Jannik Sinner and Taylor Fritz will play each other in the final of the U.S. Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 2:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 4 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.285
Taylor Fritz -> 3.78
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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Taylor Fritz
This will be the 3rd time that Jannik Sinner and Taylor Fritz fight against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Sinner and Fritz (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Sinner won 6-4 4-6 6-4 in the quarter in Indian wells back in 2023.
Highlights Jannik Sinner vs Taylor Fritz – Indian wells 16-March-2023
Jannik Sinner
54 - 5win/loss
1
1
WWWWWWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 66-6 | 40-3 | 11-2 | 6-0 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-15 | 28-7 | 8-3 | 20-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-16 | 21-6 | 15-4 | 7-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 49-22 | 22-8 | 10-6 | 17-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-14 | 2-6 | 7-3 | 11-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Jannik reached the final after beating Mackenzie Mcdonald 2-6 6-2 6-1 6-2, Alex Michelsen 6-4 6-0 6-2, Christopher O Connell 6-1 6-4 6-2, Tommy Paul 7-6(3) 7-6(5) 6-1, Daniil Medvedev 6-2 1-6 6-1 6-4 and Jack Draper 7-5 7-6(3) 6-2.
In the semifinal, Jannik had a good straight sets win against Draper (7-5 7-63 6-2). During the match, Sinner scored 129 points vs Draper’s 98. The Italian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 48 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sinner fired 11 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Jannik Sinner was exceptionally effective on serve to win 77% (48/62) of his 1st serve and 74% (25/34) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Sinner broke Draper 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian has conceded 2 set in this tournament to conquer 58% of the points he played.
Sinner has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 73% of his matches (327-118). 29-2 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Sinner has a compiled127-43 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.
His best result of the current year was winning the title at the Australian Open where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 3-6 3-6 6-4 6-4 6-3 and in Rotterdam where he beat Alex De Minaur in the final 7-5 6-4 and in Miami where he defeated Grigor Dimitrov in the final 6-3 6-1 and in Halle where he defeated Hubert Hurkacz in the final 7-6(8) 7-6(2) and in Cincinnati where he overcame Frances Tiafoe in the final 7-6(4) 6-2.
Sinner has a compiled 54-5 win-loss record in 2024, 29-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Taylor Fritz
44 - 16win/loss
6
5
WLLWWWWLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 50-21 | 22-10 | 15-7 | 3-2 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 54-24 | 35-11 | 11-6 | 5-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-21 | 24-8 | 5-3 | 9-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-22 | 20-13 | 4-5 | 8-3 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-16 | 11-9 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 12, Taylor got to the final after defeating Camilo Ugo Carabelli 7-5 6-1 6-2, Matteo Berrettini 6-3 7-6(1) 6-1, Francisco Comesana 6-3 6-4 6-2, Casper Ruud 3-6 6-4 6-3 6-2, Alexander Zverev 7-6(2) 3-6 6-4 7-6(3) and Frances Tiafoe 4-6 7-5 4-6 6-4 6-1.
In the semifinal, Taylor had a tough win against Tiafoe to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (4-6 7-5 4-6 6-4 6-1). During the match Fritz scored 140 points vs Tiafoe’s 122. Taylor was very aggressive to blast 57 winners.
Talking about serving, Fritz managed to score 16 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Taylor Fritz was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 75% (57/76) of his 1st serve and 65% (36/55) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 4 times. Taylor broke Tiafoe 6 times after converting 55% of his break points (6/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Taylor has conceded 4 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Delray Beach where he overcame Tommy Paul in the final 6-2 6-3 and in Eastbourne where he defeated Max Purcell in the final 6-4 6-3.
Taylor has an aggregate 44-16 win-loss record in 2024, 18-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sinner | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 6 | 6 |
| Tot Set | 20 | 22 |
| Tot Games | 178 | 213 |
| Pts | 646-475 | 683-553 |
| Total Points | 1121 | 1236 |
| Winners | 232 | 284 |
| %Winners | 36% | 42% |
Both Sinner and Fritz played 6 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jannik Sinner conceded 2 sets, while Taylor Fritz conceded 4 sets. Sinner has played 2 set(s) less than Fritz (20 vs 22). Therefore, Sinner played 35 games less than Fritz. Sinner scored 232 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The American bagged 284 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sinner | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 54 | 75 |
| Avg per match | 9 | 12.5 |
| 1st in | 295/519 | 349/590 |
| %1st in | 57% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 232/295 | 284/349 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 133/224 | 149/241 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 62% |
Sinner blasted 54 aces (9 per match). Fritz struck 75 aces (12.5 per match). Sinner won 79% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Fritz won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sinner | Fritz |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 34 | 26 |
| Converted | 34/81 | 26/59 |
| % Converted | 42% | 44% |
| Conceded | 32 | 22 |
| Saved | 21 | 13 |
| % Saved | 66% | 59% |
| Times Broken | 11 | 9 |
Sinner broke his opponents 34 times with a 42% conversion rate. Sinner dropped his serve 11 times and he saved 66% of the break points that he conceded. Taylor broke his opponents 26 times with a 44% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 59% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sinner | ||||||||
| R1 Mcdonald |
R2 Michelsen |
R3 O |
R4 Paul |
1/4 Medvedev |
1/2 Draper |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 6-2 6-1 6-2 | 6-4 6-0 6-2 | 6-1 6-4 6-2 | 7-63 7-65 6-1 | 6-2 1-6 6-1 6-4 | 7-5 7-63 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 20 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 24 | 25 | 33 | 32 | 33 | 178 | |
| pts | 109-83 | 85-53 | 92-57 | 116-93 | 115-91 | 129-98 | 646-475 | |
| Total points | 192 | 138 | 149 | 209 | 206 | 227 | 1121 | |
| Winners | 39 | 30 | 37 | 39 | 39 | 48 | 232 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 35% | 40% | 34% | 34% | 37% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 11 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 54 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 52/94 | 37/65 | 45/69 | 48/98 | 51/97 | 62/96 | 295/519 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 57% | 65% | 49% | 53% | 65% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 39/52 | 30/37 | 37/45 | 39/48 | 39/51 | 48/62 | 232/295 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 81% | 82% | 81% | 76% | 77% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/42 | 15/28 | 16/24 | 28/50 | 28/46 | 25/34 | 133/224 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 54% | 67% | 56% | 61% | 74% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 8 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 34 | |
| Converted | 8/15 | 8/16 | 5/10 | 4/14 | 5/15 | 4/11 | 34/81 | |
| Converted % | 53% | 50% | 50% | 29% | 33% | 36% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 32 | |
| Saved | 7/11 | 3/5 | 0/0 | 2/4 | 6/8 | 3/4 | 21 | |
| Saved % | 64% | 60% | – | 50% | 75% | 75% | 54% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | |
| Fritz | ||||||||
| R1 Ugo |
R2 Berrettini |
R3 Comesana |
R4 Ruud |
1/4 Zverev |
1/2 Tiafoe |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-1 6-2 | 6-3 7-61 6-1 | 6-3 6-4 6-2 | 3-6 6-4 6-3 6-2 | 7-62 3-6 6-4 7-63 | 4-6 7-5 4-6 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 22 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 29 | 27 | 36 | 45 | 49 | 213 | |
| pts | 93-62 | 101-61 | 96-71 | 114-103 | 139-134 | 140-122 | 683-553 | |
| Total points | 155 | 162 | 167 | 217 | 273 | 262 | 1236 | |
| Winners | 33 | 36 | 39 | 53 | 66 | 57 | 284 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 36% | 41% | 46% | 47% | 41% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 10 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 12 | 16 | 75 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 22 | |
| 1st in | 41/76 | 40/71 | 48/80 | 63/104 | 81/128 | 76/131 | 349/590 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 56% | 60% | 61% | 63% | 58% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 33/41 | 36/40 | 39/48 | 53/63 | 66/81 | 57/76 | 284/349 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 90% | 81% | 84% | 81% | 75% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/35 | 27/31 | 19/32 | 22/41 | 25/47 | 36/55 | 149/241 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 87% | 59% | 54% | 53% | 65% | 62% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 7 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 26 | |
| Converted | 7/11 | 3/6 | 4/8 | 4/10 | 2/13 | 6/11 | 26/59 | |
| Converted % | 64% | 50% | 50% | 40% | 15% | 55% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 0/0 | 3/3 | 5/6 | 2/4 | 1/5 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 50% | – | 100% | 83% | 50% | 20% | 51% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWLWW
WLLWWWWLLW 
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