H2H, prediction of Jannik Sinner vs Jack Draper at the U.S. Open with odds, preview, pick | 6th September 2024

PREVIEW. New York. Sinner and Draper will face off in the semifinal of the U.S. Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Friday the 6th of September

Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Jack Draper

Jannik Sinner and Jack Draper will play each other in the semifinal of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 2:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.198
Jack Draper -> 4.8

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Jack Draper

This will be the 2nd time that Jannik Sinner and Jack Draper clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Draper (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Draper won 7-6(6) 7-6(2) in the 1st round in London back in 2021.

Highlights Jack Draper vs Jannik Sinner – London 14-June-2021

Jannik Sinner

Jannik Sinner
Jannik Sinner

53 - 5win/loss

Hard
28-2
I Hard
5-0
Clay
11-2
Grass
9-1
Rank
1
High
1
WWWWWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 70-6 40-3 11-2 10-0 9-1 0-0
2023 64-15 28-7 8-3 20-2 8-3 0-0
2022 47-16 21-6 15-4 7-4 4-2 0-0
2021 49-22 22-8 10-6 17-6 0-2 0-0
2020 20-14 2-6 7-3 11-5 0-0 0-0

Currently world no. 1 the Italian got to the semifinal after defeating Mackenzie Mcdonald 2-6 6-2 6-1 6-2, Alex Michelsen 6-4 6-0 6-2, Christopher O Connell 6-1 6-4 6-2, Tommy Paul 7-6(3) 7-6(5) 6-1 and Daniil Medvedev 6-2 1-6 6-1 6-4.

In the quarter, Sinner defeated Medvedev (6-2 1-6 6-1 6-4). During the match, Sinner scored 115 points vs Medvedev’s 91. The Italian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 39 winners.

Regarding the service games, Sinner managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Jannik Sinner was quite efficient on serve to win 76% (39/51) of his 1st serve and 61% (28/46) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Jannik broke Medvedev 5 times after converting 33% of his break points (5/15).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian has conceded 2 set in this tournament to win 58% of the points he played.

Sinner has a fantastic record in the last 7 years having won 73% of his matches (326-118). 28-2 on hard in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Sinner has a compiled126-43 record in the last 7 years on hard.

His best result of the season was winning the title at the Australian Open where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 3-6 3-6 6-4 6-4 6-3 and in Rotterdam where he defeated Alex De Minaur in the final 7-5 6-4 and in Miami where he defeated Grigor Dimitrov in the final 6-3 6-1 and in Halle where he overcame Hubert Hurkacz in the final 7-6(8) 7-6(2) and in Cincinnati where he overcame Frances Tiafoe in the final 7-6(4) 6-2.

Jannik has a composed 53-5 win-loss record in 2024, 28-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Sinner
U.S. Open
Sinner's Record

Jack Draper

Jack Draper
Jack Draper

30 - 17win/loss

Hard
17-8
I Hard
0-0
Clay
5-7
Grass
8-2
Rank
15
High
15
LWWWWWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 39-22 19-10 5-7 7-3 8-2 0-0
2023 34-15 15-8 3-3 16-4 0-0 0-0
2022 46-19 12-6 2-2 26-7 6-4 0-0
2021 18-16 6-6 7-5 3-2 2-2 0-1
2020 17-6 2-1 0-0 14-4 0-0 1-1

Ranked no. 25 (career-high), Draper reached the semifinal after defeating Zhizhen Zhang 6-3 6-0 4-0 ret., Facundo Diaz Acosta 6-4 6-2 6-2, Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-3 6-4 6-2, Tomas Machac 6-3 6-1 6-2 and Alex De Minaur 6-3 7-5 6-2.

In the quarter, Jack had a good straight sets win against De Minaur (6-3 7-5 6-2). During the match Draper scored 105 points vs De Minaur’s 76. Draper was very aggressive to blast 42 winners.

About the serving games, Draper recorded 11 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Jack Draper lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Draper put 56% of his first serves in, winning 84% (42/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (19/39) on the 2nd serve. Jack broke De Minaur 6 times after converting 30% of his break points (6/20).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Draper hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Stuttgart where he overcame Matteo Berrettini in the final 3-6 7-6(5) 6-4.

The Brit has an overall 30-17 win-loss record in 2024, 17-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2023. See his history.

Draper
U.S. Open
Draper's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

J.Sinner
J.Draper
11h:17
11h:17
Time on court​
9h:14
9h:14
!
2h:39
2h:39
Last match​
!
2h:07
2h:07
5
5
Match played
5
5
145
145
Games Played​
125
125
17
17
Set played​​
16
16
517
517
Total points​
459
459
103.4
103.4
Avg point​
91.8
91.8
184
184
Winners
175
175
36.8
36.8
Avg Winners​
35
35
36%
36%
Ratio winners
38%
38%
-- Serve --
43
43
Aces
46
46
8.6
8.6
Avg Aces
9.2
9.2
11
11
Double Faults
21
21
2.2
2.2
Avg Double Faults
4.2
4.2
184/233
184/233
1st won total​
175/216
175/216
!
79%
79%
1st won %
!
81%
81%
108/190
108/190
2nd won total​
103/185
103/185
57%
57%
2nd won %
56%
56%
-- Break Points --
30/70
30/70
BP won
29/57
29/57
6/14
6/14
Avg BP won
5.8/11.4
5.8/11.4
43%
43%
Won
!
51%
51%
28
28
Conceded
28
28
5.6
5.6
Avg Conceded
5.6
5.6
10
10
Broken
3
3
2
2
Avg Broken
!
0.6
0.6
18
18
Saved
25
25

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Sinner Draper
Match played 5 5
Tot Set 17 16
Tot Games 145 125
Pts 517-377 459-318
Total Points 894 777
Winners 184 175
%Winners 36% 38%

Both Sinner and Draper played 5 matches. At the moment, Jannik Sinner lost 2 sets while Jack Draper hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Sinner has played 1 set more than Draper (17 vs 16). Therefore, Sinner played 20 games more than Draper. Jannik scored 184 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The Brit struck 175 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve Sinner Draper
Aces 43 46
Avg per match 8.6 9.2
1st in 233/423 216/401
%1st in 55% 54%
1st pts 184/233 175/216
%1st pts 79% 81%
2nd pts 108/190 103/185
%2nd pts 57% 56%

Sinner struck 43 aces (8.6 per match). Draper scored 46 aces (9.2 per match). Sinner won 79% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Draper won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Sinner Draper
Won 30 29
Converted 30/70 29/57
% Converted 43% 51%
Conceded 28 28
Saved 18 25
% Saved 64% 89%
Times Broken 10 3

Sinner broke his opponents 30 times with a 43% conversion rate. Jannik lost his serve 10 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded. Draper broke his opponents 29 times with a 51% conversion rate. Jack conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 89% of the break points that he conceded.

Sinner
R1
Mcdonald
R2
Michelsen
R3
O
R4
Paul
1/4
Medvedev
Total
Score 2-6 6-2 6-1 6-2 6-4 6-0 6-2 6-1 6-4 6-2 7-63 7-65 6-1 6-2 1-6 6-1 6-4
Tot Set 4 3 3 3 4 17
Tot Games 31 24 25 33 32 145
pts 109-83 85-53 92-57 116-93 115-91 517-377
Total points 192 138 149 209 206 894
Winners 39 30 37 39 39 184
%Winners 36% 35% 40% 34% 34% 36%
SERVE
Aces 11 3 15 10 4 43
Double Faults 5 2 2 1 1 11
1st in 52/94 37/65 45/69 48/98 51/97 233/423
% 1st in 55% 57% 65% 49% 53% 55%
1st pts 39/52 30/37 37/45 39/48 39/51 184/233
% 1st pts 75% 81% 82% 81% 76% 79%
2nd pts 21/42 15/28 16/24 28/50 28/46 108/190
% 2nd pts 50% 54% 67% 56% 61% 57%
Breaks
Won 8 8 5 4 5 30
Converted 8/15 8/16 5/10 4/14 5/15 30/70
Converted % 53% 50% 50% 29% 33% 43%
Conceded 11 5 0 4 8 28
Saved 7/11 3/5 0/0 2/4 6/8 18
Saved % 64% 60% 50% 75% 50%
Times Broken 4 2 0 2 2 10
Draper
R1
Zhang
R2
Diaz
R3
Van De Zandschulp
R4
Machac
1/4
De Minaur
Total
Score 6-3 6-0 4-0 ret. 6-4 6-2 6-2 6-3 6-4 6-2 6-3 6-1 6-2 6-3 7-5 6-2
Tot Set 3 3 3 3 3 15
Tot Games 19 26 27 24 29 125
pts 70-35 96-67 99-77 89-63 105-76 459-318
Total points 105 163 176 152 181 777
Winners 23 34 47 29 42 175
%Winners 33% 35% 47% 33% 40% 38%
SERVE
Aces 5 6 13 11 11 46
Double Faults 1 5 5 6 4 21
1st in 30/50 38/77 61/106 37/79 50/89 216/401
% 1st in 60% 49% 58% 47% 56% 54%
1st pts 23/30 34/38 47/61 29/37 42/50 175/216
% 1st pts 77% 89% 77% 78% 84% 81%
2nd pts 15/20 23/39 20/45 26/42 19/39 103/185
% 2nd pts 75% 59% 44% 62% 49% 56%
Breaks
Won 7 5 5 6 6 29
Converted 7/10 5/10 5/8 6/9 6/20 29/57
Converted % 70% 50% 63% 67% 30% 51%
Conceded 1 4 10 6 7 28
Saved 1/1 4/4 9/10 6/6 5/7 25
Saved % 100% 100% 90% 100% 71% 92%
Times Broken 0 0 1 0 2 3

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Sinner
WWWWWWWWWW
Draper
LWWWWWWWLW
2024 2023 2022
70 - 6
39 - 20
40-3
Hard
19-10
10-0
I Hard
7-1
11-2
Clay
5-7
9-1
Grass
8-2

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

  • Jack DraperDraperAlex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-3 7-5 6-2) – See score progression
  • Jannik SinnerSinnerDaniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-2 1-6 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
  • Taylor FritzFritzAlexander ZverevZverev (7-62 3-6 6-4 7-63) – See score progression
  • Nathaniel Lammons/Jack WithrowLammons/Jack WithrowWesley Koolhof/Nikola MekticKoolhof/Nikola Mektic (6-1 6-75 6-4) – See score progression
  • Max Purcell/Jordan ThompsonPurcell/Jordan ThompsonMarcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos (7-64 6-4) – See score progression
  • Marcelo Arevalo/Mate PavicArevalo/Mate PavicNeal Skupski/Michael VenusSkupski/Michael Venus (7-61 6-1) – See score progression
  • Frances TiafoeTiafoeGrigor DimitrovDimitrov (6-3 6-75 6-3 4-1 ret.) – See score progression
  • Kevin Krawietz/Tim PuetzKrawietz/Tim PuetzMaximo Gonzalez/Andres MolteniGonzalez/Andres Molteni (6-711 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw