Grigor Dimitrov and Frances Tiafoe will fight against each other in the quarter of the U.S. Open for the 5^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 9:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Grigor Dimitrov who should win in 5 sets.

As per the initial odds, Grigor Dimitrov is the pick to win this match.
Grigor Dimitrov -> 1.65
Frances Tiafoe -> 2.29

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Prediction and head to head Grigor Dimitrov vs. Frances Tiafoe

This will be the 5^th time that Grigor Dimitrov and Frances Tiafoe clash against each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Dimitrov (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.

The last time that they played, Dimitrov won 6-2 6-3 6-2 in the 3^rd round in at the Wimbledon back in 2023.

Grigor Dimitrov

Ranked no. 9, Grigor reached the quarter after beating Kyrian Jacquet 6-3 6-4 6-2, Rinky Hijikata 6-1 6-1 7-6(4), Tallon Griekspoor 6-3 6-3 6-1 and Andrey Rublev 6-3 7-6(3) 1-6 3-6 6-3.

In the 4^th round, Grigor had a tough win against Rublev to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (6-3 7-6³ 1-6 3-6 6-3). During the match, Dimitrov scored 153 points vs Rublev’s 151. The Bulgarian was very aggressive to blast 79 winners.

Regarding the service games, Dimitrov bagged 17 aces and he was not very consistent on his 2nd serve to score 12 double faults. Grigor Dimitrov lost the serve 5 times and he saved 13 break points. Furthermore, Dimitrov put 57% of his first serves in, winning 80% (79/99) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (31/74) on the 2nd serve. Dimitrov broke Rublev 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Dimitrov has lost 2 set in this tournament to conquer 56% of the points he played.

Dimitrov has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (318-192). 19-5 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Dimitrov has a composed 161-93 record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Brisbane where he overcame Holger Rune in the final 7-6(5) 6-4.

Grigor has a composed 37-13 win-loss record in 2024, 19-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Frances Tiafoe

Ranked no. 20, Tiafoe got to the quarter after defeating Aleksandar Kovacevic 6-4 6-3 4-6 7-5, Alexander Shevchenko 6-4 6-1 1-0 ret., Ben Shelton 4-6 7-5 6-7(5) 6-4 6-3 and Alexei Popyrin 6-4 7-6(3) 2-6 6-3.

In the 4^th round, Tiafoe had a good straight sets win against Popyrin (6-4 7-6³ 2-6 6-3). During the match Tiafoe scored 120 points vs Popyrin’s 117. Tiafoe was exceptionally aggressive to blast 47 winners.

Talking about serving, Tiafoe scored 14 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Frances Tiafoe was pretty efficient on serve to win 77% (47/61) of his 1st serve and 57% (32/56) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. The American broke Popyrin 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Tiafoe has conceded 4 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.

The American’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Houston and Cincinnati.

Tiafoe has an aggregate 28-20 win-loss record in 2024, 19-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2022. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Dimitrov	Tiafoe
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	14	17
Tot Games	126	153
Pts	436-345	508-446
Total Points	781	954
Winners	183	204
%Winners	42%	40%

Both Dimitrov and Tiafoe played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Grigor Dimitrov conceded 2 sets, while Frances Tiafoe conceded 4 sets. Dimitrov has played 3 set(s) less than Tiafoe (14 vs 17). Therefore, Dimitrov played 27 games less than Tiafoe. Grigor scored 183 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Tiafoe struck 204 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Dimitrov	Tiafoe
Aces	54	42
Avg per match	13.5	10.5
1st in	215/390	269/471
%1st in	55%	57%
1st pts	183/215	204/269
%1st pts	85%	76%
2nd pts	87/175	116/202
%2nd pts	50%	57%

Dimitrov scored 54 aces (13.5 per match). Tiafoe managed to score 42 aces (10.5 per match). Dimitrov won 85% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Tiafoe won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Dimitrov	Tiafoe
Won	20	17
Converted	20/44	17/51
% Converted	45%	33%
Conceded	25	29
Saved	18	20
% Saved	72%	69%
Times Broken	7	9

Dimitrov broke his opponents 20 times with a 45% conversion rate. Grigor lost his serve 7 times and he saved 72% of the break points that he conceded. Francis broke his opponents 17 times with a 33% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.

Dimitrov
	R1 Jacquet	R2 Hijikata	R3 Griekspoor	R4 Rublev	Total
Score	6-3 6-4 6-2	6-1 6-1 7-64	6-3 6-3 6-1	6-3 7-63 1-6 3-6 6-3
Tot Set	3	3	3	5	14
Tot Games	27	27	25	47	126
pts	98-71	102-66	83-57	153-151	436-345
Total points	169	168	140	304	781
Winners	33	36	35	79	183
%Winners	34%	35%	42%	52%	42%
SERVE
Aces	11	15	11	17	54
Double Faults	7	6	3	12	28
1st in	38/80	40/67	38/70	99/173	215/390
% 1st in	48%	60%	54%	57%	55%
1st pts	33/38	36/40	35/38	79/99	183/215
% 1st pts	87%	90%	92%	80%	85%
2nd pts	22/42	16/27	18/32	31/74	87/175
% 2nd pts	52%	59%	56%	42%	50%
Breaks
Won	6	6	5	3	20
Converted	6/16	6/12	5/6	3/10	20/44
Converted %	38%	50%	83%	30%	45%
Conceded	6	1	0	18	25
Saved	5/6	0/1	0/0	13/18	18
Saved %	83%	0%	–	72%	39%
Times Broken	1	1	0	5	7

Tiafoe
	R1 Kovacevic	R2 Shevchenko	R3 Shelton	R4 Popyrin	Total
Score	6-4 6-3 4-6 7-5	6-4 6-1 1-0 ret.	4-6 7-5 6-75 6-4 6-3	6-4 7-63 2-6 6-3
Tot Set	4	3	5	4	16
Tot Games	41	18	54	40	153
pts	144-122	71-49	173-158	120-117	508-446
Total points	266	120	331	237	954
Winners	61	27	69	47	204
%Winners	42%	38%	40%	39%	40%
SERVE
Aces	18	5	5	14	42
Double Faults	5	1	5	1	12
1st in	76/131	41/64	91/159	61/117	269/471
% 1st in	58%	64%	57%	52%	57%
1st pts	61/76	27/41	69/91	47/61	204/269
% 1st pts	80%	66%	76%	77%	76%
2nd pts	29/55	14/23	41/68	32/56	116/202
% 2nd pts	53%	61%	60%	57%	57%
Breaks
Won	4	5	5	3	17
Converted	4/14	5/11	5/21	3/5	17/51
Converted %	29%	45%	24%	60%	33%
Conceded	8	5	7	9	29
Saved	6/8	4/5	4/7	6/9	20
Saved %	75%	80%	57%	67%	70%
Times Broken	2	1	3	3	9

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

• Kevin Krawietz/Tim PuetzKrawietz/Tim Puetz – Simone Bolelli/Andrea VavassoriBolelli/Andrea Vavassori (6-4 3-6 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio Zeballos – Yuki Bhambri/Albano OlivettiBhambri/Albano Olivetti (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
• Maximo Gonzalez/Andres MolteniGonzalez/Andres Molteni – Rohan Bopanna/Matthew EbdenBopanna/Matthew Ebden (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
• Max Purcell/Jordan ThompsonPurcell/Jordan Thompson – Nuno Borges/Francisco CabralBorges/Francisco Cabral (7-6³ 6-3) – See score progression
• Jack DraperDraper – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-3 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Jakub MensikMensik (6-7⁵ 6-1 3-6 7-6⁶ 6-0) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (6-1 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Daniel EvansEvans (6-3 6-7⁴ 6-0 6-0) – See score progression
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-3 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Tommy PaulPaul – Gabriel DialloDiallo (6-7⁵ 6-3 6-1 7-6³) – See score progression
• Tomas MachacMachac – David GoffinGoffin (6-3 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Jordan ThompsonThompson – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (7-5 6-2 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (6-3 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (5-7 7-5 6-1 6-3) – See score progression
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (6-4 6-4 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-2 3-6 6-3 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Andrey RublevRublev – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (6-3 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Ben SheltonShelton (4-6 7-5 6-7⁵ 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Taylor FritzFritz – Francisco ComesanaComesana (6-3 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Casper RuudRuud – Juncheng ShangShang (6-7¹ 3-6 6-0 6-3 6-1) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (3-1) – H2H and prediction
• Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Alexander ZverevZverev (4-5) – H2H and prediction
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Jordan ThompsonThompson (4-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Tommy PaulPaul (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jack DraperDraper – Tomas MachacMachac (0-3) – H2H and prediction