Beatriz Haddad Maia and Karolina Muchova will face off in the quarter of the U.S. Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 12:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Karolina Muchova who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Karolina Muchova is the pick to win this match.
Karolina Muchova -> 1.46
Beatriz Haddad Maia -> 2.8
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Prediction and head to head Beatriz Haddad Maia vs. Karolina Muchova
This will be the 4th time that Beatriz Haddad Maia and Karolina Muchova fight against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Muchova (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Muchova won 6-7(3) 6-1 6-4 in the 1st round in Cincinnati back in 2023.
Beatriz Haddad Maia
28 - 22win/loss
17
10
LLWLWWLWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 36-27 | 25-17 | 8-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-22 | 16-14 | 13-5 | 4-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-23 | 23-14 | 14-5 | 2-2 | 12-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 76-25 | 37-13 | 35-10 | 2-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 27-2 | 27-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 21, the Brazilian got to the quarter after defeating Elina Avanesyan 4-6 6-0 6-2, Sara Sorribes Tormo 6-2 6-1, Anna Kalinskaya 6-3 6-1 and Caroline Wozniacki 6-2 3-6 6-3.
In the 4th round, Haddad Maia defeated Wozniacki (6-2 3-6 6-3). During the match, Haddad Maia scored 101 points vs Wozniacki’s 88. The Brazilian was quite aggressive to blast 49 winners.
Regarding the service games, Haddad Maia made 5 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Beatriz Haddad Maia lost the serve 3 times and she saved 13 break points. Furthermore, Haddad Maia put 67% of her first serves in, winning 70% (49/70) of the points behind her 1st serve and 38% (13/34) on the 2nd serve. Haddad Maia broke Wozniacki 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Beatriz has conceded 2 set in this event to conquer 58% of the points she played.
Haddad Maia has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 65% of her matches (363-193). 17-12 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Haddad Maia has a composed 180-93 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
The Brazilian’s best result of the year was reaching the final in Cleveland.
The Brazilian has a composed 28-22 win-loss record in 2024, 17-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Karolina Muchova
11 - 4win/loss
22
8
LWWWLWWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21-7 | 15-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-13 | 28-9 | 10-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 11-12 | 3-2 | 3-3 | 5-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-9 | 10-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-8 | 6-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 52, the Czech reached the quarter after beating Katie Volynets 6-3 7-5, Naomi Osaka 6-3 7-6(5), Anastasia Potapova 6-4 6-2 and Jasmine Paolini 6-3 6-3.
In the 4th round, Karolina had a good straight sets win against Paolini (6-3 6-3). During the match Muchova scored 58 points vs Paolini’s 39. Muchova was quite aggressive to blast 23 winners.
About the serving games, Muchova scored 3 aces and she was extremely steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Karolina Muchova was quite effective on serve to win 82% (23/28) of her 1st serve and 69% (11/16) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Muchova broke Paolini 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Muchova hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points she played.
The Czech’s best result of the year was reaching the final in Palermo.
Muchova has a compiled 11-4 win-loss record in 2024, 5-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Haddad Maia | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 81 | 79 |
| Pts | 293-214 | 268-202 |
| Total Points | 507 | 470 |
| Winners | 128 | 104 |
| %Winners | 44% | 39% |
Both Haddad Maia and Muchova played 4 matches. At the moment, Beatriz Haddad Maia conceded 2 sets while Karolina Muchova hasn’t conceded a set so far. Haddad Maia has played 2 sets more than Muchova (10 vs 8). Therefore, Haddad Maia played 2 games more than Muchova. The Brazilian scored 128 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Czech struck 104 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Haddad Maia | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 20 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 5 |
| 1st in | 176/267 | 136/216 |
| %1st in | 66% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 128/176 | 104/136 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 43/91 | 50/80 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 63% |
Haddad Maia recorded 12 aces (3 per match). Muchova recorded 20 aces (5 per match). Haddad Maia won 73% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Muchova won 76% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 63% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Haddad Maia | Muchova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 21 | 15 |
| Converted | 21/35 | 15/28 |
| % Converted | 60% | 54% |
| Conceded | 28 | 14 |
| Saved | 22 | 9 |
| % Saved | 79% | 64% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 5 |
Beatriz broke her opponents 21 times with a 60% conversion rate. Beatriz conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 79% of the break points that she conceded. Muchova broke her opponents 15 times with a 54% conversion rate. Muchova conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded.
| Haddad Maia | ||||||
| R1 Avanesyan |
R2 Sorribes Tormo |
R3 Kalinskaya |
R4 Wozniacki |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-0 6-2 | 6-2 6-1 | 6-3 6-1 | 6-2 3-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 15 | 16 | 26 | 81 | |
| pts | 79-55 | 55-28 | 58-43 | 101-88 | 293-214 | |
| Total points | 134 | 83 | 101 | 189 | 507 | |
| Winners | 33 | 22 | 24 | 49 | 128 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 40% | 41% | 49% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 16 | |
| 1st in | 42/70 | 28/37 | 36/56 | 70/104 | 176/267 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 76% | 64% | 67% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 33/42 | 22/28 | 24/36 | 49/70 | 128/176 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 79% | 67% | 70% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/28 | 6/9 | 10/20 | 13/34 | 43/91 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 67% | 50% | 38% | 47% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 21 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 5/11 | 5/6 | 5/8 | 21/35 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 45% | 83% | 63% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 0 | 8 | 16 | 28 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 0/0 | 7/8 | 13/16 | 22 | |
| Saved % | 50% | – | 88% | 81% | 55% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | |
| Muchova | ||||||
| R1 Volynets |
R2 Osaka |
R3 Potapova |
R4 Paolini |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-5 | 6-3 7-65 | 6-4 6-2 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 22 | 18 | 18 | 79 | |
| pts | 73-59 | 73-62 | 64-42 | 58-39 | 268-202 | |
| Total points | 132 | 135 | 106 | 97 | 470 | |
| Winners | 24 | 36 | 21 | 23 | 104 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 49% | 33% | 40% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 35/65 | 47/59 | 26/48 | 28/44 | 136/216 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 80% | 54% | 64% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 24/35 | 36/47 | 21/26 | 23/28 | 104/136 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 77% | 81% | 82% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/30 | 7/12 | 16/22 | 11/16 | 50/80 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 58% | 73% | 69% | 63% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 3/7 | 3/7 | 4/7 | 15/28 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 43% | 43% | 57% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 2/3 | 2/2 | 2/3 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 67% | 100% | 67% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLWWLWWW
LWWWLWWWWW Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Kristina Mladenovic/Shuai ZhangMladenovic/Shuai Zhang – Nicole Melichar/Ellen PerezMelichar/Ellen Perez (7-62 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Juan Ignacio GalarzaIgnacio Galarza – Alexandar LazarovLazarov (7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Johan NiklesNikles – Manuel Pena LopezPena Lopez (3-6 6-1 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Nikolas Sanchez-IzquierdoSanchez-Izquierdo – Nino PortalesPortales (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Jessica PegulaPegula (6-3) – H2H and prediction
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Emma NavarroNavarro (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-2) – H2H and prediction
