Qinwen Zheng and Donna Vekic will play each other in the 4th round of the U.S. Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 10:00 pm on Arthur Ashe Stadium. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Qinwen Zheng who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Qinwen Zheng is the pick to win this match.
Qinwen Zheng -> 1.4
Donna Vekic -> 2.96

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Prediction and head to head Qinwen Zheng vs. Donna Vekic

This will be the 4th time that Qinwen Zheng and Donna Vekic face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Zheng (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Zheng won 6-2 6-3 in the final in Paris back in August 2024.

Highlights Qinwen Zheng vs Donna Vekic – Paris 03-August-2024

Qinwen Zheng

Qinwen Zheng

37 - 13win/loss

Hard
19-7
I Hard
0-0
Clay
17-4
Grass
1-2
Rank
5
High
5
LWWWLWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 52-18 31-10 17-4 3-2 1-2 0-0
2023 37-19 23-11 11-4 3-1 0-3 0-0
2022 39-19 27-12 10-4 0-0 2-3 0-0
2021 34-11 7-1 16-6 11-4 0-0 0-0
2020 38-8 3-3 26-3 9-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 7 (career-high), the Chinese reached the 4th round after beating Amanda Anisimova 4-6 6-4 6-2, Erika Andreeva 6-7(3) 6-1 6-2 and Jule Niemeier 6-2 6-1.

In the 3rd round, Zheng had a good straight sets win against Niemeier (6-2 6-1). During the match, Zheng scored 57 points vs Niemeier’s 35. Zheng was quite aggressive to blast 21 winners.

Regarding the service games, Zheng struck 7 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Qinwen Zheng conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 1 break points. Furthermore, Zheng put 51% of her first serves in, winning 84% (21/25) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (11/24) on the 2nd serve. Zheng was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Niemeier 5 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Qinwen has conceded 2 set in this competition to conquer 56% of the points she played.

Zheng has a fantastic match record in the last 8 years having won 70% of her matches (212-90). 18-7 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Zheng has an aggregate104-50 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.

Her best result of the current season was conquering the title in Palermo where she beat Karolina Muchova in the final 6-4 4-6 6-2 and in Paris where she overcame Donna Vekic in the final 6-2 6-3.

Zheng has a compiled 36-13 win-loss record in 2024, 18-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

U.S. Open
Zheng's Record

Donna Vekic

Donna Vekic

30 - 18win/loss

Hard
10-8
I Hard
2-1
Clay
8-5
Grass
10-4
Rank
19
High
18
LWLWLWWWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 32-20 12-10 8-5 2-1 10-4 0-0
2023 29-20 16-9 4-5 2-3 7-3 0-0
2022 28-20 10-9 9-6 2-1 7-4 0-0
2021 19-16 10-12 0-1 5-0 4-3 0-0
2020 8-11 6-6 1-3 1-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 24, Vekic got to the 4th round after defeating Kimberly Birrell 6-4 6-4, Greetje Minnen 7-5 6-1 and Peyton Stearns 7-5 6-4.

In the 3rd round, Donna had a good straight sets win against Stearns (7-5 6-4). During the match Vekic scored 69 points vs Stearns’s 52. The Croatian was pretty aggressive to blast 27 winners.

About the serving games, Vekic bagged 8 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Donna Vekic was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 87% (27/31) of her 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. Donna broke Stearns 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Vekic hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points she played.

Vekic’s best result of the season was reaching the final in Bad Homburg and Paris.

Vekic has a compiled 30-17 win-loss record in 2024, 10-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2019. See her history

.
U.S. Open
Vekic's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Q.Zheng
D.Vekic
6h:09
6h:09
Time on court​
4h:23
4h:23
1h:21
1h:21
Last match​
1h:30
1h:30
3
3
Match played
3
3
71
71
Games Played​
61
61
8
8
Set played​​
6
6
247
247
Total points​
202
202
82.3
82.3
Avg point​
67.3
67.3
91
91
Winners
74
74
30.3
30.3
Avg Winners​
24.7
24.7
37%
37%
Ratio winners
37%
37%
-- Serve --
39
39
Aces
16
16
!
13
13
Avg Aces
5.3
5.3
10
10
Double Faults
8
8
3.3
3.3
Avg Double Faults
2.7
2.7
91/115
91/115
1st won total​
74/92
74/92
!
79%
79%
1st won %
!
80%
80%
48/103
48/103
2nd won total​
40/74
40/74
47%
47%
2nd won %
54%
54%
-- Break Points --
17/31
17/31
BP won
12/18
12/18
5.7/10.3
5.7/10.3
Avg BP won
4/6
4/6
!
55%
55%
Won
!
67%
67%
18
18
Conceded
10
10
6
6
Avg Conceded
3.3
3.3
6
6
Broken
4
4
2
2
Avg Broken
1.3
1.3
12
12
Saved
6
6

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Zheng Vekic
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 8 6
Tot Games 71 61
Pts 247-191 202-156
Total Points 438 358
Winners 91 74
%Winners 37% 37%

Both Zheng and Vekic played 3 matches. At the moment, Qinwen Zheng dropped 2 sets while Donna Vekic hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Zheng has played 2 sets more than Vekic (8 vs 6). Therefore, Zheng played 10 games more than Vekic. Qinwen scored 91 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Donna fired 74 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve Zheng Vekic
Aces 39 16
Avg per match 13 5.3
1st in 115/218 92/166
%1st in 53% 55%
1st pts 91/115 74/92
%1st pts 79% 80%
2nd pts 48/103 40/74
%2nd pts 47% 54%

Zheng made 39 aces (13 per match). Vekic scored 16 aces (5.3 per match). Zheng won 79% points on her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Vekic won 80% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Zheng Vekic
Won 17 12
Converted 17/31 12/18
% Converted 55% 67%
Conceded 18 10
Saved 12 6
% Saved 67% 60%
Times Broken 6 4

Zheng broke her opponents 17 times with a 55% conversion rate. Zheng conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded. The Croatian broke her opponents 12 times with a 67% conversion rate. Vekic conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 60% of the break points that she conceded.

Zheng
R1
Anisimova
R2
Andreeva
R3
Niemeier
Total
Score 4-6 6-4 6-2 6-73 6-1 6-2 6-2 6-1
Tot Set 3 3 2 8
Tot Games 28 28 15 71
pts 94-82 96-74 57-35 247-191
Total points 176 170 92 438
Winners 33 37 21 91
%Winners 35% 39% 37% 37%
SERVE
Aces 12 20 7 39
Double Faults 2 5 3 10
1st in 45/90 45/79 25/49 115/218
% 1st in 50% 57% 51% 53%
1st pts 33/45 37/45 21/25 91/115
% 1st pts 73% 82% 84% 79%
2nd pts 20/45 17/34 11/24 48/103
% 2nd pts 44% 50% 46% 47%
Breaks
Won 6 6 5 17
Converted 6/11 6/15 5/5 17/31
Converted % 55% 40% 100% 55%
Conceded 12 5 1 18
Saved 8/12 3/5 1/1 12
Saved % 67% 60% 100% 76%
Times Broken 4 2 0 6
Vekic
R1
Birrell
R2
Minnen
R3
Stearns
Total
Score 6-4 6-4 7-5 6-1 7-5 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 2 6
Tot Games 20 19 22 61
pts 68-57 65-47 69-52 202-156
Total points 125 112 121 358
Winners 22 25 27 74
%Winners 32% 38% 39% 37%
SERVE
Aces 1 7 8 16
Double Faults 4 3 1 8
1st in 31/59 30/52 31/55 92/166
% 1st in 53% 58% 56% 55%
1st pts 22/31 25/30 27/31 74/92
% 1st pts 71% 83% 87% 80%
2nd pts 15/28 12/22 13/24 40/74
% 2nd pts 54% 55% 54% 54%
Breaks
Won 4 4 4 12
Converted 4/6 4/5 4/7 12/18
Converted % 67% 80% 57% 67%
Conceded 3 2 5 10
Saved 1/3 2/2 3/5 6
Saved % 33% 100% 60% 64%
Times Broken 2 0 2 4

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

Upcoming matches in the draw