Henrique Rocha and Jurij Rodionov will play each other in the semifinal of the Cassis Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 2:00 pm on CENTRAL CABESTO. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jurij Rodionov who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jurij Rodionov is the pick to win this match.
Jurij Rodionov -> 1.6
Henrique Rocha -> 2.24

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Prediction and head to head Henrique Rocha vs. Jurij Rodionov

There is no head to head record between Henrique Rocha and Jurij Rodionov since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Henrique Rocha

Ranked no. 164 (career-high), Rocha got to the semifinal after beating Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 7-5 6-3, Dan Added 4-6 6-3 6-3 and Laurent Lokoli 6-2 6-3.

In the quarter, The Portuguese had a good straight sets win against Lokoli (6-2 6-3). During the match, Rocha scored 65 points vs Lokoli’s 39. The Portuguese was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Regarding the service games, Rocha scored 2 aces and he was extremely steady in conceding no double faults. Henrique Rocha was pretty effective on serve to win 85% (29/34) of his 1st serve and 67% (10/15) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Henrique broke Lokoli 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Henrique has surrendered 1 set in this tournament to conquer 56% of the points he played.

Rocha has a winning match record in the last 5 years having won 59% of his matches (115-80). 10-6 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Rocha has a composed68-33 match record in the last 5 years on hard.

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Murcia Challenger where he overcame Nikoloz Basilashvili in the final 3-6 7-6(0) 7-5.

Rocha has an overall 29-23 win-loss record in 2024, 10-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Cassis Challenger

Rocha has never competed in this tournament before.

Jurij Rodionov

Ranked no. 202, Rodionov got to the semifinal after beating Mae Malige 6-4 6-4, Constant Lestienne 7-5 6-4 and Robin Bertrand 6-3 6-4.

In the quarter, Jurij had a good straight sets win against Bertrand (6-3 6-4). During the match Rodionov scored 69 points vs Bertrand’s 54. The Austrian was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.

About the serving games, Rodionov scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Jurij Rodionov lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Rodionov put 59% of his first serves in, winning 76% (26/34) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (12/24) on the 2nd serve. Rodionov broke Bertrand 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Rodionov hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

His best result of the year was winning the title the Koblenz Challenger where he defeated Brandon Nakashima in the final 6-7(7) 6-1 6-2.

Rodionov has a compiled 17-24 win-loss record in 2024, 6-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Rocha	Rodionov
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	7	6
Tot Games	66	61
Pts	232-184	213-169
Total Points	416	382
Winners	89	87
%Winners	38%	41%

Both Rocha and Rodionov played 3 matches. At the moment, Henrique Rocha lost 1 set while Jurij Rodionov hasn’t lost a set so far. Rocha has played 1 set more than Rodionov (7 vs 6). Therefore, Rocha played 5 games more than Rodionov. Rocha scored 89 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Rodionov fired 87 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Rocha	Rodionov
Aces	16	8
Avg per match	5.3	2.7
1st in	114/204	113/182
%1st in	56%	62%
1st pts	89/114	87/113
%1st pts	78%	77%
2nd pts	49/90	35/69
%2nd pts	54%	51%

Rocha scored 16 aces (5.3 per match). Rodionov recorded 8 aces (2.7 per match). Rocha won 78% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Rodionov won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Rocha	Rodionov
Won	12	11
Converted	12/31	11/25
% Converted	39%	44%
Conceded	18	9
Saved	13	4
% Saved	72%	44%
Times Broken	5	5

Rocha broke his opponents 12 times with a 39% conversion rate. The Portuguese lost his serve 5 times and he saved 72% of the break points that he conceded. Jurij broke his opponents 11 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Austrian conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 44% of the break points that he conceded.

Rocha
	R1 Daniel	R2 Added	1/4 Lokoli	Total
Score	7-5 6-3	4-6 6-3 6-3	6-2 6-3
Tot Set	2	3	2	7
Tot Games	21	28	17	66
pts	75-63	92-82	65-39	232-184
Total points	138	174	104	416
Winners	28	32	29	89
%Winners	37%	35%	45%	38%
SERVE
Aces	6	8	2	16
Double Faults	8	4	0	12
1st in	35/70	45/85	34/49	114/204
% 1st in	50%	53%	69%	56%
1st pts	28/35	32/45	29/34	89/114
% 1st pts	80%	71%	85%	78%
2nd pts	16/35	23/40	10/15	49/90
% 2nd pts	46%	58%	67%	54%
Breaks
Won	4	5	3	12
Converted	4/7	5/14	3/10	12/31
Converted %	57%	36%	30%	39%
Conceded	5	10	3	18
Saved	3/5	7/10	3/3	13
Saved %	60%	70%	100%	77%
Times Broken	2	3	0	5

Rodionov
	R1 Malige	R2 Lestienne	1/4 Bertrand	Total
Score	6-4 6-4	7-5 6-4	6-3 6-4
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	20	22	19	61
pts	72-58	72-57	69-54	213-169
Total points	130	129	123	382
Winners	32	29	26	87
%Winners	44%	40%	38%	41%
SERVE
Aces	3	4	1	8
Double Faults	1	0	3	4
1st in	42/61	37/63	34/58	113/182
% 1st in	69%	59%	59%	62%
1st pts	32/42	29/37	26/34	87/113
% 1st pts	76%	78%	76%	77%
2nd pts	10/19	13/26	12/24	35/69
% 2nd pts	53%	50%	50%	51%
Breaks
Won	3	4	4	11
Converted	3/5	4/11	4/9	11/25
Converted %	60%	36%	44%	44%
Conceded	4	2	3	9
Saved	3/4	0/2	1/3	4
Saved %	75%	0%	33%	36%
Times Broken	1	2	2	5

Tennis Scores in Cassis Challenger

• Adria Soriano BarreraSoriano Barrera – Marin CilicCilic (7-6⁴ 7-5) – See score progression
• Jurij RodionovRodionov – Robin BertrandBertrand (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
• Richard GasquetGasquet – Titouan DroguetDroguet (6-2 6-7¹ 6-3) – See score progression
• Henrique RochaRocha – Laurent LokoliLokoli (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
• David Pichler/Jurij RodionovPichler/Jurij Rodionov – Antoine Escoffier/Luca SanchezEscoffier/Luca Sanchez (6-3 7-6⁷) – See score progression
• Richard GasquetGasquet – Titouan DroguetDroguet (6-2 6-7(1) 6-3) – See score progression
• Adria Soriano BarreraSoriano Barrera – Marin CilicCilic (7-6(4) 7-5) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Richard GasquetGasquet – Adria Soriano BarreraSoriano Barrera (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Jurij RodionovRodionov – (0-0) – H2H and prediction