Alex De Minaur and Jordan Thompson will clash against each other in the 4th round of the U.S. Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 6:00 pm on Louis Armstrong Stadium. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alex De Minaur who should win in 4 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alex De Minaur is the pick to win this match.
Alex De Minaur -> 1.31
Jordan Thompson -> 3.46
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Prediction and head to head Alex De Minaur vs. Jordan Thompson
This will be the 6th time that Alex De Minaur and Jordan Thompson face off. The head to head is 4-1 for De Minaur (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, De Minaur won 6-2 6-3 in the 2nd round in Miami back in 2022.
Alex De Minaur
39 - 12win/loss
9
6
LLLLLWWWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 47-20 | 19-6 | 10-5 | 11-8 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 26-12 | 4-5 | 10-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-25 | 19-10 | 9-6 | 12-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-25 | 10-10 | 4-5 | 3-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 13-10 | 6-5 | 0-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 10, De Minaur got to the 4th round after defeating Marcos Giron 6-3 6-4 5-7 6-4, Otto Virtanen 7-5 6-1 7-6(3) and Daniel Evans 6-3 6-7(4) 6-0 6-0.
In the 3rd round, The Australian defeated Evans (6-3 6-74 6-0 6-0). During the match, De Minaur scored 124 points vs Evans’s 88. De Minaur was very aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Talking about the service games, De Minaur blasted 11 aces and he committed only 9 double faults. Overall, Alex De Minaur was very effective on serve to win 82% (40/49) of his 1st serve and 57% (29/51) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Australian broke Evans 9 times after converting 60% of his break points (9/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Australian has lost 2 set in this tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
De Minaur has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (357-199). 18-5 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, De Minaur has an overall 170-85 match record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the season was conquering the title in Acapulco where he overcame Casper Ruud in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Hertogenbosch where he defeated Sebastian Korda in the final 6-2 6-4.
Alex has a composed 39-12 win-loss record in 2024, 18-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Jordan Thompson
31 - 19win/loss
26
26
LWWWLLWLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 35-24 | 23-13 | 3-5 | 5-3 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-28 | 22-15 | 0-3 | 7-4 | 12-6 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-26 | 18-14 | 2-6 | 8-1 | 12-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 23-25 | 10-11 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 9-5 | 2-2 |
| 2020 | 12-13 | 6-6 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 32, Jordan reached the 4th round after defeating Constant Lestienne 6-1 6-3 6-2, Hubert Hurkacz 7-6(2) 6-1 7-5 and Matteo Arnaldi 7-5 6-2 7-6(5).
In the 3rd round, The Australian had a good straight sets win against Arnaldi (7-5 6-2 7-65). During the match Thompson scored 111 points vs Arnaldi’s 81. The Australian was very aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Talking about serving, Thompson managed to score 9 aces and he was extremely steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Jordan Thompson was quite effective on serve to win 83% (43/52) of his 1st serve and 67% (26/39) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Australian broke Arnaldi 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Australian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Los Cabos where he defeated Casper Ruud in the final 6-3 7-6(4).
The Australian has a compiled 31-19 win-loss record in 2024, 22-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2020. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | De Minaur | Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 11 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 107 | 89 |
| Pts | 387-304 | 316-231 |
| Total Points | 691 | 547 |
| Winners | 106 | 124 |
| %Winners | 27% | 39% |
Both De Minaur and Thompson played 3 matches. At the moment, Alex De Minaur lost 2 sets while Jordan Thompson hasn’t lost a set so far. De Minaur has played 2 sets more than Thompson (11 vs 9). Therefore, De Minaur played 18 games more than Thompson. Alex scored 106 winners (27% of the total points). On the other side, The Australian made 124 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | De Minaur | Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 25 | 33 |
| Avg per match | 8.3 | 11 |
| 1st in | 145/325 | 154/276 |
| %1st in | 45% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 106/145 | 124/154 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 111/180 | 70/122 |
| %2nd pts | 62% | 57% |
De Minaur blasted 25 aces (8.3 per match). Thompson scored 33 aces (11 per match). De Minaur won 73% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Thompson won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | De Minaur | Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 20 | 15 |
| Converted | 20/43 | 15/32 |
| % Converted | 47% | 47% |
| Conceded | 19 | 16 |
| Saved | 13 | 13 |
| % Saved | 68% | 81% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 3 |
The Australian broke his opponents 20 times with a 47% conversion rate. De Minaur conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded. The Australian broke his opponents 15 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 81% of the break points that he conceded.
| De Minaur | |||||
| R1 Giron |
R2 Virtanen |
R3 Evans |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 5-7 6-4 | 7-5 6-1 7-63 | 6-3 6-74 6-0 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 41 | 32 | 34 | 107 | |
| pts | 147-130 | 116-86 | 124-88 | 387-304 | |
| Total points | 277 | 202 | 212 | 691 | |
| Winners | 38 | 28 | 40 | 106 | |
| %Winners | 26% | 24% | 32% | 27% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 9 | 5 | 11 | 25 | |
| Double Faults | 12 | 3 | 9 | 24 | |
| 1st in | 57/139 | 39/86 | 49/100 | 145/325 | |
| % 1st in | 41% | 45% | 49% | 45% | |
| 1st pts | 38/57 | 28/39 | 40/49 | 106/145 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 72% | 82% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 48/82 | 34/47 | 29/51 | 111/180 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 72% | 57% | 62% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 9 | 20 | |
| Converted | 6/14 | 5/14 | 9/15 | 20/43 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 36% | 60% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 1 | 5 | 19 | |
| Saved | 9/13 | 0/1 | 4/5 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 69% | 0% | 80% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | |
| Thompson | |||||
| R1 Lestienne |
R2 Hurkacz |
R3 Arnaldi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-3 6-2 | 7-62 6-1 7-5 | 7-5 6-2 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 24 | 32 | 33 | 89 | |
| pts | 97-62 | 108-88 | 111-81 | 316-231 | |
| Total points | 159 | 196 | 192 | 547 | |
| Winners | 39 | 42 | 43 | 124 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 39% | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 11 | 13 | 9 | 33 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 51/81 | 51/104 | 52/91 | 154/276 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 49% | 57% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 39/51 | 42/51 | 43/52 | 124/154 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 82% | 83% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/30 | 26/53 | 26/39 | 70/122 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 49% | 67% | 57% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 4 | 15 | |
| Converted | 6/16 | 5/10 | 4/6 | 15/32 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 50% | 67% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | 2 | 16 | |
| Saved | 7/7 | 5/7 | 1/2 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 71% | 50% | 74% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLLWWWLW
LWWWLLWLLW Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Jakub MensikMensik (6-75 6-1 3-6 7-66 6-0) – See score progression
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (7-5 6-2 7-65) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-3 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Tomas MachacMachac – David GoffinGoffin (6-3 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (6-1 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-3 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Daniel EvansEvans (6-3 6-74 6-0 6-0) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Gabriel DialloDiallo (6-75 6-3 6-1 7-63) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Ben SheltonShelton (4-6 7-5 6-75 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (6-3 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-2 3-6 6-3 7-64) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (5-7 7-5 6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Francisco ComesanaComesana (6-3 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Juncheng ShangShang (6-71 3-6 6-0 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (6-4 6-4 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (6-3 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andrey RublevRublev – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (4-3) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Jordan ThompsonThompson (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Tommy PaulPaul (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – Tomas MachacMachac (0-3) – H2H and prediction
