam Coleman Wong 6-3 7-6(2).

In the semifinal, The Japanese had a good straight sets win against Lam Coleman Wong (6-3 7-6²

). During the match Shimabukuro scored 80 points vs Lam Coleman Wong’s 65. Sho was extremely aggressive to blast 35 winners.

About the serving games, Shimabukuro made 12 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Sho Shimabukuro was quite efficient on serve to win 74% (35/47) of his 1st serve and 61% (14/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Sho broke Lam Coleman Wong 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Shimabukuro hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Sho’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in the Winnipeg Challenger.

Shimabukuro has an overall 20-21 win-loss record in 2024, 13-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Hsiou Hsu	Shimabukuro
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	12	8
Tot Games	89	75
Pts	297-264	288-236
Total Points	561	524
Winners	142	121
%Winners	48%	42%

Both Hsiou Hsu and Shimabukuro played 4 matches. At the moment, Yu Hsiou Hsu dropped 3 sets while Sho Shimabukuro hasn’t lost a set so far. Hsiou Hsu has played 4 sets more than Shimabukuro (12 vs 8). Therefore, Hsiou Hsu played 14 games more than Shimabukuro. Hsiou Hsu scored 142 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese made 121 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Hsiou Hsu	Shimabukuro
Aces	15	23
Avg per match	3.8	5.8
1st in	196/274	171/276
%1st in	72%	62%
1st pts	142/196	121/171
%1st pts	72%	71%
2nd pts	44/78	58/105
%2nd pts	56%	55%

Hsiou Hsu made 15 aces (3.8 per match). Shimabukuro blasted 23 aces (5.8 per match). Hsiou Hsu won 72% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Shimabukuro won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Hsiou Hsu	Shimabukuro
Won	9	16
Converted	9/30	16/26
% Converted	30%	62%
Conceded	20	24
Saved	14	17
% Saved	70%	71%
Times Broken	6	7

Hsiou Hsu broke his opponents 9 times with a 30% conversion rate. Yu lost his serve 6 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded. The Japanese broke his opponents 16 times with a 62% conversion rate. Shimabukuro conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.

Hsiou Hsu
	R1 Wu	R2 Watanuki	1/4 Van Wyk	1/2 Gombos	Total
Score	6-75 3-3 ret.	2-6 6-4 4-0 ret.	7-64 2-6 6-2	6-3 6-4
Tot Set	2	3	3	2	10
Tot Games	19	22	29	19	89
pts	69-76	74-54	95-89	59-45	297-264
Total points	145	128	184	104	561
Winners	43	31	42	26	142
%Winners	62%	42%	44%	44%	48%
SERVE
Aces	0	10	2	3	15
Double Faults	1	1	5	1	8
1st in	63/81	45/58	56/86	32/49	196/274
% 1st in	78%	78%	65%	65%	72%
1st pts	43/63	31/45	42/56	26/32	142/196
% 1st pts	68%	69%	75%	81%	72%
2nd pts	9/18	6/13	15/30	14/17	44/78
% 2nd pts	50%	46%	50%	82%	56%
Breaks
Won	0	5	2	2	9
Converted	0/5	5/9	2/9	2/7	9/30
Converted %	0%	56%	22%	29%	30%
Conceded	12	4	4	0	20
Saved	12/12	0/4	2/4	0/0	14
Saved %	100%	0%	50%	–	38%
Times Broken	0	4	2	0	6

Shimabukuro
	R1 Bai	R2 Atmane	1/4 Svrcina	1/2 Lam Coleman Wong	Total
Score	7-5 ret.	6-4 6-3	6-4 7-5	6-3 7-62
Tot Set	1	2	2	2	7
Tot Games	12	19	22	22	75
pts	72-55	60-53	76-63	80-65	288-236
Total points	127	113	139	145	524
Winners	25	28	33	35	121
%Winners	35%	47%	43%	44%	42%
SERVE
Aces	5	3	3	12	23
Double Faults	0	4	3	1	8
1st in	40/68	36/60	48/78	47/70	171/276
% 1st in	59%	60%	62%	67%	62%
1st pts	25/40	28/36	33/48	35/47	121/171
% 1st pts	63%	78%	69%	74%	71%
2nd pts	19/28	14/24	11/30	14/23	58/105
% 2nd pts	68%	58%	37%	61%	55%
Breaks
Won	4	3	6	3	16
Converted	4/7	3/4	6/8	3/7	16/26
Converted %	57%	75%	75%	43%	62%
Conceded	5	4	9	6	24
Saved	3/5	4/4	5/9	5/6	17
Saved %	60%	100%	56%	83%	75%
Times Broken	2	0	4	1	7

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Yu Hsiou HsuHsiou Hsu – Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro (1-1) – H2H and prediction