Jannik Sinner and Taylor Fritz will play each other in the final of the U.S. Open for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 2:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 4 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.285
Taylor Fritz -> 3.78

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Taylor Fritz

This will be the 3^rd time that Jannik Sinner and Taylor Fritz fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Sinner and Fritz (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Sinner won 6-4 4-6 6-4 in the quarter in Indian wells back in 2023.

Highlights Jannik Sinner vs Taylor Fritz – Indian wells 16-March-2023

Jannik Sinner

Currently world no. 1 Jannik reached the final after beating Mackenzie Mcdonald 2-6 6-2 6-1 6-2, Alex Michelsen 6-4 6-0 6-2, Christopher O Connell 6-1 6-4 6-2, Tommy Paul 7-6(3) 7-6(5) 6-1, Daniil Medvedev 6-2 1-6 6-1 6-4 and Jack Draper 7-5 7-6(3) 6-2.

In the semifinal, Jannik had a good straight sets win against Draper (7-5 7-6³ 6-2). During the match, Sinner scored 129 points vs Draper’s 98. The Italian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 48 winners.

Regarding the service games, Sinner fired 11 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Jannik Sinner was exceptionally effective on serve to win 77% (48/62) of his 1st serve and 74% (25/34) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Sinner broke Draper 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian has conceded 2 set in this tournament to conquer 58% of the points he played.

Sinner has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 73% of his matches (327-118). 29-2 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Sinner has a compiled127-43 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.

His best result of the current year was winning the title at the Australian Open where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 3-6 3-6 6-4 6-4 6-3 and in Rotterdam where he beat Alex De Minaur in the final 7-5 6-4 and in Miami where he defeated Grigor Dimitrov in the final 6-3 6-1 and in Halle where he defeated Hubert Hurkacz in the final 7-6(8) 7-6(2) and in Cincinnati where he overcame Frances Tiafoe in the final 7-6(4) 6-2.

Sinner has a compiled 54-5 win-loss record in 2024, 29-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Taylor Fritz

Ranked no. 12, Taylor got to the final after defeating Camilo Ugo Carabelli 7-5 6-1 6-2, Matteo Berrettini 6-3 7-6(1) 6-1, Francisco Comesana 6-3 6-4 6-2, Casper Ruud 3-6 6-4 6-3 6-2

, Alexander Zverev 7-6(2) 3-6 6-4 7-6(3) and Frances Tiafoe 4-6 7-5 4-6 6-4 6-1.

In the semifinal, Taylor had a tough win against Tiafoe to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (4-6 7-5 4-6 6-4 6-1). During the match Fritz scored 140 points vs Tiafoe’s 122. Taylor was very aggressive to blast 57 winners.

Talking about serving, Fritz managed to score 16 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Taylor Fritz was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 75% (57/76) of his 1st serve and 65% (36/55) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 4 times. Taylor broke Tiafoe 6 times after converting 55% of his break points (6/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Taylor has conceded 4 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Delray Beach where he overcame Tommy Paul in the final 6-2 6-3 and in Eastbourne where he defeated Max Purcell in the final 6-4 6-3.

Taylor has an aggregate 44-16 win-loss record in 2024, 18-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Sinner	Fritz
Match played	6	6
Tot Set	20	22
Tot Games	178	213
Pts	646-475	683-553
Total Points	1121	1236
Winners	232	284
%Winners	36%	42%

Both Sinner and Fritz played 6 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jannik Sinner conceded 2 sets, while Taylor Fritz conceded 4 sets. Sinner has played 2 set(s) less than Fritz (20 vs 22). Therefore, Sinner played 35 games less than Fritz. Sinner scored 232 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The American bagged 284 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Sinner	Fritz
Aces	54	75
Avg per match	9	12.5
1st in	295/519	349/590
%1st in	57%	59%
1st pts	232/295	284/349
%1st pts	79%	81%
2nd pts	133/224	149/241
%2nd pts	59%	62%

Sinner blasted 54 aces (9 per match). Fritz struck 75 aces (12.5 per match). Sinner won 79% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Fritz won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Sinner	Fritz
Won	34	26
Converted	34/81	26/59
% Converted	42%	44%
Conceded	32	22
Saved	21	13
% Saved	66%	59%
Times Broken	11	9

Sinner broke his opponents 34 times with a 42% conversion rate. Sinner dropped his serve 11 times and he saved 66% of the break points that he conceded. Taylor broke his opponents 26 times with a 44% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 59% of the break points that he conceded.

Sinner
	R1 Mcdonald	R2 Michelsen	R3 O	R4 Paul	1/4 Medvedev	1/2 Draper	Total
Score	2-6 6-2 6-1 6-2	6-4 6-0 6-2	6-1 6-4 6-2	7-63 7-65 6-1	6-2 1-6 6-1 6-4	7-5 7-63 6-2
Tot Set	4	3	3	3	4	3	20
Tot Games	31	24	25	33	32	33	178
pts	109-83	85-53	92-57	116-93	115-91	129-98	646-475
Total points	192	138	149	209	206	227	1121
Winners	39	30	37	39	39	48	232
%Winners	36%	35%	40%	34%	34%	37%	36%
SERVE
Aces	11	3	15	10	4	11	54
Double Faults	5	2	2	1	1	2	13
1st in	52/94	37/65	45/69	48/98	51/97	62/96	295/519
% 1st in	55%	57%	65%	49%	53%	65%	57%
1st pts	39/52	30/37	37/45	39/48	39/51	48/62	232/295
% 1st pts	75%	81%	82%	81%	76%	77%	79%
2nd pts	21/42	15/28	16/24	28/50	28/46	25/34	133/224
% 2nd pts	50%	54%	67%	56%	61%	74%	59%
Breaks
Won	8	8	5	4	5	4	34
Converted	8/15	8/16	5/10	4/14	5/15	4/11	34/81
Converted %	53%	50%	50%	29%	33%	36%	42%
Conceded	11	5	0	4	8	4	32
Saved	7/11	3/5	0/0	2/4	6/8	3/4	21
Saved %	64%	60%	–	50%	75%	75%	54%
Times Broken	4	2	0	2	2	1	11

Fritz
	R1 Ugo	R2 Berrettini	R3 Comesana	R4 Ruud	1/4 Zverev	1/2 Tiafoe	Total
Score	7-5 6-1 6-2	6-3 7-61 6-1	6-3 6-4 6-2	3-6 6-4 6-3 6-2	7-62 3-6 6-4 7-63	4-6 7-5 4-6 6-4 6-1
Tot Set	3	3	3	4	4	5	22
Tot Games	27	29	27	36	45	49	213
pts	93-62	101-61	96-71	114-103	139-134	140-122	683-553
Total points	155	162	167	217	273	262	1236
Winners	33	36	39	53	66	57	284
%Winners	35%	36%	41%	46%	47%	41%	42%
SERVE
Aces	10	7	6	24	12	16	75
Double Faults	2	1	4	7	5	3	22
1st in	41/76	40/71	48/80	63/104	81/128	76/131	349/590
% 1st in	54%	56%	60%	61%	63%	58%	59%
1st pts	33/41	36/40	39/48	53/63	66/81	57/76	284/349
% 1st pts	80%	90%	81%	84%	81%	75%	81%
2nd pts	20/35	27/31	19/32	22/41	25/47	36/55	149/241
% 2nd pts	57%	87%	59%	54%	53%	65%	62%
Breaks
Won	7	3	4	4	2	6	26
Converted	7/11	3/6	4/8	4/10	2/13	6/11	26/59
Converted %	64%	50%	50%	40%	15%	55%	44%
Conceded	4	0	3	6	4	5	22
Saved	2/4	0/0	3/3	5/6	2/4	1/5	13
Saved %	50%	–	100%	83%	50%	20%	51%
Times Broken	2	0	0	1	2	4	9

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Jannik SinnerSinner – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (1-1) – H2H and prediction