Alexander Zverev and Brandon Nakashima will clash against each other in the 4^th round of the U.S. Open for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 4:00 pm on Louis Armstrong Stadium. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexander Zverev who should win in 4 sets.

As per the initial odds, Alexander Zverev is the pick to win this match.
Alexander Zverev -> 1.31
Brandon Nakashima -> 3.46

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Alexander Zverev vs. Brandon Nakashima

This will be the 3^rd time that Alexander Zverev and Brandon Nakashima clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Zverev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played, Zverev won 7-6(2) 6-3 7-6(5) in the 3^rd round in at the French Open back in 2022.

Alexander Zverev

Ranked no. 4, Zverev got to the 4^th round after beating Maximilian Marterer 6-2 6-7(5) 6-3 6-2, Alexandre Muller 6-4 7-6(5) 6-1 and Tomas Martin Etcheverry 5-7 7-5 6-1 6-3.

In the 3^rd round against Etcheverry, Alexander recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 7-5 6-1 6-3). During the match, Zverev scored 138 points vs Etcheverry’s 120. Zverev was pretty aggressive to blast 58 winners.

Regarding the service games, Zverev struck 12 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Alexander Zverev lost the serve 4 times and he saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Zverev put 62% of his first serves in, winning 74% (58/78) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (21/47) on the 2nd serve. The German broke Etcheverry 8 times after converting 67% of his break points (8/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Alexander has surrendered 2 set in this competition to win 55% of the points he played.

Zverev has a superlative match record in the last 10 years having won 70% of his matches (469-197). 26-8 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Zverev has an overall 189-83 match record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the season was conquering the title in Australia where he defeated Hubert Hurkacz in the final 6-7(3) 7-6(6) 6-4 and in Rome where he overcame Nicolas Jarry in the final 6-4 7-5.

The German has an aggregate 55-16 win-loss record in 2024, 26-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Brandon Nakashima

Ranked no. 50, Brandon reached the 4^th round after defeating Holger Rune 6-2 6-1 6-4, Arthur Cazaux 6-4 6-4 6-2 and Lorenzo Musetti 6-2 3-6 6-3 7-6(4).

In the 3^rd round, Brandon defeated Musetti (6-2 3-6 6-3 7-6⁴). During the match Nakashima scored 130 points vs Musetti’s 115. Nakashima was very aggressive to blast 63 winners.

About the serving games, Nakashima managed to score 17 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Brandon Nakashima lost the serve 3 times and he saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Nakashima put 66% of his first serves in, winning 77% (63/82) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (21/42) on the 2nd serve. Brandon broke Musetti 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Brandon has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.

His best result of the season was winning the title the Tenerife 1 Challenger where he beat Pedro Martinez Portero in the final 6-3 6-4.

Brandon has an overall 54-24 win-loss record in 2024, 21-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously at the U.S. Open

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3^rd round in 2022. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Zverev	Nakashima
Match played	3	3
Tot Set	11	10
Tot Games	108	92
Pts	381-309	316-247
Total Points	690	563
Winners	158	143
%Winners	41%	45%

Both Zverev and Nakashima played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alexander Zverev lost 2 sets, while Brandon Nakashima lost 1 set. Zverev has played 1 set more than Nakashima (11 vs 10). Therefore, Zverev played 16 games more than Nakashima. Alexander scored 158 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Brandon struck 143 winners (45%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Zverev	Nakashima
Aces	48	40
Avg per match	16	13.3
1st in	201/326	183/275
%1st in	62%	67%
1st pts	158/201	143/183
%1st pts	79%	78%
2nd pts	65/125	55/92
%2nd pts	52%	60%

Zverev struck 48 aces (16 per match). Nakashima fired 40 aces (13.3 per match). Zverev won 79% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Nakashima won 78% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Zverev	Nakashima
Won	18	14
Converted	18/40	14/31
% Converted	45%	45%
Conceded	24	21
Saved	18	18
% Saved	75%	86%
Times Broken	6	3

Alexander broke his opponents 18 times with a 45% conversion rate. Zverev surrendered his serve 6 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Nakashima broke his opponents 14 times with a 45% conversion rate. Nakashima conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded.

Zverev
	R1 Marterer	R2 Muller	R3 Etcheverry	Total
Score	6-2 6-75 6-3 6-2	6-4 7-65 6-1	5-7 7-5 6-1 6-3
Tot Set	4	3	4	11
Tot Games	38	30	40	108
pts	132-100	111-89	138-120	381-309
Total points	232	200	258	690
Winners	54	46	58	158
%Winners	41%	41%	42%	41%
SERVE
Aces	21	15	12	48
Double Faults	6	2	6	14
1st in	68/115	55/86	78/125	201/326
% 1st in	59%	64%	62%	62%
1st pts	54/68	46/55	58/78	158/201
% 1st pts	79%	84%	74%	79%
2nd pts	27/47	17/31	21/47	65/125
% 2nd pts	57%	55%	45%	52%
Breaks
Won	6	4	8	18
Converted	6/16	4/12	8/12	18/40
Converted %	38%	33%	67%	45%
Conceded	7	2	15	24
Saved	6/7	1/2	11/15	18
Saved %	86%	50%	73%	70%
Times Broken	1	1	4	6

Nakashima
	R1 Rune	R2 Cazaux	R3 Musetti	Total
Score	6-2 6-1 6-4	6-4 6-4 6-2	6-2 3-6 6-3 7-64
Tot Set	3	3	4	10
Tot Games	25	28	39	92
pts	96-61	90-71	130-115	316-247
Total points	157	161	245	563
Winners	41	39	63	143
%Winners	43%	43%	48%	45%
SERVE
Aces	11	12	17	40
Double Faults	1	1	1	3
1st in	49/73	52/78	82/124	183/275
% 1st in	67%	67%	66%	67%
1st pts	41/49	39/52	63/82	143/183
% 1st pts	84%	75%	77%	78%
2nd pts	15/24	19/26	21/42	55/92
% 2nd pts	63%	73%	50%	60%
Breaks
Won	5	4	5	14
Converted	5/13	4/7	5/11	14/31
Converted %	38%	57%	45%	45%
Conceded	6	2	13	21
Saved	6/6	2/2	10/13	18
Saved %	100%	100%	77%	92%
Times Broken	0	0	3	3

Tennis Scores – U.S. Open

• Nuno BorgesBorges – Jakub MensikMensik (6-7⁵ 6-1 3-6 7-6⁶ 6-0) – See score progression
• Jack DraperDraper – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-3 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-3 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Tommy PaulPaul – Gabriel DialloDiallo (6-7⁵ 6-3 6-1 7-6³) – See score progression
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (6-1 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Tomas MachacMachac – David GoffinGoffin (6-3 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
• Jordan ThompsonThompson – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (7-5 6-2 7-6⁵) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Daniel EvansEvans (6-3 6-7⁴ 6-0 6-0) – See score progression
• Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Novak DjokovicDjokovic (6-4 6-4 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (6-3 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Alexander ZverevZverev – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (5-7 7-5 6-1 6-3) – See score progression
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-2 3-6 6-3 7-6⁴) – See score progression
• Andrey RublevRublev – Jiri LeheckaLehecka (6-3 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Ben SheltonShelton (4-6 7-5 6-7⁵ 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Casper RuudRuud – Juncheng ShangShang (6-7¹ 3-6 6-0 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
• Taylor FritzFritz – Francisco ComesanaComesana (6-3 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Jakub MensikMensik (6-7(5) 6-1 3-6 7-6(6) 6-0) – See score progression
• Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-3 6-4 6-3) – See score progression
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Daniel EvansEvans (6-3 6-7(4) 6-0 6-0) – See score progression
• Jordan ThompsonThompson – Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi (7-5 6-2 7-6(5)) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Andrey RublevRublev – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (4-3) – H2H and prediction
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
• Nuno BorgesBorges – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Casper RuudRuud – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (2-0) – H2H and prediction
• Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Jordan ThompsonThompson (4-1) – H2H and prediction
• Jannik SinnerSinner – Tommy PaulPaul (2-1) – H2H and prediction
• Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Alexander ZverevZverev (0-2) – H2H and prediction
• Jack DraperDraper – Tomas MachacMachac (0-3) – H2H and prediction