[UPDATED SF]. Prediction, H2H of Jessica Pegula’s draw vs Muchova, Sabalenka to win the U.S. Open

U.S. Open draw preview with H2H - Jessica Pegula may need to topple Karolina Muchova, Aryna Sabalenka to conquer the tournament in the U.S. Open.

Jessica Pegula Stats info

Jessica Pegula is 2 wins away to conquer the title at the U.S. Open. The American has defeated Shelby Rogers 6-4 6-3, Sofia Kenin 7-64 6-3, Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 6-3 6-3, Diana Shnaider 6-4 6-2 and Iga Swiatek 6-2 6-4 to reach the semifinal where she will face Karolina Muchova.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Jessica Pegula’s projected draw alongsideherprojected opponents at the U.S. Open. The American has a losing record (3-5) against the projected opponents.

R1 – Shelby Rogers (356) – 6-4 6-3
R2 – Sofia Kenin (54) – 7-64 6-3
R3 – Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (74) – 6-3 6-3
R4 – Diana Shnaider (18) – 6-4 6-2
1/4 – Iga Swiatek (1) – 6-2 6-4
1/2 – Karolina Muchova (52) – H2H 1-0
Fin – Aryna Sabalenka (2) – H2H 2-5
or Emma Navarro (12) – H2H 1-0
Pegula
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Draw

See Updated Draw

1/2 – Karolina Muchova’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 1-0 for Jessica Pegula

21 - 7win/loss in 2024

Rank
22
High
8
LWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 21-7 15-4 4-2 0-0 2-1 0-0
2023 38-13 28-9 10-3 0-0 0-1 0-0
2022 11-12 3-2 3-3 5-5 0-2 0-0
2021 19-9 10-4 5-3 0-0 4-2 0-0
2020 7-8 6-6 0-1 1-1 0-0 0-0
2019 38-14 25-9 6-2 3-1 4-2 0-0
2018 29-11 5-2 7-4 10-1 3-3 4-1
2017 24-16 3-2 13-10 2-2 6-2 0-0

Karolina Muchova has a 12-4 win-loss record in 2024, 6-1 on hard. During the last 9 years, Karolina has a 103-42 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Czech will try to keep a positive momentum since she is on a 5 matches winning streak.

Muchova’s most significant result of the current season was getting to the final Palermo.

Last year at the U.S. Open Karolina capitulated to Cori Gauff in the semifinal 6-4 7-5.

H2H Jessica Pegula vs. Karolina Muchova

This would be the 2nd time that Jessica Pegula and Karolina Muchova play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Pegula (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Final – Aryna Sabalenka’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 5-2 for Aryna Sabalenka

56 - 14win/loss in 2024

Rank
1
High
1
LLWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 14-7 6-3 9-0 0-0 0-0
2019 39-22 28-12 5-5 4-1 2-4 0-0
2018 51-25 34-13 7-6 3-2 7-4 0-0
2017 36-25 20-11 2-4 6-6 7-3 1-1

Aryna Sabalenka has a 44-11 win-loss record in 2024, 28-6 on hard. During the last 9 years, Sabalenka has a 217-91 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Sabalenka will try to keep a positive momentum since she is on a 10 matches winning streak.

Her best achievement of the season was winning the competition at the Australian Open where she overcame Qinwen Zheng in the final 6-3 6-2, and in Cincinnati where she beat Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 7-5.

Last year at the U.S. Open Sabalenka was defeated by Cori Gauff in the final 2-6 6-3 6-2.

H2H Jessica Pegula vs. Aryna Sabalenka

This would be the 8th time that Jessica Pegula and Aryna Sabalenka play each other. The head to head is 5-2 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), but they are 2-2 on hard in major tournaments.

Nevertheless, Jessica Pegula may play Emma Navarro. Their head to head record is 1-0 for Jessica Pegula.