Daniil Medvedev and Nuno Borges will fight against each other in the 4th round of the U.S. Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 2:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.164
Nuno Borges -> 5.2

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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Nuno Borges

This will be the 3rd time that Daniil Medvedev and Nuno Borges clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Medvedev won 7-6(4) 6-4 in the 1st round in Halle back in June 2024.

Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Nuno Borges – Halle 17-June-2024

Daniil Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev

38 - 13win/loss

Hard
21-6
I Hard
0-0
Clay
11-5
Grass
6-2
Rank
5
High
1
WWWLLLWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 38-13 21-6 11-5 0-0 6-2 0-0
2023 66-18 38-8 10-3 11-4 7-3 0-0
2022 45-19 26-8 3-2 8-6 8-3 0-0
2021 63-13 33-5 5-3 18-3 7-2 0-0
2020 28-10 14-4 0-2 14-4 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 5, Daniil got to the 4th round after beating Dusan Lajovic 6-3 3-6 6-3 6-1, Fabian Marozsan 6-3 6-2 7-6(5) and Flavio Cobolli 6-3 6-4 6-3.

In the 3rd round, Daniil had a good straight sets win against Cobolli (6-3 6-4 6-3). During the match, Medvedev scored 104 points vs Cobolli’s 77. Daniil was quite aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Regarding the service games, Medvedev made 9 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Medvedev put 55% of his first serves in, winning 81% (38/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (17/38) on the 2nd serve. Medvedev broke Cobolli 7 times after converting 35% of his break points (7/20).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Russian has conceded 1 set in this event to win 55% of the points he played.

Medvedev has a marvellous match record in the last 10 years having won 72% of his matches (502-200). 21-6 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Medvedev has a compiled 239-75 match record in the last years on hard.

Medvedev’s best result of the season was reaching the final at the Australian Open and Indian Wells.

The Russian has a compiled 38-13 win-loss record in 2024, 21-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open
Medvedev's Record

Nuno Borges

Nuno Borges

33 - 22win/loss

Hard
20-11
I Hard
0-1
Clay
13-7
Grass
0-3
Rank
34
High
34
WWWLLWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 33-22 20-11 13-7 0-1 0-3 0-0
2023 37-26 20-11 8-7 6-4 3-4 0-0
2022 49-26 7-5 28-13 11-5 3-3 0-0
2021 52-21 6-4 46-17 0-0 0-0 0-0
2020 31-7 29-4 2-3 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 34 (career-high), Nuno got to the 4th round after defeating Federico Coria 6-2 6-4 6-1, Thanasi Kokkinakis 6-4 7-5 7-5 and Jakub Mensik 6-7(5) 6-1 3-6 7-6(6) 6-0.

In the 3rd round, Nuno had a tough win against Mensik to overcome his opponent only in 5 sets (6-75 6-1 3-6 7-66 6-0). During the match Borges scored 180 points vs Mensik’s 154. The Portuguese was exceptionally aggressive to blast 67 winners.

Talking about serving, Borges made 13 aces and he was not very consistent on his 2nd serve to score 11 double faults. Nuno Borges lost the serve 4 times and he saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Borges put 57% of his first serves in, winning 74% (67/90) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (34/68) on the 2nd serve. Nuno broke Mensik 8 times after converting 44% of his break points (8/18).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Borges has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

His best result of the season was winning the title the Phoenix Challenger where he beat Matteo Berrettini in the final 7-5 7-6(4) and in Bastad where he overcame Rafael Nadal in the final 6-3 6-2.

Borges has an overall 33-22 win-loss record in 2024, 20-11 on hard (See FULL STATS)

.

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2022. See his history.

U.S. Open
Borges's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

D.Medvedev
N.Borges
6h:55
6h:55
Time on court​
8h:18
8h:18
!
2h:18
2h:18
Last match​
!
3h:48
3h:48
3
3
Match played
3
3
92
92
Games Played​
107
107
10
10
Set played​​
11
11
332
332
Total points​
391
391
110.7
110.7
Avg point​
130.3
130.3
121
121
Winners
141
141
40.3
40.3
Avg Winners​
47
47
36%
36%
Ratio winners
36%
36%
-- Serve --
31
31
Aces
30
30
!
10.3
10.3
Avg Aces
10
10
28
28
Double Faults
22
22
!
9.3
9.3
Avg Double Faults
!
7.3
7.3
121/162
121/162
1st won total​
141/183
141/183
!
75%
75%
1st won %
!
77%
77%
70/143
70/143
2nd won total​
81/147
81/147
49%
49%
2nd won %
55%
55%
-- Break Points --
21/45
21/45
BP won
19/45
19/45
7/15
7/15
Avg BP won
6.3/15
6.3/15
47%
47%
Won
42%
42%
23
23
Conceded
21
21
7.7
7.7
Avg Conceded
7
7
9
9
Broken
7
7
3
3
Avg Broken
2.3
2.3
14
14
Saved
14
14

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Medvedev Borges
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 10 11
Tot Games 92 107
Pts 332-275 391-315
Total Points 607 706
Winners 121 141
%Winners 36% 36%

Both Medvedev and Borges played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Daniil Medvedev surrendered 1 set, while Nuno Borges lost 2 sets. Medvedev has played 1 set(s) less than Borges (10 vs 11). Therefore, Medvedev played 15 games less than Borges. The Russian scored 121 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The Portuguese bagged 141 winners (36%).

Serve Performance

Serve Medvedev Borges
Aces 31 30
Avg per match 10.3 10
1st in 162/305 183/330
%1st in 53% 55%
1st pts 121/162 141/183
%1st pts 75% 77%
2nd pts 70/143 81/147
%2nd pts 49% 55%

Medvedev made 31 aces (10.3 per match). Borges scored 30 aces (10 per match). Medvedev won 75% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Borges won 77% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Medvedev Borges
Won 21 19
Converted 21/45 19/45
% Converted 47% 42%
Conceded 23 21
Saved 14 14
% Saved 61% 67%
Times Broken 9 7

Medvedev broke his opponents 21 times with a 47% conversion rate. Daniil surrendered his serve 9 times and he saved 61% of the break points that he conceded. Nuno broke his opponents 19 times with a 42% conversion rate. Borges conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Medvedev
R1
Lajovic
R2
Marozsan
R3
Cobolli
Total
Score 6-3 3-6 6-3 6-1 6-3 6-2 7-65 6-3 6-4 6-3
Tot Set 4 3 3 10
Tot Games 34 30 28 92
pts 123-109 105-89 104-77 332-275
Total points 232 194 181 607
Winners 53 30 38 121
%Winners 43% 29% 37% 36%
SERVE
Aces 14 8 9 31
Double Faults 11 10 7 28
1st in 70/125 45/95 47/85 162/305
% 1st in 56% 47% 55% 53%
1st pts 53/70 30/45 38/47 121/162
% 1st pts 76% 67% 81% 75%
2nd pts 26/55 27/50 17/38 70/143
% 2nd pts 47% 54% 45% 49%
Breaks
Won 6 8 7 21
Converted 6/11 8/14 7/20 21/45
Converted % 55% 57% 35% 47%
Conceded 8 6 9 23
Saved 6/8 2/6 6/9 14
Saved % 75% 33% 67% 58%
Times Broken 2 4 3 9
Borges
R1
Coria
R2
Kokkinakis
R3
Mensik
Total
Score 6-2 6-4 6-1 6-4 7-5 7-5 6-75 6-1 3-6 7-66 6-0
Tot Set 3 3 5 11
Tot Games 25 34 48 107
pts 93-65 118-96 180-154 391-315
Total points 158 214 334 706
Winners 29 45 67 141
%Winners 31% 38% 37% 36%
SERVE
Aces 8 9 13 30
Double Faults 8 3 11 22
1st in 35/72 58/100 90/158 183/330
% 1st in 49% 58% 57% 55%
1st pts 29/35 45/58 67/90 141/183
% 1st pts 83% 78% 74% 77%
2nd pts 19/37 28/42 34/68 81/147
% 2nd pts 51% 67% 50% 55%
Breaks
Won 7 4 8 19
Converted 7/15 4/12 8/18 19/45
Converted % 47% 33% 44% 42%
Conceded 3 6 12 21
Saved 1/3 5/6 8/12 14
Saved % 33% 83% 67% 61%
Times Broken 2 1 4 7

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

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