Jessica Pegula and Diana Shnaider will square off in the 4th round of the U.S. Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 12:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.4
Diana Shnaider -> 2.96
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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Diana Shnaider
This will be the 2nd time that Jessica Pegula and Diana Shnaider square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Pegula (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Pegula won 6-4 6-3 in the semifinal in Toronto back in August 2024.
Highlights Jessica Pegula vs Diana Shnaider – Toronto 11-August-2024
Jessica Pegula
33 - 11win/loss
6
3
LLLWLWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39-16 | 29-9 | 4-2 | 0-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-18 | 45-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-21 | 28-15 | 11-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-19 | 29-12 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6, Pegula reached the 4th round after defeating Shelby Rogers 6-4 6-3, Sofia Kenin 7-6(4) 6-3 and Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 6-3 6-3.
In the 3rd round, Pegula had a good straight sets win against Bouzas Maneiro (6-3 6-3). During the match, Pegula scored 67 points vs Bouzas Maneiro’s 42. Jessica was quite aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about the service games, Pegula managed to score 3 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Jessica Pegula was quite effective on serve to win 89% (25/28) of her 1st serve and 57% (12/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Jessica broke Bouzas Maneiro 4 times after converting 44% of her break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Pegula hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to conquer 56% of the points she played.
Pegula has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 65% of her matches (331-176). 23-6 on hard in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Pegula has an aggregate 209-96 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was conquering the title in Berlin where she defeated Anna Kalinskaya in the final 6-7(0) 6-4 7-6(3) and in Toronto where she beat Amanda Anisimova in the final 6-3 2-6 6-1.
Pegula has a compiled 33-11 win-loss record in 2024, 23-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Diana Shnaider
46 - 17win/loss
12
12
WWWWWLWLLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 55-23 | 31-15 | 15-5 | 0-0 | 9-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 25-22 | 14-13 | 10-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 58-17 | 11-4 | 46-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 9-3 | 0-0 | 8-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 18 (career-high), Shnaider got to the 4th round after beating Nadia Podoroska 6-0 6-1, Clara Tauson 6-4 6-4 and Sara Errani 6-2 6-2.
In the 3rd round, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Errani (6-2 6-2). During the match Shnaider scored 60 points vs Errani’s 40. Shnaider was very aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Talking about serving, Shnaider blasted 2 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Diana Shnaider lost the serve once. Furthermore, Shnaider put 80% of her first serves in, winning 75% (27/36) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (4/9) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Errani 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Diana hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points she played.
Her best result of the year was conquering the title in Hua Hin where she overcame Lin Zhu in the final 6-3 2-6 6-1 and the Paris where she beat Emma Navarro in the final 6-2 3-6 6-4 and in Bad Homburg where she defeated Donna Vekic in the final 6-3 2-6 6-3 and in Budapest where she overcame Aliaksandra Sasnovich in the final 6-4 6-4.
Shnaider has an overall 46-17 win-loss record in 2024, 22-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously at the U.S. Open
Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pegula | Shnaider |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 59 | 49 |
| Pts | 209-163 | 184-127 |
| Total Points | 372 | 311 |
| Winners | 88 | 81 |
| %Winners | 42% | 44% |
Both Pegula and Shnaider played 3 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Pegula and Shnaider have played the same amount of sets 6. However, Pegula played 10 games more than Shnaider. The American scored 88 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian recorded 81 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pegula | Shnaider |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 1.7 |
| 1st in | 118/193 | 108/154 |
| %1st in | 61% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 88/118 | 81/108 |
| %1st pts | 75% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 38/75 | 27/46 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 59% |
Pegula recorded 12 aces (4 per match). Shnaider fired 5 aces (1.7 per match). Pegula won 75% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Shnaider won 75% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pegula | Shnaider |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 12 |
| Converted | 11/22 | 12/17 |
| % Converted | 50% | 71% |
| Conceded | 17 | 6 |
| Saved | 12 | 5 |
| % Saved | 71% | 83% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 1 |
Pegula broke her opponents 11 times with a 50% conversion rate. Pegula conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded. Shnaider broke her opponents 12 times with a 71% conversion rate. Shnaider conceded her serve once and she saved 83% of the break points that she conceded.
| Pegula | |||||
| R1 Rogers |
R2 Kenin |
R3 Bouzas |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 7-64 6-3 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 22 | 18 | 59 | |
| pts | 67-57 | 75-64 | 67-42 | 209-163 | |
| Total points | 124 | 139 | 109 | 372 | |
| Winners | 33 | 30 | 25 | 88 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 40% | 37% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 6 | 3 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 44/74 | 46/70 | 28/49 | 118/193 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 66% | 57% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 33/44 | 30/46 | 25/28 | 88/118 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 65% | 89% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/30 | 13/24 | 12/21 | 38/75 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 54% | 57% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 4/7 | 4/9 | 11/22 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 57% | 44% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 7 | 4 | 17 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 4/7 | 3/4 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 57% | 75% | 72% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | |
| Shnaider | |||||
| R1 Podoroska |
R2 Tauson |
R3 Errani |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-1 | 6-4 6-4 | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 20 | 16 | 49 | |
| pts | 54-25 | 70-62 | 60-40 | 184-127 | |
| Total points | 79 | 132 | 100 | 311 | |
| Winners | 22 | 32 | 27 | 81 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 46% | 45% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 29/45 | 43/64 | 36/45 | 108/154 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 67% | 80% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 22/29 | 32/43 | 27/36 | 81/108 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 74% | 75% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/16 | 12/21 | 4/9 | 27/46 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 57% | 44% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 2 | 5 | 12 | |
| Converted | 5/5 | 2/4 | 5/8 | 12/17 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 50% | 63% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 0% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWLWWLWW
WWWWWLWLLL Tennis Scores – U.S. Open
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