Jack Draper and Tomas Machac will play each other in the 4th round of the U.S. Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 1:00 pm on Louis Armstrong Stadium. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jack Draper who should win in 5 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jack Draper is the pick to win this match.
Jack Draper -> 1.533
Tomas Machac -> 2.5
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Prediction and head to head Jack Draper vs. Tomas Machac
This will be the 4th time that Jack Draper and Tomas Machac face off. The head to head is 3-0 for Machac (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Machac won 7-6(6) 6-1 in the 1st round in Geneva back in May 2024.
Jack Draper
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 29-9 | 13-3 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-22 | 19-10 | 5-7 | 7-3 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-15 | 15-8 | 3-3 | 16-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-19 | 12-6 | 2-2 | 26-7 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-16 | 6-6 | 7-5 | 3-2 | 2-2 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 25 (career-high), Draper reached the 4th round after defeating Zhizhen Zhang 6-3 6-0 4-0 ret., Facundo Diaz Acosta 6-4 6-2 6-2 and Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-3 6-4 6-2.
In the 3rd round, The Brit had a good straight sets win against Van De Zandschulp (6-3 6-4 6-2). During the match, Draper scored 99 points vs Van De Zandschulp’s 77. Draper was extremely aggressive to blast 47 winners.
Regarding the service games, Draper recorded 13 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Jack Draper lost the serve once and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Draper put 58% of his first serves in, winning 77% (47/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (20/45) on the 2nd serve. Draper broke Van De Zandschulp 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Draper hasn’t lost yet a set in this competition to win 58% of the points he played.
Draper has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 68% of his matches (215-99). 15-8 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Draper has an overall101-41 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Stuttgart where he defeated Matteo Berrettini in the final 3-6 7-6(5) 6-4.
The Brit has an overall 28-17 win-loss record in 2024, 15-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Tomas Machac
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19-12 | 11-4 | 2-5 | 3-1 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-24 | 22-11 | 9-5 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 52-27 | 15-10 | 16-11 | 18-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-19 | 24-6 | 5-2 | 18-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2021 | 28-19 | 5-4 | 5-4 | 12-6 | 2-3 | 4-2 |
Ranked no. 39, Machac reached the 4th round after beating Fabio Fognini 7-5 6-1 6-3, Sebastian Korda 6-4 6-2 6-4 and David Goffin 6-3 6-1 6-2.
In the 3rd round, Machac had a good straight sets win against Goffin (6-3 6-1 6-2). During the match Machac scored 82 points vs Goffin’s 54. The Czech was extremely aggressive to blast 27 winners.
About the serving games, Machac fired 11 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Tomas Machac was pretty effective on serve to win 87% (27/31) of his 1st serve and 58% (19/33) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Czech broke Goffin 7 times after converting 70% of his break points (7/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Czech hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points he played.
Machac’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Geneva.
Machac has a composed 27-16 win-loss record in 2024, 15-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Draper | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 72 | 80 |
| Pts | 265-179 | 279-198 |
| Total Points | 444 | 477 |
| Winners | 104 | 101 |
| %Winners | 39% | 36% |
Both Draper and Machac played 3 matches. Both players have not surrendered a single set in this event so far. Draper has played 1 set more than Machac (10 vs 9). However, it’s interesting to notice that Draper played 8 games less than Machac. Jack scored 104 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Machac scored 101 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Draper | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 24 | 23 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 7.7 |
| 1st in | 129/233 | 134/240 |
| %1st in | 55% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 104/129 | 101/134 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 58/104 | 65/106 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 61% |
Draper blasted 24 aces (8 per match). Machac scored 23 aces (7.7 per match). Draper won 81% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Machac won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Draper | Machac |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 17 | 19 |
| Converted | 17/28 | 19/28 |
| % Converted | 61% | 68% |
| Conceded | 15 | 18 |
| Saved | 14 | 14 |
| % Saved | 93% | 78% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 |
The Brit broke his opponents 17 times with a 61% conversion rate. Jack conceded his serve once and he saved 93% of the break points that he conceded. The Czech broke his opponents 19 times with a 68% conversion rate. Tomas conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded.
| Draper | |||||
| R1 Zhang |
R2 Diaz |
R3 Van De Zandschulp |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-0 4-0 ret. | 6-4 6-2 6-2 | 6-3 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 26 | 27 | 72 | |
| pts | 70-35 | 96-67 | 99-77 | 265-179 | |
| Total points | 105 | 163 | 176 | 444 | |
| Winners | 23 | 34 | 47 | 104 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 35% | 47% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 6 | 13 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 30/50 | 38/77 | 61/106 | 129/233 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 49% | 58% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 23/30 | 34/38 | 47/61 | 104/129 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 89% | 77% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/20 | 23/39 | 20/45 | 58/104 | |
| % 2nd pts | 75% | 59% | 44% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 7 | 5 | 5 | 17 | |
| Converted | 7/10 | 5/10 | 5/8 | 17/28 | |
| Converted % | 70% | 50% | 63% | 61% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 4 | 10 | 15 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 4/4 | 9/10 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 90% | 97% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Machac | |||||
| R1 Fognini |
R2 Korda |
R3 Goffin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-1 6-3 | 6-4 6-2 6-4 | 6-3 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 28 | 24 | 80 | |
| pts | 95-63 | 102-81 | 82-54 | 279-198 | |
| Total points | 158 | 183 | 136 | 477 | |
| Winners | 35 | 39 | 27 | 101 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 38% | 33% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 4 | 11 | 23 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 4 | 5 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 45/82 | 58/94 | 31/64 | 134/240 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 62% | 48% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 35/45 | 39/58 | 27/31 | 101/134 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 67% | 87% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/37 | 22/36 | 19/33 | 65/106 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 61% | 58% | 61% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 6 | 7 | 19 | |
| Converted | 6/7 | 6/11 | 7/10 | 19/28 | |
| Converted % | 86% | 55% | 70% | 68% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 8 | 3 | 18 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 6/8 | 2/3 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 75% | 67% | 76% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWWLWWW
LWLWWLLLWL Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-3 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Tomas MachacMachac – David GoffinGoffin (6-3 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (6-1 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-3 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Daniel EvansEvans (6-3 6-74 6-0 6-0) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Gabriel DialloDiallo (6-75 6-3 6-1 7-63) – See score progression
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Jakub MensikMensik (6-75 6-1 3-6 7-66 6-0) – See score progression
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (7-5 6-2 7-65) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Francisco ComesanaComesana (6-3 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Juncheng ShangShang (6-71 3-6 6-0 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (6-4 6-4 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (6-3 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Ben SheltonShelton (4-6 7-5 6-75 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (6-3 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-2 3-6 6-3 7-64) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (5-7 7-5 6-1 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andrey RublevRublev – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (4-3) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Jordan ThompsonThompson (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Tommy PaulPaul (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – Tomas MachacMachac (0-3) – H2H and prediction
