Jack Draper and Tomas Machac will play each other in the 4th round of the U.S. Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 1:00 pm on Louis Armstrong Stadium. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jack Draper who should win in 5 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jack Draper is the pick to win this match.
Jack Draper -> 1.533
Tomas Machac -> 2.5

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Prediction and head to head Jack Draper vs. Tomas Machac

This will be the 4th time that Jack Draper and Tomas Machac face off. The head to head is 3-0 for Machac (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Machac won 7-6(6) 6-1 in the 1st round in Geneva back in May 2024.

Jack Draper

Jack Draper

28 - 17win/loss

Hard
15-8
I Hard
0-0
Clay
5-7
Grass
8-2
Rank
25
High
25
WWWLWWWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 28-17 15-8 5-7 0-0 8-2 0-0
2023 34-15 15-8 3-3 16-4 0-0 0-0
2022 46-19 12-6 2-2 26-7 6-4 0-0
2021 18-16 6-6 7-5 3-2 2-2 0-1
2020 17-6 2-1 0-0 14-4 0-0 1-1

Ranked no. 25 (career-high), Draper reached the 4th round after defeating Zhizhen Zhang 6-3 6-0 4-0 ret., Facundo Diaz Acosta 6-4 6-2 6-2 and Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-3 6-4 6-2.

In the 3rd round, The Brit had a good straight sets win against Van De Zandschulp (6-3 6-4 6-2). During the match, Draper scored 99 points vs Van De Zandschulp’s 77. Draper was extremely aggressive to blast 47 winners.

Regarding the service games, Draper recorded 13 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Jack Draper lost the serve once and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Draper put 58% of his first serves in, winning 77% (47/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (20/45) on the 2nd serve. Draper broke Van De Zandschulp 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Draper hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to win 58% of the points he played.

Draper has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 68% of his matches (215-99). 15-8 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Draper has an overall101-41 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.

His best result of the year was winning the title in Stuttgart where he defeated Matteo Berrettini in the final 3-6 7-6(5) 6-4.

The Brit has an overall 28-17 win-loss record in 2024, 15-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open
Draper's Record

Tomas Machac

Tomas Machac

27 - 16win/loss

Hard
15-8
I Hard
2-1
Clay
9-5
Grass
1-2
Rank
39
High
33
WWWLLLWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 27-16 15-8 9-5 2-1 1-2 0-0
2023 52-27 15-10 16-11 18-5 3-1 0-0
2022 47-19 24-6 5-2 18-10 0-0 0-1
2021 28-19 5-4 5-4 12-6 2-3 4-2
2020 27-12 0-0 12-6 15-5 0-0 0-1

Ranked no. 39, Machac reached the 4th round after beating Fabio Fognini 7-5 6-1 6-3, Sebastian Korda 6-4 6-2 6-4 and David Goffin 6-3 6-1 6-2.

In the 3rd round, Machac had a good straight sets win against Goffin (6-3 6-1 6-2). During the match Machac scored 82 points vs Goffin’s 54. The Czech was extremely aggressive to blast 27 winners.

About the serving games, Machac fired 11 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Tomas Machac was pretty effective on serve to win 87% (27/31) of his 1st serve and 58% (19/33) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Czech broke Goffin 7 times after converting 70% of his break points (7/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Czech hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.

Machac’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Geneva.

Machac has a composed 27-16 win-loss record in 2024, 15-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st

round in 2022. See his history.
U.S. Open
Machac's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

J.Draper
T.Machac
5h:25
5h:25
Time on court​
5h:25
5h:25
!
2h:14
2h:14
Last match​
1h:34
1h:34
3
3
Match played
3
3
72
72
Games Played​
80
80
10
10
Set played​​
9
9
265
265
Total points​
279
279
88.3
88.3
Avg point​
93
93
104
104
Winners
101
101
34.7
34.7
Avg Winners​
33.7
33.7
39%
39%
Ratio winners
36%
36%
-- Serve --
24
24
Aces
23
23
8
8
Avg Aces
7.7
7.7
11
11
Double Faults
14
14
3.7
3.7
Avg Double Faults
4.7
4.7
104/129
104/129
1st won total​
101/134
101/134
!
81%
81%
1st won %
!
75%
75%
58/104
58/104
2nd won total​
65/106
65/106
56%
56%
2nd won %
!
61%
61%
-- Break Points --
17/28
17/28
BP won
19/28
19/28
5.7/9.3
5.7/9.3
Avg BP won
6.3/9.3
6.3/9.3
!
61%
61%
Won
!
68%
68%
15
15
Conceded
18
18
5
5
Avg Conceded
6
6
1
1
Broken
4
4
!
0.3
0.3
Avg Broken
1.3
1.3
14
14
Saved
14
14

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Draper Machac
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 10 9
Tot Games 72 80
Pts 265-179 279-198
Total Points 444 477
Winners 104 101
%Winners 39% 36%

Both Draper and Machac played 3 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Draper has played 1 set more than Machac (10 vs 9). However, it’s interesting to notice that Draper played 8 games less than Machac. Jack scored 104 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Machac scored 101 winners (36%).

Serve Performance

Serve Draper Machac
Aces 24 23
Avg per match 8 7.7
1st in 129/233 134/240
%1st in 55% 56%
1st pts 104/129 101/134
%1st pts 81% 75%
2nd pts 58/104 65/106
%2nd pts 56% 61%

Draper blasted 24 aces (8 per match). Machac scored 23 aces (7.7 per match). Draper won 81% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Machac won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Draper Machac
Won 17 19
Converted 17/28 19/28
% Converted 61% 68%
Conceded 15 18
Saved 14 14
% Saved 93% 78%
Times Broken 1 4

The Brit broke his opponents 17 times with a 61% conversion rate. Jack conceded his serve once and he saved 93% of the break points that he conceded. The Czech broke his opponents 19 times with a 68% conversion rate. Tomas conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded.

Draper
R1
Zhang
R2
Diaz
R3
Van De Zandschulp
Total
Score 6-3 6-0 4-0 ret. 6-4 6-2 6-2 6-3 6-4 6-2
Tot Set 3 3 3 9
Tot Games 19 26 27 72
pts 70-35 96-67 99-77 265-179
Total points 105 163 176 444
Winners 23 34 47 104
%Winners 33% 35% 47% 39%
SERVE
Aces 5 6 13 24
Double Faults 1 5 5 11
1st in 30/50 38/77 61/106 129/233
% 1st in 60% 49% 58% 55%
1st pts 23/30 34/38 47/61 104/129
% 1st pts 77% 89% 77% 81%
2nd pts 15/20 23/39 20/45 58/104
% 2nd pts 75% 59% 44% 56%
Breaks
Won 7 5 5 17
Converted 7/10 5/10 5/8 17/28
Converted % 70% 50% 63% 61%
Conceded 1 4 10 15
Saved 1/1 4/4 9/10 14
Saved % 100% 100% 90% 97%
Times Broken 0 0 1 1
Machac
R1
Fognini
R2
Korda
R3
Goffin
Total
Score 7-5 6-1 6-3 6-4 6-2 6-4 6-3 6-1 6-2
Tot Set 3 3 3 9
Tot Games 28 28 24 80
pts 95-63 102-81 82-54 279-198
Total points 158 183 136 477
Winners 35 39 27 101
%Winners 37% 38% 33% 36%
SERVE
Aces 8 4 11 23
Double Faults 5 4 5 14
1st in 45/82 58/94 31/64 134/240
% 1st in 55% 62% 48% 56%
1st pts 35/45 39/58 27/31 101/134
% 1st pts 78% 67% 87% 75%
2nd pts 24/37 22/36 19/33 65/106
% 2nd pts 65% 61% 58% 61%
Breaks
Won 6 6 7 19
Converted 6/7 6/11 7/10 19/28
Converted % 86% 55% 70% 68%
Conceded 7 8 3 18
Saved 6/7 6/8 2/3 14
Saved % 86% 75% 67% 76%
Times Broken 1 2 1 4

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

Upcoming matches in the draw