Emma Navarro and Paula Badosa will face off in the quarter of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 12:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Paula Badosa who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Paula Badosa is the pick to win this match.
Paula Badosa -> 1.92
Emma Navarro -> 1.92
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Prediction and head to head Emma Navarro vs. Paula Badosa
This will be the 2nd time that Emma Navarro and Paula Badosa clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Badosa (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Badosa won 1-6 6-4 6-2 in the 2nd round in Rome back in May 2024.
Highlights Paula Badosa vs Emma Navarro – Rome 09-May-2024
Emma Navarro
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15-10 | 11-7 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-24 | 33-14 | 14-7 | 0-0 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-24 | 17-9 | 37-11 | 3-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 31-18 | 8-8 | 23-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-13 | 6-6 | 13-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 12 (career-high), Emma reached the quarter after defeating Anna Blinkova 6-1 6-1, Arantxa Rus 6-1 6-1, Marta Kostyuk 6-4 4-6 6-3 and Cori Gauff 6-3 4-6 6-3.
In the 4th round, The American defeated Gauff (6-3 4-6 6-3). During the match, Navarro scored 100 points vs Gauff’s 88. Emma was pretty aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Regarding the service games, Navarro scored just 1 ace in the encounter and she committed only 2 double faults. Emma Navarro lost the serve twice and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Navarro put 66% of her first serves in, winning 67% (38/57) of the points behind her 1st serve and 66% (19/29) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Gauff 4 times after converting 33% of her break points (4/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American has dropped 2 set in this competition to conquer 56% of the points she played.
Navarro has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 65% of her matches (200-107). 30-10 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Navarro has a composed68-46 record in the last 8 years on hard.
Her best result of the season was winning the title in Hobart where she beat Elise Mertens in the final 6-1 4-6 7-5.
Navarro has a compiled 51-20 win-loss record in 2024, 30-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Paula Badosa
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-7 | 12-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-19 | 26-11 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 18-9 | 6-4 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 32-22 | 20-13 | 8-5 | 1-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-17 | 19-9 | 17-3 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 29, Badosa got to the quarter after defeating Viktorija Golubic 6-0 6-3, Taylor Townsend 6-3 7-5, Elena Gabriela Ruse 4-6 6-1 7-6(8) and Yafan Wang 6-1 6-2.
In the 4th round, Badosa had a good straight sets win against Wang (6-1 6-2). During the match Badosa scored 67 points vs Wang’s 49. The Spaniard was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about serving, Badosa fired 4 aces and she committed only 7 double faults. Paula Badosa conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 8 break points. Furthermore, Badosa put 59% of her first serves in, winning 70% (28/40) of the points behind her 1st serve and 54% (15/28) on the 2nd serve. Badosa broke Wang 4 times after converting 80% of her break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Badosa has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
Her best result of the season was winning the title in Washington where she beat Marie Bouzkova in the final 6-1 4-6 6-4.
Badosa has a composed 30-15 win-loss record in 2024, 19-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2021 and 2022. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Navarro | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 85 | 81 |
| Pts | 304-238 | 311-245 |
| Total Points | 542 | 556 |
| Winners | 119 | 109 |
| %Winners | 39% | 35% |
Both Navarro and Badosa played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Emma Navarro conceded 2 sets, while Paula Badosa lost 1 set. Navarro has played 1 set more than Badosa (10 vs 9). Therefore, Navarro played 4 games more than Badosa. Emma scored 119 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Badosa fired 109 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Navarro | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 22 |
| Avg per match | 0.8 | 5.5 |
| 1st in | 172/261 | 150/285 |
| %1st in | 66% | 53% |
| 1st pts | 119/172 | 109/150 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 49/89 | 62/135 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 46% |
Navarro managed to score 3 aces (0.8 per match). Badosa managed to score 22 aces (5.5 per match). Navarro won 69% points on her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Badosa won 73% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 46% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Navarro | Badosa |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 20 | 21 |
| Converted | 20/39 | 21/35 |
| % Converted | 51% | 60% |
| Conceded | 17 | 28 |
| Saved | 10 | 19 |
| % Saved | 59% | 68% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 9 |
Emma broke her opponents 20 times with a 51% conversion rate. The American surrendered her serve 7 times and she saved 59% of the break points that she conceded. Paula broke her opponents 21 times with a 60% conversion rate. Paula conceded her serve 9 times and she saved 68% of the break points that she conceded.
| Navarro | ||||||
| R1 Blinkova |
R2 Rus |
R3 Kostyuk |
R4 Gauff |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-1 | 6-1 6-1 | 6-4 4-6 6-3 | 6-3 4-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 14 | 29 | 28 | 85 | |
| pts | 62-33 | 57-31 | 85-86 | 100-88 | 304-238 | |
| Total points | 95 | 88 | 171 | 188 | 542 | |
| Winners | 21 | 20 | 40 | 38 | 119 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 35% | 47% | 38% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 25/44 | 26/47 | 64/84 | 57/86 | 172/261 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 55% | 76% | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 21/25 | 20/26 | 40/64 | 38/57 | 119/172 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 77% | 63% | 67% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/19 | 13/21 | 9/20 | 19/29 | 49/89 | |
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 62% | 45% | 66% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20 | |
| Converted | 6/10 | 5/6 | 5/11 | 4/12 | 20/39 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 83% | 45% | 33% | 51% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 4/4 | 2/6 | 3/5 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 100% | 33% | 60% | 61% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 | |
| Badosa | ||||||
| R1 Golubic |
R2 Townsend |
R3 Gabriela Ruse |
R4 Wang |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-3 | 6-3 7-5 | 4-6 6-1 7-68 | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 21 | 30 | 15 | 81 | |
| pts | 56-37 | 81-66 | 107-93 | 67-49 | 311-245 | |
| Total points | 93 | 147 | 200 | 116 | 556 | |
| Winners | 13 | 32 | 36 | 28 | 109 | |
| %Winners | 23% | 40% | 34% | 42% | 35% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 22 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 30 | |
| 1st in | 19/41 | 42/69 | 49/107 | 40/68 | 150/285 | |
| % 1st in | 46% | 61% | 46% | 59% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 13/19 | 32/42 | 36/49 | 28/40 | 109/150 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 76% | 73% | 70% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/22 | 11/27 | 24/58 | 15/28 | 62/135 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 41% | 41% | 54% | 46% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 21 | |
| Converted | 6/8 | 5/12 | 6/10 | 4/5 | 21/35 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 42% | 60% | 80% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | |
| Saved | 0/2 | 4/6 | 7/12 | 8/8 | 19 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 67% | 58% | 100% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 9 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWLWWLLW
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- Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert – Emma NavarroNavarro (1-0) – H2H and prediction
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