Taylor Fritz and Frances Tiafoe will fight against each other in the semifinal of the U.S. Open for the 8th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 2:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Taylor Fritz who should win in 4 sets.

As per the initial odds, Taylor Fritz is the pick to win this match.
Taylor Fritz -> 1.44
Frances Tiafoe -> 2.875

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Prediction and head to head Taylor Fritz vs. Frances Tiafoe

This will be the 8th time that Taylor Fritz and Frances Tiafoe square off. The head to head is 6-1 for Fritz (see full H2H stats), 5-1 on hard.

The last time that they played, Fritz won 6-3 6-4 in the quarter in Acapulco back in 2023.

Highlights Taylor Fritz vs Frances Tiafoe – Acapulco 02-March-2023

Taylor Fritz

Taylor Fritz

43 - 16win/loss

Hard
17-7
I Hard
1-0
Clay
15-7
Grass
10-2
Rank
5
High
5
WLLWWWWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 50-21 22-10 15-7 3-2 10-2 0-0
2023 54-24 35-11 11-6 5-3 3-4 0-0
2022 46-21 24-8 5-3 9-7 8-3 0-0
2021 34-22 20-13 4-5 8-3 2-1 0-0
2020 15-16 11-9 2-3 2-4 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 12, Fritz got to the semifinal after defeating Camilo Ugo Carabelli 7-5 6-1 6-2, Matteo Berrettini 6-3 7-6(1) 6-1, Francisco Comesana 6-3 6-4 6-2, Casper Ruud 3-6 6-4 6-3 6-2 and Alexander Zverev 7-6(2) 3-6 6-4 7-6(3).

In the quarter, The American defeated Zverev (7-62 3-6 6-4 7-63). During the match, Fritz scored 139 points vs Zverev’s 134. Fritz was extremely aggressive to blast 66 winners.

Regarding the service games, Fritz fired 12 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Taylor Fritz was quite efficient on serve to win 81% (66/81) of his 1st serve and 53% (25/47) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Fritz broke Zverev twice after converting 15% of his break points (2/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American has lost 2 set in this tournament to conquer 56% of the points he played.

Fritz has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (378-223). 17-7 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Fritz has an overall 222-113 match record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the season was winning the title in Delray Beach where he beat Tommy Paul in the final 6-2 6-3 and in Eastbourne where he beat Max Purcell in the final 6-4 6-3.

The American has a composed 43-16 win-loss record in 2024, 17-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open
Fritz's Record

Frances Tiafoe

Frances Tiafoe

29 - 20win/loss

Hard
20-10
I Hard
1-1
Clay
5-6
Grass
3-3
Rank
18
High
10
LLWLWLWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 33-27 21-13 5-6 4-5 3-3 0-0
2023 40-21 21-10 8-4 4-5 7-2 0-0
2022 35-25 19-11 8-6 5-5 3-3 0-0
2021 42-27 19-13 4-7 10-4 9-3 0-0
2020 19-15 7-9 6-3 6-3 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 20, the American reached the semifinal after beating Aleksandar Kovacevic 6-4 6-3 4-6 7-5, Alexander Shevchenko 6-4 6-1 1-0 ret., Ben Shelton 4-6 7-5 6-7(5) 6-4 6-3, Alexei Popyrin 6-4 7-6(3) 2-6 6-3 and Grigor Dimitrov 6-3 6-7(5) 6-3 4-1 ret..

In the quarter against Dimitrov, the American had a free pass after Dimitrov retired on a 6-3 6-75 6-3 4-1 . scoreline.

Francis’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Houston and Cincinnati.

The American has an aggregate 29-20 win-loss record in 2024, 20-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2022. See his history.

U.S. Open
Tiafoe's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

T.Fritz
F.Tiafoe
12h:09
12h:09
Time on court​
15h:01
15h:01
!
3h:26
3h:26
Last match​
!
3h:04
3h:04
5
5
Match played
5
5
164
164
Games Played​
189
189
17
17
Set played​​
22
22
543
543
Total points​
638
638
108.6
108.6
Avg point​
127.6
127.6
227
227
Winners
243
243
45.4
45.4
Avg Winners​
48.6
48.6
42%
42%
Ratio winners
38%
38%
-- Serve --
59
59
Aces
45
45
!
11.8
11.8
Avg Aces
9
9
19
19
Double Faults
17
17
3.8
3.8
Avg Double Faults
3.4
3.4
227/273
227/273
1st won total​
243/322
243/322
!
83%
83%
1st won %
!
75%
75%
113/186
113/186
2nd won total​
152/256
152/256
!
61%
61%
2nd won %
59%
59%
-- Break Points --
20/48
20/48
BP won
23/65
23/65
4/9.6
4/9.6
Avg BP won
4.6/13
4.6/13
42%
42%
Won
35%
35%
17
17
Conceded
33
33
3.4
3.4
Avg Conceded
6.6
6.6
5
5
Broken
10
10
1
1
Avg Broken
2
2
12
12
Saved
23
23

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Fritz Tiafoe
Match played 5 5
Tot Set 17 22
Tot Games 164 189
Pts 543-431 638-553
Total Points 974 1191
Winners 227 243
%Winners 42% 38%

Both Fritz and Tiafoe played 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Taylor Fritz lost 2 sets, while Frances Tiafoe conceded 5 sets. Fritz has played 5 set(s) less than Tiafoe (17 vs 22). Therefore, Fritz played 25 games less than Tiafoe. Fritz scored 227 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The American fired 243 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve Fritz Tiafoe
Aces 59 45
Avg per match 11.8 9
1st in 273/459 322/578
%1st in 59% 56%
1st pts 227/273 243/322
%1st pts 83% 75%
2nd pts 113/186 152/256
%2nd pts 61% 59%

Fritz bagged 59 aces (11.8 per match). Tiafoe blasted 45 aces (9 per match). Fritz won 83% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Tiafoe won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Fritz Tiafoe
Won 20 23
Converted 20/48 23/65
% Converted 42% 35%
Conceded 17 33
Saved 12 23
% Saved 71% 70%
Times Broken 5 10

The American broke his opponents 20 times with a 42% conversion rate. The American surrendered his serve 5 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponents 23 times with a 35% conversion rate. Tiafoe conceded his serve 10 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.

Fritz
R1
Ugo
R2
Berrettini
R3
Comesana
R4
Ruud
1/4
Zverev
Total
Score 7-5 6-1 6-2 6-3 7-61 6-1 6-3 6-4 6-2 3-6 6-4 6-3 6-2 7-62 3-6 6-4 7-63
Tot Set 3 3 3 4 4 17
Tot Games 27 29 27 36 45 164
pts 93-62 101-61 96-71 114-103 139-134 543-431
Total points 155 162 167 217 273 974
Winners 33 36 39 53 66 227
%Winners 35% 36% 41% 46% 47% 42%
SERVE
Aces 10 7 6 24 12 59
Double Faults 2 1 4 7 5 19
1st in 41/76 40/71 48/80 63/104 81/128 273/459
% 1st in 54% 56% 60% 61% 63% 59%
1st pts 33/41 36/40 39/48 53/63 66/81 227/273
% 1st pts 80% 90% 81% 84% 81% 83%
2nd pts 20/35 27/31 19/32 22/41 25/47 113/186
% 2nd pts 57% 87% 59% 54% 53% 61%
Breaks
Won 7 3 4 4 2 20
Converted 7/11 3/6 4/8 4/10 2/13 20/48
Converted % 64% 50% 50% 40% 15% 42%
Conceded 4 0 3 6 4 17
Saved 2/4 0/0 3/3 5/6 2/4 12
Saved % 50% 100% 83% 50% 57%
Times Broken 2 0 0 1 2 5
Tiafoe
R1
Kovacevic
R2
Shevchenko
R3
Shelton
R4
Popyrin
1/4
Dimitrov
Total
Score 6-4 6-3 4-6 7-5 6-4 6-1 1-0 ret. 4-6 7-5 6-75 6-4 6-3 6-4 7-63 2-6 6-3 6-3 6-75 6-3 4-1 ret.
Tot Set 4 3 5 4 4 20
Tot Games 41 18 54 40 36 189
pts 144-122 71-49 173-158 120-117 130-107 638-553
Total points 266 120 331 237 237 1191
Winners 61 27 69 47 39 243
%Winners 42% 38% 40% 39% 30% 38%
SERVE
Aces 18 5 5 14 3 45
Double Faults 5 1 5 1 5 17
1st in 76/131 41/64 91/159 61/117 53/107 322/578
% 1st in 58% 64% 57% 52% 50% 56%
1st pts 61/76 27/41 69/91 47/61 39/53 243/322
% 1st pts 80% 66% 76% 77% 74% 75%
2nd pts 29/55 14/23 41/68 32/56 36/54 152/256
% 2nd pts 53% 61% 60% 57% 67% 59%
Breaks
Won 4 5 5 3 6 23
Converted 4/14 5/11 5/21 3/5 6/14 23/65
Converted % 29% 45% 24% 60% 43% 35%
Conceded 8 5 7 9 4 33
Saved 6/8 4/5 4/7 6/9 3/4 23
Saved % 75% 80% 57% 67% 75% 71%
Times Broken 2 1 3 3 1 10

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

  • Jack DraperDraperAlex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-3 7-5 6-2) – See score progression
  • Jannik SinnerSinnerDaniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-2 1-6 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
  • Marcelo Arevalo/Mate PavicArevalo/Mate PavicNeal Skupski/Michael VenusSkupski/Michael Venus (7-61 6-1) – See score progression
  • Frances TiafoeTiafoeGrigor DimitrovDimitrov (6-3 6-75 6-3 4-1 ret.) – See score progression
  • Kevin Krawietz/Tim PuetzKrawietz/Tim PuetzMaximo Gonzalez/Andres MolteniGonzalez/Andres Molteni (6-711 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
  • Taylor FritzFritzAlexander ZverevZverev (7-62 3-6 6-4 7-63) – See score progression
  • Nathaniel Lammons/Jack WithrowLammons/Jack WithrowWesley Koolhof/Nikola MekticKoolhof/Nikola Mektic (6-1 6-75 6-4) – See score progression
  • Max Purcell/Jordan ThompsonPurcell/Jordan ThompsonMarcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos (7-64 6-4) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw