Iga Swiatek and Jessica Pegula will clash against each other in the quarter of the U.S. Open for the 10^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 7:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.26
Jessica Pegula -> 4.05

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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Jessica Pegula

This will be the 10^th time that Iga Swiatek and Jessica Pegula play each other. The head to head is 6-3 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 5-3 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Swiatek won 6-1 6-0 in the final in Cancun back in 2023.

Highlights Iga Swiatek vs Jessica Pegula – Cancun 06-November-2023

Iga Swiatek

Currently world no. 1 the Pole got to the quarter after beating Kamilla Rakhimova 6-4 7-6(6), Ena Shibahara 6-0 6-1, Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 6-4 6-2 and Liudmila Samsonova 6-4 6-1.

In the 4^th round, Swiatek had a good straight sets win against Samsonova (6-4 6-1). During the match, Swiatek scored 63 points vs Samsonova’s 45. Swiatek was exceptionally aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Regarding the service games, Swiatek scored 3 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Iga Swiatek conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 62% of her first serves in, win 88% (29/33) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (9/20) on the 2nd serve. Swiatek broke Samsonova 3 times after converting 38% of her break points (3/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Iga hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to conquer 58% of the points she played.

Swiatek has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 82% of her matches (344-74). 29-4 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Swiatek has an overall162-41 record in the last 9 years on hard.

Her best result of the year was conquering the title in Australia where she beat Angelique Kerber in the final 6-3 6-0 and in Doha where she beat Elena Rybakina in the final 7-6(8) 6-2 and in Indian Wells where she defeated Maria Sakkari in the final 6-4 6-0 and in Madrid where she overcame Aryna Sabalenka in the final 7-5 4-6 7-6(7) and in Rome where she overcame Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-2 6-3 and at the French Open where she beat Jasmine Paolini in the final 6-2 6-1.

Swiatek has an aggregate 59-7 win-loss record in 2024, 29-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Jessica Pegula

Ranked no. 6, the American reached the quarter after defeating Shelby Rogers 6-4 6-3, Sofia Kenin 7-6(4) 6-3, Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 6-3 6-3 and Diana Shnaider 6-4 6-2.

In the 4^th round, Jessica had a good straight sets win against Shnaider (6-4 6-2). During the match Pegula scored 74 points vs Shnaider’s 62. Pegula was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.

About the serving games, Pegula made 6 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Jessica Pegula lost the serve twice and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Pegula put 53% of her first serves in, winning 80% (28/35) of the points behind her 1st serve and 39% (12/31) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Shnaider 5 times after converting 50% of her break points (5/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Pegula hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.

Her best result of the season was winning the title in Berlin where she beat Anna Kalinskaya in the final 6-7(0) 6-4 7-6(3) and in Toronto where she defeated Amanda Anisimova in the final 6-3 2-6 6-1.

The American has an overall 34-11 win-loss record in 2024, 24-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2022. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Swiatek	Pegula
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	8	8
Tot Games	71	77
Pts	263-187	283-225
Total Points	450	508
Winners	100	116
%Winners	38%	41%

Both Swiatek and Pegula played 4 matches. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Swiatek and Pegula have played the same amount of sets 8. However, Swiatek played 6 games less than Pegula. Swiatek scored 100 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Pegula recorded 116 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Swiatek	Pegula
Aces	12	18
Avg per match	3	4.5
1st in	126/202	153/259
%1st in	62%	59%
1st pts	100/126	116/153
%1st pts	79%	76%
2nd pts	49/76	50/106
%2nd pts	64%	47%

Swiatek blasted 12 aces (3 per match). Pegula bagged 18 aces (4.5 per match). Swiatek won 79% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Pegula won 76% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 47% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Swiatek	Pegula
Won	14	16
Converted	14/28	16/32
% Converted	50%	50%
Conceded	4	26
Saved	2	19
% Saved	50%	73%
Times Broken	2	7

The Pole broke her opponents 14 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Pole conceded her serve twice and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Pegula broke her opponents 16 times with a 50% conversion rate. Pegula conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 73% of the break points that she conceded.

Swiatek
	R1 Rakhimova	R2 Shibahara	R3 Pavlyuchenkova	R4 Samsonova	Total
Score	6-4 7-66	6-0 6-1	6-4 6-2	6-4 6-1
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	8
Tot Games	23	13	18	17	71
pts	76-68	60-29	64-45	63-45	263-187
Total points	144	89	109	108	450
Winners	27	20	24	29	100
%Winners	36%	33%	38%	46%	38%
SERVE
Aces	5	4	0	3	12
Double Faults	1	0	2	1	4
1st in	38/67	24/34	31/48	33/53	126/202
% 1st in	57%	71%	65%	62%	62%
1st pts	27/38	20/24	24/31	29/33	100/126
% 1st pts	71%	83%	77%	88%	79%
2nd pts	20/29	8/10	12/17	9/20	49/76
% 2nd pts	69%	80%	71%	45%	64%
Breaks
Won	3	5	3	3	14
Converted	3/6	5/9	3/5	3/8	14/28
Converted %	50%	56%	60%	38%	50%
Conceded	4	0	0	0	4
Saved	2/4	0/0	0/0	0/0	2
Saved %	50%	–	–	–	13%
Times Broken	2	0	0	0	2

Pegula
	R1 Rogers	R2 Kenin	R3 Bouzas	R4 Shnaider	Total
Score	6-4 6-3	7-64 6-3	6-3 6-3	6-4 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	2	2	8
Tot Games	19	22	18	18	77
pts	67-57	75-64	67-42	74-62	283-225
Total points	124	139	109	136	508
Winners	33	30	25	28	116
%Winners	49%	40%	37%	38%	41%
SERVE
Aces	3	6	3	6	18
Double Faults	3	2	3	2	10
1st in	44/74	46/70	28/49	35/66	153/259
% 1st in	59%	66%	57%	53%	59%
1st pts	33/44	30/46	25/28	28/35	116/153
% 1st pts	75%	65%	89%	80%	76%
2nd pts	13/30	13/24	12/21	12/31	50/106
% 2nd pts	43%	54%	57%	39%	47%
Breaks
Won	3	4	4	5	16
Converted	3/6	4/7	4/9	5/10	16/32
Converted %	50%	57%	44%	50%	50%
Conceded	6	7	4	9	26
Saved	5/6	4/7	3/4	7/9	19
Saved %	83%	57%	75%	78%	73%
Times Broken	1	3	1	2	7

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

• Kristina Mladenovic/Shuai ZhangMladenovic/Shuai Zhang – Nicole Melichar/Ellen PerezMelichar/Ellen Perez (7-6² 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Johan NiklesNikles – Manuel Pena LopezPena Lopez (3-6 6-1 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Nikolas Sanchez-IzquierdoSanchez-Izquierdo – Nino PortalesPortales (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
• Juan Ignacio GalarzaIgnacio Galarza – Alexandar LazarovLazarov (7-5 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Jessica PegulaPegula (6-3) – H2H and prediction
• Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Karolina MuchovaMuchova (0-3) – H2H and prediction
• Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Emma NavarroNavarro (1-0) – H2H and prediction
• Qinwen ZhengZheng – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-2) – H2H and prediction