Iga Swiatek and Liudmila Samsonova will square off in the 4^th round of the U.S. Open for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 7:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.159
Liudmila Samsonova -> 5.3

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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Liudmila Samsonova

This will be the 4^th time that Iga Swiatek and Liudmila Samsonova play each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Swiatek won 6-2 6-2 in the final in Beijing back in 2023.

Highlights Iga Swiatek vs Liudmila Samsonova – Beijing 08-October-2023

Iga Swiatek

Currently world no. 1 Swiatek reached the 4^th round after defeating Kamilla Rakhimova 6-4 7-6(6), Ena Shibahara 6-0 6-1 and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 6-4 6-2.

In the 3^rd round, Swiatek had a good straight sets win against Pavlyuchenkova (6-4 6-2). During the match, Swiatek scored 64 points vs Pavlyuchenkova’s 45. The Pole was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Regarding the service games, Swiatek wasn’t able to score even 1 ace during the encounter and she committed only 2 double faults. Iga Swiatek was pretty effective on serve to win 77% (24/31) of her 1st serve and 71% (12/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Iga broke Pavlyuchenkova 3 times after converting 60% of her break points (3/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Iga hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to win 58% of the points she played.

Swiatek has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 82% of her matches (343-74). 28-4 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Swiatek has a compiled161-41 record in the last 9 years on hard.

Her best result of the year was winning the title in Australia where she overcame Angelique Kerber in the final 6-3 6-0 and in Doha where she beat Elena Rybakina in the final 7-6(8) 6-2 and in Indian Wells where she defeated Maria Sakkari in the final 6-4 6-0 and in Madrid where she defeated Aryna Sabalenka in the final 7-5 4-6 7-6(7) and in Rome where she overcame Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-2 6-3 and at the French Open where she overcame Jasmine Paolini in the final 6-2 6-1.

Swiatek has a composed 58-7 win-loss record in 2024, 28-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Liudmila Samsonova

Ranked no. 16, Ludmilla reached the 4^th round after beating Qiang Wang 6-2 7-5, Marie Bouzkova 3-6 7-6(1) 6-3 and Ashlyn Krueger 6-1 6-1.

In the 3^rd round, Samsonova had a good straight sets win against Krueger (6-1 6-1). During the match Samsonova scored 58 points vs Krueger’s 30. Samsonova was extremely aggressive to blast 17 winners.

About the serving games, Samsonova was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she was quite solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Liudmila Samsonova was quite efficient on serve to win 85% (17/20) of her 1st serve and 75% (12/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Samsonova broke Krueger 5 times after converting 42% of her break points (5/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Samsonova has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.

Her best result of the current year was conquering the title in Hertogenbosch where she overcame Bianca Vanessa Andreescu in the final 4-6 6-3 7-5.

The Russian has a composed 26-19 win-loss record in 2024, 12-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the 4^th round in 2022. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Swiatek	Samsonova
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	6	7
Tot Games	54	65
Pts	200-142	229-184
Total Points	342	413
Winners	71	81
%Winners	36%	35%

Both Swiatek and Samsonova played 3 matches. At the moment, Liudmila Samsonova dropped 1 set while Iga Swiatek hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Swiatek has played 1 set(s) less than Samsonova (6 vs 7). Therefore, Swiatek played 11 games less than Samsonova. Swiatek scored 71 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian fired 81 winners (35%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Swiatek	Samsonova
Aces	9	15
Avg per match	3	5
1st in	93/149	111/213
%1st in	62%	52%
1st pts	71/93	81/111
%1st pts	76%	73%
2nd pts	40/56	53/102
%2nd pts	71%	52%

Swiatek bagged 9 aces (3 per match). Samsonova fired 15 aces (5 per match). Swiatek won 76% points on her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 71% of the points. On the other side, Samsonova won 73% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Swiatek	Samsonova
Won	11	14
Converted	11/20	14/27
% Converted	55%	52%
Conceded	4	16
Saved	2	9
% Saved	50%	56%
Times Broken	2	7

The Pole broke her opponents 11 times with a 55% conversion rate. Swiatek conceded her serve twice and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Samsonova broke her opponents 14 times with a 52% conversion rate. Samsonova conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 56% of the break points that she conceded.

Swiatek
	R1 Rakhimova	R2 Shibahara	R3 Pavlyuchenkova	Total
Score	6-4 7-66	6-0 6-1	6-4 6-2
Tot Set	2	2	2	6
Tot Games	23	13	18	54
pts	76-68	60-29	64-45	200-142
Total points	144	89	109	342
Winners	27	20	24	71
%Winners	36%	33%	38%	36%
SERVE
Aces	5	4	0	9
Double Faults	1	0	2	3
1st in	38/67	24/34	31/48	93/149
% 1st in	57%	71%	65%	62%
1st pts	27/38	20/24	24/31	71/93
% 1st pts	71%	83%	77%	76%
2nd pts	20/29	8/10	12/17	40/56
% 2nd pts	69%	80%	71%	71%
Breaks
Won	3	5	3	11
Converted	3/6	5/9	3/5	11/20
Converted %	50%	56%	60%	55%
Conceded	4	0	0	4
Saved	2/4	0/0	0/0	2
Saved %	50%	–	–	17%
Times Broken	2	0	0	2

Samsonova
	R1 Wang	R2 Bouzkova	R3 Krueger	Total
Score	6-2 7-5	3-6 7-61 6-3	6-1 6-1
Tot Set	2	3	2	7
Tot Games	20	31	14	65
pts	69-59	102-95	58-30	229-184
Total points	128	197	88	413
Winners	23	41	17	81
%Winners	33%	40%	29%	35%
SERVE
Aces	3	12	0	15
Double Faults	7	6	0	13
1st in	34/74	57/103	20/36	111/213
% 1st in	46%	55%	56%	52%
1st pts	23/34	41/57	17/20	81/111
% 1st pts	68%	72%	85%	73%
2nd pts	18/40	23/46	12/16	53/102
% 2nd pts	45%	50%	75%	52%
Breaks
Won	6	3	5	14
Converted	6/9	3/6	5/12	14/27
Converted %	67%	50%	42%	52%
Conceded	8	8	0	16
Saved	5/8	4/8	0/0	9
Saved %	63%	50%	–	38%
Times Broken	3	4	0	7

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

• Paula BadosaBadosa – Yafan WangWang (6-1 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Caroline WozniackiWozniacki – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Karolina MuchovaMuchova – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (3-0) – H2H and prediction
• Emma NavarroNavarro – Cori GauffGauff (1-1) – H2H and prediction
• Qinwen ZhengZheng – Donna VekicVekic (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Elise MertensMertens – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (2-7) – H2H and prediction