Jannik Sinner and Jack Draper will play each other in the semifinal of the U.S. Open for the 2^nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 2:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.198
Jack Draper -> 4.8

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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Jack Draper

This will be the 2^nd time that Jannik Sinner and Jack Draper clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Draper (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Draper won 7-6(6) 7-6(2) in the 1^st round in London back in 2021.

Highlights Jack Draper vs Jannik Sinner – London 14-June-2021

Jannik Sinner

Currently world no. 1 the Italian got to the semifinal after defeating Mackenzie Mcdonald 2-6 6-2 6-1 6-2, Alex Michelsen 6-4 6-0 6-2, Christopher O Connell 6-1 6-4 6-2, Tommy Paul 7-6(3) 7-6(5) 6-1 and Daniil Medvedev 6-2 1-6 6-1 6-4.

In the quarter, Sinner defeated Medvedev (6-2 1-6 6-1 6-4). During the match, Sinner scored 115 points vs Medvedev’s 91. The Italian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 39 winners.

Regarding the service games, Sinner managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Jannik Sinner was quite efficient on serve to win 76% (39/51) of his 1st serve and 61% (28/46) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Jannik broke Medvedev 5 times after converting 33% of his break points (5/15).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian has conceded 2 set in this tournament to win 58% of the points he played.

Sinner has a fantastic record in the last 7 years having won 73% of his matches (326-118). 28-2 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Sinner has a compiled126-43 record in the last 7 years on hard.

His best result of the season was winning the title at the Australian Open where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 3-6 3-6 6-4 6-4 6-3 and in Rotterdam where he defeated Alex De Minaur in the final 7-5 6-4 and in Miami where he defeated Grigor Dimitrov in the final 6-3 6-1 and in Halle where he overcame Hubert Hurkacz in the final 7-6(8) 7-6(2) and in Cincinnati where he overcame Frances Tiafoe in the final 7-6(4) 6-2.

Jannik has a composed 53-5 win-loss record in 2024, 28-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Jack Draper

Ranked no. 25 (career-high), Draper reached the semifinal after defeating Zhizhen Zhang 6-3 6-0 4-0 ret., Facundo Diaz Acosta 6-4 6-2 6-2, Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-3 6-4 6-2, Tomas Machac 6-3 6-1 6-2 and Alex De Minaur 6-3 7-5 6-2.

In the quarter, Jack had a good straight sets win against De Minaur (6-3 7-5 6-2). During the match Draper scored 105 points vs De Minaur’s 76. Draper was very aggressive to blast 42 winners.

About the serving games, Draper recorded 11 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Jack Draper lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Draper put 56% of his first serves in, winning 84% (42/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (19/39) on the 2nd serve. Jack broke De Minaur 6 times after converting 30% of his break points (6/20).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Draper hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Stuttgart where he overcame Matteo Berrettini in the final 3-6 7-6(5) 6-4.

The Brit has an overall 30-17 win-loss record in 2024, 17-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 4^th round in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Sinner	Draper
Match played	5	5
Tot Set	17	16
Tot Games	145	125
Pts	517-377	459-318
Total Points	894	777
Winners	184	175
%Winners	36%	38%

Both Sinner and Draper played 5 matches. At the moment, Jannik Sinner lost 2 sets while Jack Draper hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Sinner has played 1 set more than Draper (17 vs 16). Therefore, Sinner played 20 games more than Draper. Jannik scored 184 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The Brit struck 175 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Sinner	Draper
Aces	43	46
Avg per match	8.6	9.2
1st in	233/423	216/401
%1st in	55%	54%
1st pts	184/233	175/216
%1st pts	79%	81%
2nd pts	108/190	103/185
%2nd pts	57%	56%

Sinner struck 43 aces (8.6 per match). Draper scored 46 aces (9.2 per match). Sinner won 79% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Draper won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Sinner	Draper
Won	30	29
Converted	30/70	29/57
% Converted	43%	51%
Conceded	28	28
Saved	18	25
% Saved	64%	89%
Times Broken	10	3

Sinner broke his opponents 30 times with a 43% conversion rate. Jannik lost his serve 10 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded. Draper broke his opponents 29 times with a 51% conversion rate. Jack conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 89% of the break points that he conceded.

Sinner
	R1 Mcdonald	R2 Michelsen	R3 O	R4 Paul	1/4 Medvedev	Total
Score	2-6 6-2 6-1 6-2	6-4 6-0 6-2	6-1 6-4 6-2	7-63 7-65 6-1	6-2 1-6 6-1 6-4
Tot Set	4	3	3	3	4	17
Tot Games	31	24	25	33	32	145
pts	109-83	85-53	92-57	116-93	115-91	517-377
Total points	192	138	149	209	206	894
Winners	39	30	37	39	39	184
%Winners	36%	35%	40%	34%	34%	36%
SERVE
Aces	11	3	15	10	4	43
Double Faults	5	2	2	1	1	11
1st in	52/94	37/65	45/69	48/98	51/97	233/423
% 1st in	55%	57%	65%	49%	53%	55%
1st pts	39/52	30/37	37/45	39/48	39/51	184/233
% 1st pts	75%	81%	82%	81%	76%	79%
2nd pts	21/42	15/28	16/24	28/50	28/46	108/190
% 2nd pts	50%	54%	67%	56%	61%	57%
Breaks
Won	8	8	5	4	5	30
Converted	8/15	8/16	5/10	4/14	5/15	30/70
Converted %	53%	50%	50%	29%	33%	43%
Conceded	11	5	0	4	8	28
Saved	7/11	3/5	0/0	2/4	6/8	18
Saved %	64%	60%	–	50%	75%	50%
Times Broken	4	2	0	2	2	10

Draper
	R1 Zhang	R2 Diaz	R3 Van De Zandschulp	R4 Machac	1/4 De Minaur	Total
Score	6-3 6-0 4-0 ret.	6-4 6-2 6-2	6-3 6-4 6-2	6-3 6-1 6-2	6-3 7-5 6-2
Tot Set	3	3	3	3	3	15
Tot Games	19	26	27	24	29	125
pts	70-35	96-67	99-77	89-63	105-76	459-318
Total points	105	163	176	152	181	777
Winners	23	34	47	29	42	175
%Winners	33%	35%	47%	33%	40%	38%
SERVE
Aces	5	6	13	11	11	46
Double Faults	1	5	5	6	4	21
1st in	30/50	38/77	61/106	37/79	50/89	216/401
% 1st in	60%	49%	58%	47%	56%	54%
1st pts	23/30	34/38	47/61	29/37	42/50	175/216
% 1st pts	77%	89%	77%	78%	84%	81%
2nd pts	15/20	23/39	20/45	26/42	19/39	103/185
% 2nd pts	75%	59%	44%	62%	49%	56%
Breaks
Won	7	5	5	6	6	29
Converted	7/10	5/10	5/8	6/9	6/20	29/57
Converted %	70%	50%	63%	67%	30%	51%
Conceded	1	4	10	6	7	28
Saved	1/1	4/4	9/10	6/6	5/7	25
Saved %	100%	100%	90%	100%	71%	92%
Times Broken	0	0	1	0	2	3

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

• Jack DraperDraper – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-3 7-5 6-2) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-2 1-6 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
• Taylor FritzFritz – Alexander ZverevZverev (7-6² 3-6 6-4 7-6³) – See score progression
• Nathaniel Lammons/Jack WithrowLammons/Jack Withrow – Wesley Koolhof/Nikola MekticKoolhof/Nikola Mektic (6-1 6-7⁵ 6-4) – See score progression
• Max Purcell/Jordan ThompsonPurcell/Jordan Thompson – Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos (7-6⁴ 6-4) – See score progression
• Marcelo Arevalo/Mate PavicArevalo/Mate Pavic – Neal Skupski/Michael VenusSkupski/Michael Venus (7-6¹ 6-1) – See score progression
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (6-3 6-7⁵ 6-3 4-1 ret.) – See score progression
• Kevin Krawietz/Tim PuetzKrawietz/Tim Puetz – Maximo Gonzalez/Andres MolteniGonzalez/Andres Molteni (6-7¹¹ 6-4 6-1) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Jannik SinnerSinner – Jack DraperDraper (0-1) – H2H and prediction
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-1) – H2H and prediction