Alex De Minaur and Jack Draper will play each other in the quarter of the U.S. Open for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 2:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 5 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.69
Jack Draper -> 2.22

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Jack Draper

This will be the 4^th time that Alex De Minaur and Jack Draper fight against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for De Minaur (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, De Minaur won 6-3 2-6 4-0 ret. in the semifinal in Acapulco back in March 2024.

Alex De Minaur

Ranked no. 10, De Minaur reached the quarter after defeating Marcos Giron 6-3 6-4 5-7 6-4, Otto Virtanen 7-5 6-1 7-6(3), Daniel Evans 6-3 6-7(4) 6-0 6-0 and Jordan Thompson 6-0 3-6 6-3 7-5.

In the 4^th round, Alex defeated Thompson (6-0 3-6 6-3 7-5). During the match, De Minaur scored 123 points vs Thompson’s 95. The Australian was quite aggressive to blast 41 winners.

Regarding the service games, De Minaur made 5 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Overall, Alex De Minaur was extremely effective on serve to win 79% (41/52) of his 1st serve and 57% (27/47) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Alex broke Thompson 7 times after converting 54% of his break points (7/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

De Minaur has conceded 3 set in this competition to win 56% of the points he played.

De Minaur has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (358-199). 19-5 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, De Minaur has an aggregate 171-85 record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the year was winning the title in Acapulco where he beat Casper Ruud in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Hertogenbosch where he beat Sebastian Korda in the final 6-2 6-4.

De Minaur has an overall 40-12 win-loss record in 2024, 19-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Jack Draper

Ranked no. 25 (career-high), the Brit reached the quarter after defeating Zhizhen Zhang 6-3 6-0 4-0 ret., Facundo Diaz Acosta 6-4 6-2 6-2, Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-3 6-4 6-2 and Tomas Machac 6-3 6-1 6-2.

In the 4^th round, Jack had a good straight sets win against Machac (6-3 6-1 6-2). During the match Draper scored 89 points vs Machac’s 63. Jack was pretty aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Talking about serving, Draper recorded 11 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Jack Draper was extremely efficient on serve to win 78% (29/37) of his 1st serve and 62% (26/42) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Draper broke Machac 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jack hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.

His best result of the year was winning the title in Stuttgart where he beat Matteo Berrettini in the final 3-6 7-6(5) 6-4.

Draper has a compiled 29-17 win-loss record in 2024, 16-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 4^th round in 2023. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	De Minaur	Draper
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	15	13
Tot Games	143	96
Pts	510-399	354-242
Total Points	909	596
Winners	147	133
%Winners	29%	38%

Both De Minaur and Draper played 4 matches. At the moment, Alex De Minaur conceded 3 sets while Jack Draper hasn’t dropped a set so far. De Minaur has played 2 sets more than Draper (15 vs 13). Therefore, De Minaur played 47 games more than Draper. Alex scored 147 winners (29% of the total points). On the other side, Draper blasted 133 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve	De Minaur	Draper
Aces	30	35
Avg per match	7.5	8.8
1st in	197/424	166/312
%1st in	46%	53%
1st pts	147/197	133/166
%1st pts	75%	80%
2nd pts	138/227	84/146
%2nd pts	61%	58%

De Minaur bagged 30 aces (7.5 per match). Draper struck 35 aces (8.8 per match). De Minaur won 75% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Draper won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	De Minaur	Draper
Won	27	23
Converted	27/56	23/37
% Converted	48%	62%
Conceded	23	21
Saved	14	20
% Saved	61%	95%
Times Broken	9	1

The Australian broke his opponents 27 times with a 48% conversion rate. The Australian lost his serve 9 times and he saved 61% of the break points that he conceded. Draper broke his opponents 23 times with a 62% conversion rate. The Brit conceded his serve once and he saved 95% of the break points that he conceded.

De Minaur
	R1 Giron	R2 Virtanen	R3 Evans	R4 Thompson	Total
Score	6-3 6-4 5-7 6-4	7-5 6-1 7-63	6-3 6-74 6-0 6-0	6-0 3-6 6-3 7-5
Tot Set	4	3	4	4	15
Tot Games	41	32	34	36	143
pts	147-130	116-86	124-88	123-95	510-399
Total points	277	202	212	218	909
Winners	38	28	40	41	147
%Winners	26%	24%	32%	33%	29%
SERVE
Aces	9	5	11	5	30
Double Faults	12	3	9	7	31
1st in	57/139	39/86	49/100	52/99	197/424
% 1st in	41%	45%	49%	53%	46%
1st pts	38/57	28/39	40/49	41/52	147/197
% 1st pts	67%	72%	82%	79%	75%
2nd pts	48/82	34/47	29/51	27/47	138/227
% 2nd pts	59%	72%	57%	57%	61%
Breaks
Won	6	5	9	7	27
Converted	6/14	5/14	9/15	7/13	27/56
Converted %	43%	36%	60%	54%	48%
Conceded	13	1	5	4	23
Saved	9/13	0/1	4/5	1/4	14
Saved %	69%	0%	80%	25%	44%
Times Broken	4	1	1	3	9

Draper
	R1 Zhang	R2 Diaz	R3 Van De Zandschulp	R4 Machac	Total
Score	6-3 6-0 4-0 ret.	6-4 6-2 6-2	6-3 6-4 6-2	6-3 6-1 6-2
Tot Set	3	3	3	3	12
Tot Games	19	26	27	24	96
pts	70-35	96-67	99-77	89-63	354-242
Total points	105	163	176	152	596
Winners	23	34	47	29	133
%Winners	33%	35%	47%	33%	38%
SERVE
Aces	5	6	13	11	35
Double Faults	1	5	5	6	17
1st in	30/50	38/77	61/106	37/79	166/312
% 1st in	60%	49%	58%	47%	53%
1st pts	23/30	34/38	47/61	29/37	133/166
% 1st pts	77%	89%	77%	78%	80%
2nd pts	15/20	23/39	20/45	26/42	84/146
% 2nd pts	75%	59%	44%	62%	58%
Breaks
Won	7	5	5	6	23
Converted	7/10	5/10	5/8	6/9	23/37
Converted %	70%	50%	63%	67%	62%
Conceded	1	4	10	6	21
Saved	1/1	4/4	9/10	6/6	20
Saved %	100%	100%	90%	100%	98%
Times Broken	0	0	1	0	1

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

• Neal Skupski/Michael VenusSkupski/Michael Venus – Tristan Boyer/Emilio NavaBoyer/Emilio Nava (3-6 7-6³ 6-4) – See score progression
• Marcelo Arevalo/Mate PavicArevalo/Mate Pavic – Ivan Dodig/Adam PavlasekDodig/Adam Pavlasek (7-5 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Nathaniel Lammons/Jack WithrowLammons/Jack Withrow – Rajeev Ram/Joe SalisburyRam/Joe Salisbury (7-6³ 6-3) – See score progression
• Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos – Yuki Bhambri/Albano OlivettiBhambri/Albano Olivetti (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Maximo Gonzalez/Andres MolteniGonzalez/Andres Molteni – Rohan Bopanna/Matthew EbdenBopanna/Matthew Ebden (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
• Max Purcell/Jordan ThompsonPurcell/Jordan Thompson – Nuno Borges/Francisco CabralBorges/Francisco Cabral (7-6³ 6-3) – See score progression
• Kevin Krawietz/Tim PuetzKrawietz/Tim Puetz – Simone Bolelli/Andrea VavassoriBolelli/Andrea Vavassori (6-4 3-6 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Tommy PaulPaul – Gabriel DialloDiallo (6-7⁵ 6-3 6-1 7-6³) – See score progression
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Jakub MensikMensik (6-7⁵ 6-1 3-6 7-6⁶ 6-0) – See score progression
• Tomas MachacMachac – David GoffinGoffin (6-3 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (6-1 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Daniel EvansEvans (6-3 6-7⁴ 6-0 6-0) – See score progression
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-3 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Jordan ThompsonThompson – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (7-5 6-2 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Jack DraperDraper – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-3 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (6-3 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (6-4 6-4 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Taylor FritzFritz – Francisco ComesanaComesana (6-3 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-2 3-6 6-3 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Casper RuudRuud – Juncheng ShangShang (6-7¹ 3-6 6-0 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Ben SheltonShelton (4-6 7-5 6-7⁵ 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (5-7 7-5 6-1 6-3) – See score progression
• Andrey RublevRublev – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (6-3 7-5 6-4) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (3-1) – H2H and prediction
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Alexander ZverevZverev (4-5) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (5-7) – H2H and prediction
• Jack DraperDraper – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (0-3) – H2H and prediction