Francesco Passaro and Ignacio Buse will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Genova Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 8:00 pm on CAMPO CENTRALE. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Francesco Passaro who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Francesco Passaro is the pick to win this match.
Francesco Passaro -> 1.64
Ignacio Buse -> 2.17

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Francesco Passaro vs. Ignacio Buse

There is no head to head record between Francesco Passaro and Ignacio Buse since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Francesco Passaro

Ranked no. 145, the Italian got to the semifinal after beating Federico Arnaboldi 6-7(5) 7-6(10) 6-2, Gonzalo Bueno 6-3 6-2 and Thiago Moura Monteiro 4-6 6-3 7-6(5).

In the quarter against Moura Monteiro, Passaro recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 7-6⁵). During the match, Passaro scored 110 points vs Moura Monteiro’s 101. Passaro was quite aggressive to blast 45 winners.

Talking about the service games, Passaro made 9 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Francesco Passaro was extremely efficient on serve to win 73% (45/62) of his 1st serve and 56% (28/50) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Passaro broke Moura Monteiro 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Francesco has surrendered 2 set in this competition to win 54% of the points he played.

Passaro has a winning match record in the last 7 years having won 56% of his matches (167-129). 28-16 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Passaro has a composed135-91 record in the last 7 years on clay.

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Turin Challenger where he beat Lorenzo Musetti in the final 6-3 7-5.

Francesco has an aggregate 32-22 win-loss record in 2024, 28-16 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Genova Challenger

Ignacio Buse

Ranked no. 270, the Peruvian got to the semifinal after defeating Jacopo Berrettini 6-4 6-2, Daniel Elahi Galan 7-6(3) 7-6(1) and Giovanni Fonio 6-4 6-2.

In the quarter, Ignacio had a good straight sets win against Fonio (6-4 6-2). During the match Buse scored 65 points vs Fonio’s 46. Buse was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Talking about serving, Buse recorded 3 aces and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Ignacio Buse was exceptionally effective on serve to win 75% (24/32) of his 1st serve and 65% (17/26) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Buse broke Fonio 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Ignacio hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

Ignacio’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M25 Tarragona,M25 Vic and the Como Challenger.

The Peruvian has a compiled 42-21 win-loss record in 2024, 39-18 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Genova Challenger

The Peruvian has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Passaro	Buse
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	8	6
Tot Games	83	62
Pts	300-257	225-178
Total Points	557	403
Winners	134	86
%Winners	45%	38%

Both Passaro and Buse played 3 matches. At the moment, Francesco Passaro dropped 2 sets while Ignacio Buse hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Passaro has played 2 sets more than Buse (8 vs 6). Therefore, Passaro played 21 games more than Buse. Francesco scored 134 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Buse fired 86 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Passaro	Buse
Aces	16	8
Avg per match	5.3	2.7
1st in	190/284	121/197
%1st in	67%	61%
1st pts	134/190	86/121
%1st pts	71%	71%
2nd pts	54/94	46/76
%2nd pts	57%	61%

Passaro blasted 16 aces (5.3 per match). Buse managed to score 8 aces (2.7 per match). Passaro won 71% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Buse won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Passaro	Buse
Won	11	10
Converted	11/25	10/23
% Converted	44%	43%
Conceded	19	16
Saved	13	12
% Saved	68%	75%
Times Broken	6	4

Francesco broke his opponents 11 times with a 44% conversion rate. Francesco lost his serve 6 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded. The Peruvian broke his opponents 10 times with a 43% conversion rate. The Peruvian conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.

Passaro
	R1 Arnaboldi	R2 Bueno	1/4 Moura Monteiro	Total
Score	6-75 7-610 6-2	6-3 6-2	4-6 6-3 7-65
Tot Set	3	2	3	8
Tot Games	34	17	32	83
pts	123-112	67-44	110-101	300-257
Total points	235	111	211	557
Winners	56	33	45	134
%Winners	46%	49%	41%	45%
SERVE
Aces	7	0	9	16
Double Faults	2	0	3	5
1st in	78/107	50/65	62/112	190/284
% 1st in	73%	77%	55%	67%
1st pts	56/78	33/50	45/62	134/190
% 1st pts	72%	66%	73%	71%
2nd pts	17/29	9/15	28/50	54/94
% 2nd pts	59%	60%	56%	57%
Breaks
Won	4	4	3	11
Converted	4/10	4/6	3/9	11/25
Converted %	40%	67%	33%	44%
Conceded	6	5	8	19
Saved	4/6	4/5	5/8	13
Saved %	67%	80%	63%	70%
Times Broken	2	1	3	6

Buse
	R1 Berrettini	R2 Elahi Galan Riveros	1/4 Fonio	Total
Score	6-4 6-2	7-63 7-61	6-4 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	18	26	18	62
pts	57-38	103-94	65-46	225-178
Total points	95	197	111	403
Winners	21	41	24	86
%Winners	37%	40%	37%	38%
SERVE
Aces	1	4	3	8
Double Faults	1	3	0	4
1st in	32/46	57/93	32/58	121/197
% 1st in	70%	61%	55%	61%
1st pts	21/32	41/57	24/32	86/121
% 1st pts	66%	72%	75%	71%
2nd pts	11/14	18/36	17/26	46/76
% 2nd pts	79%	50%	65%	61%
Breaks
Won	5	2	3	10
Converted	5/7	2/12	3/4	10/23
Converted %	71%	17%	75%	43%
Conceded	3	10	3	16
Saved	1/3	8/10	3/3	12
Saved %	33%	80%	100%	71%
Times Broken	2	2	0	4

Tennis Scores in Genova Challenger

• Ignacio BuseBuse – Giovanni FonioFonio (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Francesco PassaroPassaro – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (4-6 6-3 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Stefano TravagliaTravaglia – Mili PoljicakPoljicak (6-7⁶ 6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Kei NishikoriNishikori (2-6 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
• Romain Arneodo/Theo ArribageArneodo/Theo Arribage – Francesco Maestrelli/Filippo RomanoMaestrelli/Filippo Romano (3-6 6-2 10-3) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Stefano TravagliaTravaglia – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (2-1) – H2H and prediction