Jannik Sinner and Daniil Medvedev will face off in the quarter of the U.S. Open for the 13^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 9:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 4 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.4
Daniil Medvedev -> 3.04

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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Daniil Medvedev

This will be the 13^th time that Jannik Sinner and Daniil Medvedev play each other. The head to head is 7-5 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), but Sinner has a winning record of 3-1 on hard.

The last time that they played, Medvedev won 6-7(7) 6-4 7-6(4) 2-6 6-3 in the quarter in at the Wimbledon back in July 2024.

Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinner – Wimbledon 09-July-2024

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Jannik Sinner

Currently world no. 1 Jannik got to the quarter after defeating Mackenzie Mcdonald 2-6 6-2 6-1 6-2, Alex Michelsen 6-4 6-0 6-2, Christopher O Connell 6-1 6-4 6-2 and Tommy Paul 7-6(3) 7-6(5) 6-1.

In the 4^th round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Paul (7-6³ 7-6⁵ 6-1). During the match, Sinner scored 116 points vs Paul’s 93. Jannik was exceptionally aggressive to blast 39 winners.

Regarding the service games, Sinner struck 10 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Jannik Sinner was quite effective on serve to win 81% (39/48) of his 1st serve and 56% (28/50) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Sinner broke Paul 4 times after converting 29% of his break points (4/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Sinner has lost 1 set in this tournament to win 58% of the points he played.

Sinner has a fantastic match record in the last 7 years having won 73% of his matches (325-118). 27-2 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Sinner has a compiled125-43 match record in the last 7 years on hard.

His best result of the current season was winning the title at the Australian Open where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 3-6 3-6 6-4 6-4 6-3 and in Rotterdam where he overcame Alex De Minaur in the final 7-5 6-4 and in Miami where he defeated Grigor Dimitrov in the final 6-3 6-1 and in Halle where he defeated Hubert Hurkacz in the final 7-6(8) 7-6(2) and in Cincinnati where he defeated Frances Tiafoe in the final 7-6(4) 6-2.

Sinner has a composed 52-5 win-loss record in 2024, 27-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Daniil Medvedev

Ranked no. 5, Daniil reached the quarter after defeating Dusan Lajovic 6-3 3-6 6-3 6-1, Fabian Marozsan 6-3 6-2 7-6(5), Flavio Cobolli 6-3 6-4 6-3 and Nuno Borges 6-0 6-1 6-3.

In the 4^th round, Medvedev had a good straight sets win against Borges (6-0 6-1 6-3). During the match Medvedev scored 101 points vs Borges’s 62. Daniil was pretty aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Talking about serving, Medvedev managed to score 9 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Daniil Medvedev was very effective on serve to win 78% (36/46) of his 1st serve and 52% (14/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Medvedev broke Borges 8 times after converting 50% of his break points (8/16).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

The Russian’s best result of the season was reaching the final in at the Australian Open and Indian Wells.

The Russian has a composed 39-13 win-loss record in 2024, 22-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, he won this tournament once in 2021. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Sinner	Medvedev
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	13	13
Tot Games	113	114
Pts	402-286	433-337
Total Points	688	770
Winners	145	157
%Winners	36%	36%

Both Sinner and Medvedev played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jannik Sinner surrendered 1 set, while Daniil Medvedev surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Sinner and Medvedev have played the same amount of sets 13. However, Sinner played 1 game less than Medvedev. Sinner scored 145 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian recorded 157 winners (36%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Sinner	Medvedev
Aces	39	40
Avg per match	9.8	10
1st in	182/326	208/378
%1st in	56%	55%
1st pts	145/182	157/208
%1st pts	80%	75%
2nd pts	80/144	84/170
%2nd pts	56%	49%

Sinner managed to score 39 aces (9.8 per match). Medvedev fired 40 aces (10 per match). Sinner won 80% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Medvedev won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Sinner	Medvedev
Won	25	29
Converted	25/55	29/61
% Converted	45%	48%
Conceded	20	28
Saved	12	18
% Saved	60%	64%
Times Broken	8	10

Jannik broke his opponents 25 times with a 45% conversion rate. Jannik surrendered his serve 8 times and he saved 60% of the break points that he conceded. Daniil broke his opponents 29 times with a 48% conversion rate. Medvedev conceded his serve 10 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded.

Sinner
	R1 Mcdonald	R2 Michelsen	R3 O	R4 Paul	Total
Score	2-6 6-2 6-1 6-2	6-4 6-0 6-2	6-1 6-4 6-2	7-63 7-65 6-1
Tot Set	4	3	3	3	13
Tot Games	31	24	25	33	113
pts	109-83	85-53	92-57	116-93	402-286
Total points	192	138	149	209	688
Winners	39	30	37	39	145
%Winners	36%	35%	40%	34%	36%
SERVE
Aces	11	3	15	10	39
Double Faults	5	2	2	1	10
1st in	52/94	37/65	45/69	48/98	182/326
% 1st in	55%	57%	65%	49%	56%
1st pts	39/52	30/37	37/45	39/48	145/182
% 1st pts	75%	81%	82%	81%	80%
2nd pts	21/42	15/28	16/24	28/50	80/144
% 2nd pts	50%	54%	67%	56%	56%
Breaks
Won	8	8	5	4	25
Converted	8/15	8/16	5/10	4/14	25/55
Converted %	53%	50%	50%	29%	45%
Conceded	11	5	0	4	20
Saved	7/11	3/5	0/0	2/4	12
Saved %	64%	60%	–	50%	44%
Times Broken	4	2	0	2	8

Medvedev
	R1 Lajovic	R2 Marozsan	R3 Cobolli	R4 Borges	Total
Score	6-3 3-6 6-3 6-1	6-3 6-2 7-65	6-3 6-4 6-3	6-0 6-1 6-3
Tot Set	4	3	3	3	13
Tot Games	34	30	28	22	114
pts	123-109	105-89	104-77	101-62	433-337
Total points	232	194	181	163	770
Winners	53	30	38	36	157
%Winners	43%	29%	37%	36%	36%
SERVE
Aces	14	8	9	9	40
Double Faults	11	10	7	5	33
1st in	70/125	45/95	47/85	46/73	208/378
% 1st in	56%	47%	55%	63%	55%
1st pts	53/70	30/45	38/47	36/46	157/208
% 1st pts	76%	67%	81%	78%	75%
2nd pts	26/55	27/50	17/38	14/27	84/170
% 2nd pts	47%	54%	45%	52%	49%
Breaks
Won	6	8	7	8	29
Converted	6/11	8/14	7/20	8/16	29/61
Converted %	55%	57%	35%	50%	48%
Conceded	8	6	9	5	28
Saved	6/8	2/6	6/9	4/5	18
Saved %	75%	33%	67%	80%	64%
Times Broken	2	4	3	1	10

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

• Neal Skupski/Michael VenusSkupski/Michael Venus – Tristan Boyer/Emilio NavaBoyer/Emilio Nava (3-6 7-6³ 6-4) – See score progression
• Nathaniel Lammons/Jack WithrowLammons/Jack Withrow – Rajeev Ram/Joe SalisburyRam/Joe Salisbury (7-6³ 6-3) – See score progression
• Marcelo Arevalo/Mate PavicArevalo/Mate Pavic – Ivan Dodig/Adam PavlasekDodig/Adam Pavlasek (7-5 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos – Yuki Bhambri/Albano OlivettiBhambri/Albano Olivetti (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Max Purcell/Jordan ThompsonPurcell/Jordan Thompson – Nuno Borges/Francisco CabralBorges/Francisco Cabral (7-6³ 6-3) – See score progression
• Kevin Krawietz/Tim PuetzKrawietz/Tim Puetz – Simone Bolelli/Andrea VavassoriBolelli/Andrea Vavassori (6-4 3-6 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Maximo Gonzalez/Andres MolteniGonzalez/Andres Molteni – Rohan Bopanna/Matthew EbdenBopanna/Matthew Ebden (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Daniel EvansEvans (6-3 6-7⁴ 6-0 6-0) – See score progression
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-3 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Jordan ThompsonThompson – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (7-5 6-2 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Jack DraperDraper – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-3 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Tommy PaulPaul – Gabriel DialloDiallo (6-7⁵ 6-3 6-1 7-6³) – See score progression
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Jakub MensikMensik (6-7⁵ 6-1 3-6 7-6⁶ 6-0) – See score progression
• Tomas MachacMachac – David GoffinGoffin (6-3 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (6-1 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (6-3 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Casper RuudRuud – Juncheng ShangShang (6-7¹ 3-6 6-0 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Ben SheltonShelton (4-6 7-5 6-7⁵ 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Taylor FritzFritz – Francisco ComesanaComesana (6-3 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (5-7 7-5 6-1 6-3) – See score progression
• Andrey RublevRublev – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (6-3 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-2 3-6 6-3 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (6-4 6-4 2-6 6-4) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (3-1) – H2H and prediction
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Alexander ZverevZverev (4-5) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (5-7) – H2H and prediction
• Jack DraperDraper – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-3) – H2H and prediction