Daniil Medvedev and Nuno Borges will fight against each other in the 4th round of the U.S. Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 2:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 3 sets.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.164
Nuno Borges -> 5.2
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Nuno Borges
This will be the 3rd time that Daniil Medvedev and Nuno Borges clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Medvedev won 7-6(4) 6-4 in the 1st round in Halle back in June 2024.
Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Nuno Borges – Halle 17-June-2024
Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-23 | 20-12 | 6-4 | 10-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5, Daniil got to the 4th round after beating Dusan Lajovic 6-3 3-6 6-3 6-1, Fabian Marozsan 6-3 6-2 7-6(5) and Flavio Cobolli 6-3 6-4 6-3.
In the 3rd round, Daniil had a good straight sets win against Cobolli (6-3 6-4 6-3). During the match, Medvedev scored 104 points vs Cobolli’s 77. Daniil was quite aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Regarding the service games, Medvedev made 9 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Medvedev put 55% of his first serves in, winning 81% (38/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (17/38) on the 2nd serve. Medvedev broke Cobolli 7 times after converting 35% of his break points (7/20).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has conceded 1 set in this event to win 55% of the points he played.
Medvedev has a marvellous match record in the last 10 years having won 72% of his matches (502-200). 21-6 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Medvedev has a compiled 239-75 match record in the last years on hard.
Medvedev’s best result of the season was reaching the final at the Australian Open and Indian Wells.
The Russian has a compiled 38-13 win-loss record in 2024, 21-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Nuno Borges
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 33-33 | 17-14 | 9-11 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-26 | 20-12 | 13-7 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-26 | 20-11 | 8-7 | 6-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 49-26 | 7-5 | 28-13 | 11-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 52-21 | 6-4 | 46-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 34 (career-high), Nuno got to the 4th round after defeating Federico Coria 6-2 6-4 6-1, Thanasi Kokkinakis 6-4 7-5 7-5 and Jakub Mensik 6-7(5) 6-1 3-6 7-6(6) 6-0.
In the 3rd round, Nuno had a tough win against Mensik to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (6-75 6-1 3-6 7-66 6-0). During the match Borges scored 180 points vs Mensik’s 154. The Portuguese was exceptionally aggressive to blast 67 winners.
Talking about serving, Borges made 13 aces and he was not very consistent on his 2nd serve to score 11 double faults. Nuno Borges lost the serve 4 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Borges put 57% of his first serves in, winning 74% (67/90) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (34/68) on the 2nd serve. Nuno broke Mensik 8 times after converting 44% of his break points (8/18).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Borges has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was winning the title the Phoenix Challenger where he beat Matteo Berrettini in the final 7-5 7-6(4) and in Bastad where he overcame Rafael Nadal in the final 6-3 6-2.
Borges has an overall 33-22 win-loss record in 2024, 20-11 on hard (See FULL STATS)
.Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 92 | 107 |
| Pts | 332-275 | 391-315 |
| Total Points | 607 | 706 |
| Winners | 121 | 141 |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% |
Both Medvedev and Borges played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Daniil Medvedev surrendered 1 set, while Nuno Borges lost 2 sets. Medvedev has played 1 set(s) less than Borges (10 vs 11). Therefore, Medvedev played 15 games less than Borges. The Russian scored 121 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The Portuguese bagged 141 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 31 | 30 |
| Avg per match | 10.3 | 10 |
| 1st in | 162/305 | 183/330 |
| %1st in | 53% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 121/162 | 141/183 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 70/143 | 81/147 |
| %2nd pts | 49% | 55% |
Medvedev made 31 aces (10.3 per match). Borges scored 30 aces (10 per match). Medvedev won 75% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Borges won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Borges |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 21 | 19 |
| Converted | 21/45 | 19/45 |
| % Converted | 47% | 42% |
| Conceded | 23 | 21 |
| Saved | 14 | 14 |
| % Saved | 61% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 9 | 7 |
Medvedev broke his opponents 21 times with a 47% conversion rate. Daniil surrendered his serve 9 times and he saved 61% of the break points that he conceded. Nuno broke his opponents 19 times with a 42% conversion rate. Borges conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | |||||
| R1 Lajovic | R2 Marozsan | R3 Cobolli | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 3-6 6-3 6-1 | 6-3 6-2 7-65 | 6-3 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 34 | 30 | 28 | 92 | |
| pts | 123-109 | 105-89 | 104-77 | 332-275 | |
| Total points | 232 | 194 | 181 | 607 | |
| Winners | 53 | 30 | 38 | 121 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 29% | 37% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 14 | 8 | 9 | 31 | |
| Double Faults | 11 | 10 | 7 | 28 | |
| 1st in | 70/125 | 45/95 | 47/85 | 162/305 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 47% | 55% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 53/70 | 30/45 | 38/47 | 121/162 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 67% | 81% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 26/55 | 27/50 | 17/38 | 70/143 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 54% | 45% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 6 | 8 | 7 | 21 | |
| Converted | 6/11 | 8/14 | 7/20 | 21/45 | |
| Converted % | 55% | 57% | 35% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 6 | 9 | 23 | |
| Saved | 6/8 | 2/6 | 6/9 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 33% | 67% | 58% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | |
| Borges | |||||
| R1 Coria | R2 Kokkinakis | R3 Mensik | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 6-1 | 6-4 7-5 7-5 | 6-75 6-1 3-6 7-66 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 34 | 48 | 107 | |
| pts | 93-65 | 118-96 | 180-154 | 391-315 | |
| Total points | 158 | 214 | 334 | 706 | |
| Winners | 29 | 45 | 67 | 141 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 38% | 37% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 9 | 13 | 30 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 3 | 11 | 22 | |
| 1st in | 35/72 | 58/100 | 90/158 | 183/330 | |
| % 1st in | 49% | 58% | 57% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 29/35 | 45/58 | 67/90 | 141/183 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 78% | 74% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/37 | 28/42 | 34/68 | 81/147 | |
| % 2nd pts | 51% | 67% | 50% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 7 | 4 | 8 | 19 | |
| Converted | 7/15 | 4/12 | 8/18 | 19/45 | |
| Converted % | 47% | 33% | 44% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 6 | 12 | 21 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 5/6 | 8/12 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 83% | 67% | 61% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | |
Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-3 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Tomas MachacMachac – David GoffinGoffin (6-3 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (6-1 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Daniel EvansEvans (6-3 6-74 6-0 6-0) – See score progression
- Jack DraperDraper – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-3 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Gabriel DialloDiallo (6-75 6-3 6-1 7-63) – See score progression
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Jakub MensikMensik (6-75 6-1 3-6 7-66 6-0) – See score progression
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (7-5 6-2 7-65) – See score progression
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Ben SheltonShelton (4-6 7-5 6-75 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-2 3-6 6-3 7-64) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Francisco ComesanaComesana (6-3 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (5-7 7-5 6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Juncheng ShangShang (6-71 3-6 6-0 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (6-4 6-4 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (6-3 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (6-3 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andrey RublevRublev – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (4-3) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Jordan ThompsonThompson (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Tommy PaulPaul (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jack DraperDraper – Tomas MachacMachac (0-3) – H2H and prediction